AREAL 高级都市线
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波司登(03998):旺季收官预计平稳增长,高质量发展基调延续
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-03-08 08:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve stable growth in sales as the peak season concludes, with a projected mid-single-digit revenue growth for the fiscal year 2026 [6] - The down jacket business is anticipated to grow steadily, while the OEM business faces temporary adjustments due to tariffs [6] - The company continues to optimize its channel structure, with online sales expected to be the core growth driver [6] - Product innovation is highlighted as a key growth driver, with successful collaborations with renowned designers [6] - The multi-brand strategy is becoming increasingly refined, enhancing business synergy and potential [6] - The company has a strong consumer recognition in the down jacket sector, with a commitment to high dividend payouts [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections (in million RMB): FY2024: 23,214; FY2025: 25,902; FY2026E: 27,139; FY2027E: 29,265; FY2028E: 31,459 [5] - Net profit projections (in million RMB): FY2024: 3,074; FY2025: 3,514; FY2026E: 3,730; FY2027E: 4,059; FY2028E: 4,388 [5] - Earnings per share (in RMB): FY2024: 0.28; FY2025: 0.32; FY2026E: 0.32; FY2027E: 0.35; FY2028E: 0.38 [5] - The company maintains a high gross margin, with projections around 57% for FY2026E [5]
波司登(03998):早冬晚春或利好冬装销售
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-25 11:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set above the current price of 4.96 HKD, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the early winter and late spring may benefit winter clothing sales, as significant cold air is expected to impact various regions in China, leading to a temperature drop of over 10°C in some areas [1]. - The company has made a notable appearance at Paris Fashion Week with its "Master Puff" series, showcasing a successful exploration of the "light warmth" quality of down jackets, breaking the traditional heavy and bulky image [2]. - The appointment of renowned designer Kim Jones as the creative director for the newly established AREAL high-end urban line is expected to enhance the brand's appeal and align with modern urban aesthetics [3]. Financial Projections - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting revenues of RMB 28.4 billion, RMB 31.1 billion, and RMB 34.1 billion for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 4 billion, RMB 4.4 billion, and RMB 5 billion for the same periods, with earnings per share (EPS) of RMB 0.34, RMB 0.38, and RMB 0.43 [4].