Group 1: Company Performance Overview - API business revenue decreased by 23.41% due to industry downturn and active contraction of low-margin trading business [3] - CDMO business achieved over 20% growth with significant margin improvement, now accounting for nearly 40% of total gross profit [6] - Total number of CDMO clients exceeded 650, projected to surpass 700 by year-end [6] Group 2: Market Trends and Opportunities - China's CDMO industry has returned to a healthy growth state after disruptions in 2022 and 2023 [4] - The license-out fees for Chinese innovative drugs rose from tens of billions in 2021-2022 to nearly $50 billion in 2022, with 2023 already exceeding last year's total [3] - The US and China are leading in innovative drug development, creating significant opportunities for the CDMO sector [4] Group 3: Future Projections - CDMO business revenue is expected to reach 6-7 billion by 2030, with a balanced market share between China and the US [11] - The overall industry is anticipated to recover gradually, with a clear bottom observed in 2023 [12] - The average gross margin for CDMO projects is projected to increase from 35%-40% to 45%-55% as project structures optimize [13] Group 4: Product and Service Development - The company has over 1,180 CDMO projects, with 377 commercialized and 803 in clinical stages, reflecting a 35% year-on-year growth [6] - The multi-peptide CDMO business is expanding, with over 60 projects in various stages of development [15] - The company is enhancing its R&D capabilities, with plans to increase CDMO R&D personnel from 900 to over 2,000 by 2030 [16] Group 5: Financial Returns and Shareholder Value - Total cash dividends and buybacks have exceeded $3.2 billion, significantly higher than the total cash raised of $1.458 billion since listing [9] - The company is committed to shareholder returns while ensuring operational and developmental sustainability [10] Group 6: API Business Insights - API prices are stabilizing, with a projected recovery in the market, particularly in the antibiotic sector [17] - The company aims to adjust its product structure, reducing antibiotic reliance and increasing non-antibiotic offerings [18] - The industrial segment of API business is expected to reach 7 billion, focusing on a diverse product portfolio [18] Group 7: International Market Dynamics - Overseas revenue accounted for approximately 40% last year, expected to maintain between 40%-50% in the future [19] - The company maintains a competitive edge in API manufacturing, with expectations of limited impact from potential tariff changes [19]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 长城国瑞证券8月11日发布研报称，给予九洲药业（603456.SH，最新价：18.45元）买入评级。评级理 由主要包括：1）主要经营业绩回暖，现金流表现较佳；2）CDMO项目管线持续丰富，新客户拓展顺 利；3）TIDES事业部及相关技术平台快速发展，积极推进产能扩张建设；4）API业务营收略有波动， 毛利率持续修复。风险提示：重点CDMO订单放量不及预期；原料药和中间体价格波动风险；环保政策 风险；安全生产风险。 ...