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LRCX Likely to Beat Q2 Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-23 18:51
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is expected to exceed earnings estimates for Q2 fiscal 2026, with projected revenues of $5.2 billion, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase [1][8] - The anticipated earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 is $1.15, indicating a 27.5% increase compared to the previous year [2][8] - The company has a strong history of earnings surprises, having beaten estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 5.89% [3] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - Q2 revenue is projected at $5.2 billion, with a variance of +/- $300 million, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.22 billion [1] - The earnings ESP (Earnings Surprise Prediction) is +1.56%, calculated from the Most Accurate Estimate of $1.18 and the consensus estimate of $1.16 [5] - System revenues are estimated at $3.41 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of 29.7%, while Customer Support segment revenues are expected to reach $1.8 billion, a 2.6% increase [11] Market and Industry Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a strong rebound, driven by increased demand for memory and AI applications, particularly in Generative AI [6] - Heightened spending on dynamic random access memory (DRAM) and advancements in 3D DRAM and packaging technologies are expected to positively impact LRCX's performance [7][9] - The company's focus on expanding semiconductor fabrication capabilities and heavy investment in R&D positions it favorably in a competitive landscape [9] Stock Performance and Valuation - LRCX shares have increased by 177% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry, which rose by 30.6% [12] - The stock currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 41.29, higher than the industry average of 32.75 [14] - Compared to peers, LRCX trades at a lower multiple than ASML Holding but higher than KLA Corporation and Applied Materials [18] Investment Thesis - Lam Research is capitalizing on AI trends, providing essential tools for manufacturing next-generation semiconductors, including high-bandwidth memory [19] - The company's innovative products, such as the ALTUS ALD tool and Aether platform, enhance chip production efficiency and performance [20] - Continued investments in R&D and expansion in Asia are expected to improve margins and lower costs, with a notable increase in non-GAAP operating margin to 35% year over year [22]
Lam Research Soars 165% in a Year: Is LRCX Stock Still a Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 14:25
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) has experienced a significant stock price increase of 164.8% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry, which gained 41.6% during the same period [1][8] - The company has surpassed major semiconductor manufacturing tool providers such as KLA Corporation, ASML Holding, and Applied Materials, which saw stock price increases of 92.3%, 68.2%, and 61.1%, respectively [2] Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Lam Research reported total revenues of $5.32 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2% [4][8] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for the same quarter were $1.26, beating consensus estimates by 4.1%, and reflecting a 46.5% increase year-over-year [5][8] - The company's non-GAAP operating margin improved to 35%, up 410 basis points from the previous year, demonstrating effective cost management [5][9] Market Position and Demand - Lam Research is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for advanced semiconductor technologies, particularly in AI chips and advanced packaging [10][12] - The company has maintained quarterly revenues above $5 billion for the past two quarters, driven by demand from major chipmakers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing and Samsung [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects revenue growth of 14.1% and 12.5% for fiscal 2026 and 2027, respectively, with earnings per share growth of 15.9% and 15.2% for the same periods [14] Valuation - Lam Research's stock trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 40.19, higher than the industry average of 34.5, reflecting strong growth prospects amid AI-driven demand [15] - Compared to major semiconductor equipment providers, LRCX has a lower P/E multiple than ASML but trades at a premium to KLA and Applied Materials [17] Investment Recommendation - Given its solid financial performance, strategic focus on AI-driven growth, and reasonable valuation, Lam Research is considered a compelling investment option at this time [19]
LRCX vs. TSM: Which Semiconductor Powerhouse Is the Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 14:20
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) are pivotal in the global semiconductor supply chain, with TSMC being the largest contract chipmaker and Lam Research providing essential equipment for chip production [1][2] Group 1: Lam Research Performance - Lam Research is leveraging AI trends by producing tools necessary for manufacturing next-generation semiconductors, which are crucial for AI and cloud data centers [3][4] - In 2024, Lam Research's shipments for gate-all-around nodes and advanced packaging surpassed $1 billion, with expectations to triple to over $3 billion in 2025 [5] - The company has maintained quarterly revenues exceeding $5 billion for two consecutive quarters, driven by strong demand from major chipmakers [6] - In Q1 fiscal 2026, Lam Research reported revenues of $5.32 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.26, reflecting a 46.5% rise [7] Group 2: Taiwan Semiconductor Performance - Taiwan Semiconductor remains a leader in the global chip foundry market, with revenues in Q3 2025 increasing by 41% year-over-year to $33.1 billion and EPS rising 39% to $2.92 [8] - AI-related chip sales are projected to contribute approximately 30% of total revenues in 2025, up from the mid-teens percentage in 2024, with expected annual growth of 40% over the next five years [9] - TSMC plans to invest between $40 billion and $42 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, significantly higher than the $29.8 billion in 2024, focusing on advanced manufacturing processes [11] Group 3: Comparative Analysis - Lam Research shows a more stable earnings growth profile, with projected year-over-year increases of 15.7% and 15.5% for fiscal 2026 and 2027, respectively, while TSMC's EPS growth is expected to slow down [14] - Over the past year, shares of Lam Research have surged by 163.2%, compared to 54.2% for Taiwan Semiconductor [21] - Lam Research trades at 39.19 times forward earnings, while TSMC trades at 26.02 times, with the premium for LRCX justified by its positive earnings momentum [22] Conclusion - Lam Research is currently viewed as the better investment option due to its strong demand, steady growth, and fewer risks compared to Taiwan Semiconductor, which faces challenges from geopolitical tensions and higher capital spending [25][26]
Micron vs. Lam Research: Which Stock Has Better Upside Potential?
