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通富微电(002156):公司深度报告:AI浪潮下,AMD合力与先进封装的价值重估之路
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-10-22 06:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tongfu Microelectronics (002156.SZ) is "Buy" (maintained) [1]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that Tongfu Microelectronics is well-positioned to benefit from the AI wave and the strategic partnership with AMD, which has led to significant revenue growth and enhanced capabilities [4][5]. - The company has achieved record-high quarterly revenue and net profit in Q2 2025, driven by strong contributions from major clients and successful diversification into various sectors [3][4]. - The report forecasts substantial revenue and profit growth for the company from 2025 to 2027, with expected revenues of 282.49 billion, 328.74 billion, and 382.07 billion yuan, and net profits of 10.49 billion, 15.95 billion, and 21.31 billion yuan respectively [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Partnership with Major Clients - Tongfu Microelectronics has established a strong partnership with AMD, securing over 80% of AMD's orders, which includes high-end processors, graphics cards, and server chips [4][22]. - The collaboration has evolved through three phases since 2015, leading to significant technological advancements and operational synergies [17][19]. - The company has successfully integrated advanced packaging technologies, achieving a high production capacity for AMD's 7nm and 5nm products [23][24]. 2. Advanced Packaging as a Core Solution - The report highlights that advanced packaging technologies, particularly Chiplet designs, are crucial for the AI era and align with domestic semiconductor policies [5][14]. - Tongfu Microelectronics is recognized as a leading domestic player in high-end advanced packaging, with a significant market share and continuous expansion of production capabilities [25][24]. - The demand for advanced packaging is expected to remain strong due to the ongoing competition in the computing power industry [5][14]. 3. Financial Performance and Forecast - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenues of 69.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, and a net profit of 3.11 billion yuan, up 38.6% year-on-year [3]. - The financial projections indicate a robust growth trajectory, with a projected revenue increase of 18.3% in 2025 and continued growth in subsequent years [6]. - The report provides a detailed financial summary, including revenue, net profit, gross margin, and P/E ratios for the years 2023 to 2027, showcasing a positive outlook for the company's financial health [6].