Core Viewpoint - The Chinese innovative drug industry is gradually catching up with Europe and the United States in terms of technology, with some targets and technical pathways already leading globally. The number and value of new drugs authorized for overseas markets continue to increase, leading to world-class pricing and non-linear investment elasticity. The domestic market is experiencing strong demand, resulting in sustained high growth in sales of domestic new drugs, with several innovative pharmaceutical companies turning losses into profits and entering a stable growth phase [2]. Pharmaceutical Industry Overview - Innovative Drugs: The industry is witnessing a significant increase in the sales of domestic new drugs driven by strong demand, with several companies achieving profitability [2]. - Medical Devices: The high-value consumables sector is seeing mild price reductions, with ongoing domestic substitution and accelerated overseas business progress. The collection and procurement in neurosurgery and neurointervention fields are stabilizing, and new products are expected to drive growth [2]. - Blood Products: The market share is increasingly concentrated among state-owned enterprises, leading to a clearer competitive landscape. Demand is expected to upgrade towards new products, enhancing industry prosperity [3]. - API (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients): The end of the capital expenditure peak, combined with three growth drivers, indicates a clear upward turning point for the industry, with leading companies expected to see significant revenue and profit growth [3]. - CXO (Contract Research Organization): The CDMO sector is stabilizing in core business profitability while emerging fields like peptides and ADCs are rapidly growing, enhancing corporate profitability [3]. - Traditional Chinese Medicine and Retail: The hospital sector is recovering, while the retail sector is expected to gradually improve in performance as inventory is digested [3]. Research and Development Trends - The domestic innovative drug business development (BD) is heating up, likely boosting downstream demand recovery. Domestic companies are improving their technology, products, and services, establishing brand effects, and benefiting from the ongoing tariff war with the U.S. [4]. - The research service sector is expected to see improved financial indicators for leading companies due to supply-demand improvements and an upward cycle [4]. Investment Strategy and Market Dynamics - The pharmaceutical industry has published a total of 260 research reports since October 1 of last year, indicating a robust analytical framework and ongoing market engagement [5]. - The medical device sector is expected to see a recovery in performance in the second half of 2025, with ongoing upgrades in product offerings and expansion into overseas markets [2][3]. Summary of Reports and Meetings - The company has conducted numerous offline strategy meetings and expert discussions, indicating active engagement with industry stakeholders and investors [15].

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.567 billion CNY, a 23.87% increase from 1.265 billion CNY in the same period last year [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 149.51 million CNY, a significant increase of 180.96% year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin improved to 38%, up three percentage points from the previous year [3] Group 2: Business Segment Performance - Revenue from the generic drug raw materials and intermediates business was 1.131 billion CNY, with non-sartan raw materials showing continuous growth [3] - The CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) business generated 251.63 million CNY, reflecting a 44.33% year-on-year growth [8] - The formulation business achieved sales revenue of 847.2 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 84.72%, with sales volume surpassing 500 million tablets, a 71% increase [3] Group 3: Market Strategy and Expansion - The company successfully participated in national and provincial alliance procurement projects, significantly enhancing terminal coverage [4] - A multi-channel sales network has been established, including medical, retail e-commerce, and internet centers, contributing to rapid growth across all business segments [4] - The company has received 65 drug production approvals covering 40 varieties, enhancing product structure and market opportunities [3] Group 4: Future Outlook and Challenges - The company anticipates further improvements in gross margins due to ongoing cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures [5] - The sartan product line faced price pressure but maintained stable sales volume, with a focus on optimizing production processes [6] - The company plans to enhance cash flow management to address a net cash flow deficit of 17.77 million CNY, primarily due to increased accounts receivable [12]

Group 1: Company Performance Overview - API business revenue decreased by 23.41% due to industry downturn and active contraction of low-margin trading business [3] - CDMO business achieved over 20% growth with significant margin improvement, now accounting for nearly 40% of total gross profit [6] - Total number of CDMO clients exceeded 650, projected to surpass 700 by year-end [6] Group 2: Market Trends and Opportunities - China's CDMO industry has returned to a healthy growth state after disruptions in 2022 and 2023 [4] - The license-out fees for Chinese innovative drugs rose from tens of billions in 2021-2022 to nearly $50 billion in 2022, with 2023 already exceeding last year's total [3] - The US and China are leading in innovative drug development, creating significant opportunities for the CDMO sector [4] Group 3: Future Projections - CDMO business revenue is expected to reach 6-7 billion by 2030, with a balanced market share between China and the US [11] - The overall industry is anticipated to recover gradually, with a clear bottom observed in 2023 [12] - The average gross margin for CDMO projects is projected to increase from 35%-40% to 45%-55% as project structures optimize [13] Group 4: Product and Service Development - The company has over 1,180 CDMO projects, with 377 commercialized and 803 in clinical stages, reflecting a 35% year-on-year growth [6] - The multi-peptide CDMO business is expanding, with over 60 projects in various stages of development [15] - The company is enhancing its R&D capabilities, with plans to increase CDMO R&D personnel from 900 to over 2,000 by 2030 [16] Group 5: Financial Returns and Shareholder Value - Total cash dividends and buybacks have exceeded $3.2 billion, significantly higher than the total cash raised of $1.458 billion since listing [9] - The company is committed to shareholder returns while ensuring operational and developmental sustainability [10] Group 6: API Business Insights - API prices are stabilizing, with a projected recovery in the market, particularly in the antibiotic sector [17] - The company aims to adjust its product structure, reducing antibiotic reliance and increasing non-antibiotic offerings [18] - The industrial segment of API business is expected to reach 7 billion, focusing on a diverse product portfolio [18] Group 7: International Market Dynamics - Overseas revenue accounted for approximately 40% last year, expected to maintain between 40%-50% in the future [19] - The company maintains a competitive edge in API manufacturing, with expectations of limited impact from potential tariff changes [19]

Summary of Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical - **Industry**: Pharmaceutical Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization (CDMO) Key Points CDMO Business Growth - Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical's CDMO business is experiencing steady growth with a rich project pipeline, including 38 projects that have been launched and 90 in Phase III clinical trials, along with over 1,000 projects in Phase I and II [2][4][5] - The company serves over 80 global clients, covering more than 100 active projects, including innovative drugs, generics, and high-barrier formulations [2][4] Emerging Business Segments - Rapid growth in emerging businesses such as peptides and pentavalent vaccines, with over 20 new clients acquired, and orders nearing $10 million [2][6] - Successful delivery of over ten projects in these segments, indicating significant future growth potential [2][6] Generic Drug Business - Steady progress in the generic drug sector, with two specialty raw materials and two generic formulations approved in the first half of the year [2][7] - A total of 22 projects in the generic pipeline, with 8 approved and 9 under review [2][7] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical reported revenue of 2.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.86%, and a net profit of 526 million yuan, up 10.7% [3] - The company has strengthened relationships with major clients, particularly in the Japanese and Korean markets, leading to significant project growth [3] Capacity Utilization and Profit Margins - CDMO capacity utilization is steadily increasing, with optimistic gross margin expectations for the next two to three years due to process optimization and a higher proportion of high-value products [2][10] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was approximately 41%, with expectations for stability throughout the year [12] New Factory Developments - The new factory in Taizhou has completed validation for five CDM raw material projects and is attracting numerous follow-up projects due to high management standards and successful FDA inspections [2][13] - The factory's capacity utilization is expected to continue increasing in the coming years [13] Market Trends and Client Structure - The client structure remains predominantly large pharmaceutical companies, accounting for 70-75% of business, with significant growth in the U.S. market [14][15] - The company anticipates an increase in collaboration with large pharmaceutical firms, driven by successful partnerships and potential acquisitions of biotech clients [15] Future Plans and Capital Expenditure - Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical plans to enhance global R&D capabilities and expand advanced production capacity, with a multi-functional GMP production line expected to be operational by late 2025 [9][21] - The company has approximately 3 billion yuan in cash reserves for strategic investments and acquisitions [21] International Expansion - The company has made significant inroads into the Japanese market, becoming a supplier for over half of the top ten pharmaceutical companies in Japan, with a growth rate of 30-40% annually [22] - Plans for further expansion into Europe and the U.S. are underway, focusing on small molecule production lines [17] New Product Development - Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical is focusing on new business areas such as small nucleic acids and ADCs, with expectations for significant contributions in the next two to three years [23][24][26] - The company is also expanding its peptide production capacity to meet growing demand, with a new facility set to produce 800 kg annually [25] Overall Confidence - The company expresses strong confidence in continued growth across all business segments, particularly in overseas client expansion and recovery in industry cycles [31]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future growth potential [1][10]. Core Viewpoints - The company has established itself as a leading player in the domestic CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) sector, with strong global competitiveness in raw materials, CDMO, and formulation businesses. The report anticipates a new growth cycle driven by the explosive growth of the CDMO business and the recovery of the formulation and raw material sectors [6][8]. - The CDMO business is expected to enter a phase of rapid growth, supported by the rise of leading biotech companies in China and the company's established relationships with major pharmaceutical firms globally [28][30]. - The formulation business is projected to accelerate growth starting in 2026, with a strategy focused on multi-product development and enhanced R&D capabilities [9][22]. - The raw material business is expected to regain medium to long-term growth, particularly in antibiotics and veterinary drugs, as market conditions improve [23][24]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to be 12,022 million in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.8%. However, a decline of 6.3% is expected in 2025, followed by a recovery in 2026 with a growth of 1.6% and a significant increase of 16.3% in 2027 [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1,031 million in 2024, with a slight decline of 2.3% year-on-year, followed by a more substantial recovery in 2026 and 2027 with growth rates of 30.8% and 28.1%, respectively [2][10]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 18 in 2025 to 11 by 2027, indicating an attractive valuation as the company grows [2][10]. Business Segments CDMO Business - The CDMO segment is anticipated to experience explosive growth, driven by the commercialization of numerous API (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient) projects in China and sustained contributions from overseas clients [6][28]. - In 2024, the CDMO revenue is expected to reach 18.84 billion, with a gross profit margin of 41% [24][26]. Formulation Business - The formulation business is set to enter a growth phase in 2026, with the company planning to approve over 15 new products annually starting from that year [9][22]. - The integration of raw materials and formulations is expected to enhance cost advantages and accelerate product approvals [9][22]. Raw Material Business - The raw material segment is projected to recover, particularly in antibiotics and veterinary drugs, as prices stabilize and market share increases [23][24]. - The company is expanding its product pipeline in chronic disease medications and leveraging its manufacturing capabilities to drive growth [23][24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a decline in net profit for 2024 but showed improvement in Q1 2025, with a net profit of 1.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.64% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 82.22% [1][2]. - The decrease in revenue for 2024 was primarily due to falling prices of certain pesticide products, which could not be offset by increased sales volume [2]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, having obtained over 2,100 product registrations in various countries [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.908 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.16%, and a net profit of 181 million yuan, down 61.67% [1][6]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.264 billion yuan, up 10.16% year-on-year and up 82.22% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 105 million yuan [1][2]. Product and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a strategy that integrates formulation, active ingredients, and intermediates, which helps mitigate the cyclical risks associated with active ingredient production [3]. - The company has a diverse product portfolio with 254 pesticide registration certificates, covering various categories such as insecticides, fungicides, and herbicides [4]. Profitability and Valuation - The report projects a decline in net profit for 2025 to 396 million yuan, down 28.6% from previous estimates, with further projections for 2026 and 2027 showing gradual recovery [5][6]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.16 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11 [6][14].