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 14:01
Core Insights - Micron Technology and Lam Research are both benefiting from the semiconductor boom, but they operate in different segments of the industry [2][3] - Micron focuses on memory chips, while Lam Research provides the machinery for chip manufacturing, particularly for AI and high-performance computing [2][3] Micron Technology Overview - Micron Technology is well-positioned for long-term growth due to its exposure to AI, data centers, autonomous vehicles, and industrial IoT [4] - The company has shifted its focus from consumer electronics to more stable sectors like automotive and enterprise IT, resulting in a 46% increase in revenues and a 157% rise in non-GAAP EPS year over year in Q4 fiscal 2025 [5] - Micron's HBM3E products are in high demand due to their energy efficiency and bandwidth, essential for AI workloads [6] - The company is a core HBM supplier for NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 50 GPUs, indicating strong integration in the AI supply chain [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 62% revenue increase and a 109% EPS growth for fiscal 2026 [8] Lam Research Overview - Lam Research is capitalizing on AI trends by providing tools for manufacturing next-generation semiconductors [9] - The company has innovative products like the ALTUS ALD tool and the Aether platform, which enhance chip production efficiency [10] - Lam Research's shipments for advanced packaging exceeded $1 billion in 2024, with expectations to triple to over $3 billion in 2025 [12] - The company has maintained quarterly revenues above $5 billion for two consecutive quarters, reflecting strong demand from major chipmakers [13] - In Q1 fiscal 2026, Lam Research reported revenues of $5.32 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase, and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.26, up 46.5% [14] Comparative Analysis - Micron Technology shows a stronger growth outlook with a projected 62% revenue growth and 109.4% EPS increase for fiscal 2026, compared to Lam Research's 14% revenue growth and 15.7% EPS increase [15][16] - Micron trades at a lower forward P/E of 12.86 compared to Lam Research's 30.93, indicating a more attractive valuation [17] - Year-to-date, Micron has outperformed Lam Research with a 181.9% increase compared to Lam's 119.7% [18] Investment Conclusion - Micron Technology is considered a better investment choice due to its higher EPS growth projection and lower valuation P/E multiple [20]
LRCX vs. ASML: Which Semiconductor Equipment Leader Is a Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 14:11
Core Insights - Lam Research (LRCX) and ASML Holding (ASML) are key players in the semiconductor equipment industry, crucial for chipmaking processes and benefiting from the AI-driven boom in chip fabrication [1][2] - Both companies have different fundamentals, growth outlooks, and valuations, presenting varied risk-reward profiles for investors [2] Lam Research Overview - Lam Research is leveraging AI trends by providing essential tools for manufacturing next-generation semiconductors, including high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced packaging chips [3][4] - The company reported shipments for gate-all-around nodes and advanced packaging exceeding $1 billion in 2024, with expectations to triple this figure to over $3 billion in 2025 [5] - Lam Research has maintained over $5 billion in quarterly revenues for the past two quarters, driven by demand from major chipmakers like TSMC, Samsung, and Micron [6] - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, revenues reached $5.32 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.26, reflecting a 46.5% increase [7] ASML Holding Overview - ASML Holding holds a unique position in the chip equipment market as the sole producer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines at scale, essential for manufacturing chips at advanced nodes [8][9] - The company is introducing next-generation High-NA EUV machines, which will cater to the demand for smaller, more efficient chips, particularly in AI applications [9] - However, ASML faces challenges from U.S.-China export restrictions, which may hinder its growth in the near term [11] - ASML's revenue growth has slowed, with a mere 0.7% increase year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025, down from 23% in the second quarter and 46% in the first quarter [12] Comparative Analysis - Lam Research shows a steadier long-term growth profile, with revenue growth estimates of 12.7% and 11.2% for fiscal 2026 and 2027, respectively, and non-GAAP EPS expected to rise by 14% and 15.2% [14] - In contrast, ASML's revenue and EPS growth for 2025 are projected at 23.5% and 39.7%, but are expected to decelerate significantly to 3.2% and 3.6% in 2026 [17] - Year-to-date, Lam Research shares have surged 130.3%, while ASML shares increased by 49.9% [20] - Lam Research trades at 33.39 times forward earnings, compared to ASML's 34.64 times, making LRCX appear more reasonably priced given its stronger near-term momentum [21] Conclusion - Both companies are positioned to benefit from the AI-driven semiconductor investment cycle, but Lam Research's broader exposure to high-growth markets and lower valuation provide a stronger upside potential for investors [23] - Lam Research currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while ASML has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [24]
AMAT vs. LRCX: Which Semiconductor Giant Stands Out for Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 17:17
Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing growth driven by the AI boom, with Applied Materials (AMAT) and Lam Research (LRCX) as key suppliers of semiconductor fabrication equipment [2][19] Group 1: Applied Materials (AMAT) - AMAT is a major manufacturer of semiconductor fabrication equipment, focusing on deposition, etching, and inspection, which are critical for chip manufacturing [3] - AMAT's Semiconductor Systems segment reported revenues of $5.43 billion in Q3, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for foundry-logic, DRAM, and NAND products [4][5] - The company is ramping up R&D investments, including the establishment of a new research center expected to be operational by 2026 [6] - A slowdown in the IoT, Communications, Automotive, Power, and Sensors (ICAPS) segment has been acknowledged, which may impact overall performance [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates single-digit growth for AMAT's bottom line, with EPS growth projected at 8.21% for fiscal 2025 and 0.35% for fiscal 2026 [8][9] Group 2: Lam Research (LRCX) - LRCX has a strong growth profile, particularly in AI chip technology, with shipments for gate-all-around nodes exceeding $1 billion in 2024 and expected to triple by 2025 [11][14] - The company specializes in etch and deposition technology, essential for advanced packaging and AI workloads [12] - LRCX's ALTUS ALD tool and Aether platform enhance chip manufacturing capabilities, supporting higher performance and energy efficiency for AI chips [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for LRCX indicates double-digit growth, with EPS growth projected at 14% for fiscal 2026 and 15% for fiscal 2027 [15][16] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, AMAT and LRCX shares have declined by 41.4% and 40.5%, respectively [17] - AMAT trades at a forward price-to-sales multiple of 6.45X, while LRCX trades at 10.32X [18] - LRCX is viewed as having a stronger growth profile due to its advanced technology for AI chip manufacturing, while AMAT's growth outlook is more uncertain [19]
Microsoft Just Lit a Fuse Under Nebius (NBIS). Buy Now Before It Takes Off
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 17:26
Group 1: Microsoft and OpenAI Partnership - Microsoft has acquired approximately 27% of OpenAI's for-profit business, valued at around $135 billion, marking a significant evolution in their partnership [1] - OpenAI is committed to procuring $250 billion in Azure cloud services, with a stipulation that API-based products must run exclusively on Azure [2] - This partnership grants Microsoft intellectual property rights to OpenAI's innovations until the realization of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), securing a near-term monopoly over the commercial AI layer [3] Group 2: Nebius Group's Positioning - Nebius Group is positioned to benefit significantly from the partnership by supplying critical GPU resources for Azure, enhancing its compute utilization [4] - The company has a five-year agreement with Microsoft worth $17.4 billion for AI infrastructure, which could expand to $19.4 billion with increased demand [5] - Nebius's revenue stream is expected to grow as OpenAI's tools scale globally, supported by Microsoft's investment in AI supercomputing [6] Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Potential - Nebius has reported doubled revenues and positive EBITDA in its core AI business, indicating strong operational momentum [7] - The partnership positions Nebius to capitalize on a projected 45% CAGR growth in the neocloud market through 2030, making it a critical player in the AI ecosystem [7] - Nebius focuses on providing the necessary GPU infrastructure for AI innovation, meeting the rising demand for cloud-based AI services [8]
LRCX vs. TSM: Which Semiconductor Stock Is the Better Bet Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 13:15
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) are pivotal players in the global semiconductor ecosystem, with TSMC being the largest contract chipmaker and Lam Research providing essential equipment for chip production [1][2] Lam Research Performance - Lam Research is leveraging AI trends by producing tools necessary for manufacturing next-generation semiconductors, which are crucial for AI and cloud data centers [3][4] - In 2024, Lam Research's shipments for gate-all-around nodes and advanced packaging surpassed $1 billion, with expectations to triple to over $3 billion in 2025 [5] - The company reported revenues of $5.17 billion in Q4 of fiscal 2025, marking a 34% year-over-year increase, and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.33, reflecting a 64% increase [6] Taiwan Semiconductor Performance - TSMC maintains dominance in the semiconductor foundry space, having advanced to 3nm production and preparing for 2nm, which positions it well to meet rising AI chip demand [7] - AI-related revenues for TSMC tripled in 2024 and are projected to double again in 2025, with Q2 2025 revenues reaching $30.07 billion, a 44% year-over-year increase, and EPS rising 61% to $2.47 [8] Investment Outlook - Lam Research is viewed as a stronger investment option due to its steady growth profile, with earnings growth estimates of 8.7% and 10.9% for fiscal 2026 and 2027, respectively [12] - In contrast, TSMC's earnings growth is expected to slow, with projections of 39.6% and 13.3% for 2025 and 2026 [12] - Year-to-date, shares of Lam Research have surged 94.3%, compared to TSMC's 49.5% increase [15] - Lam Research trades at 30.31 times forward earnings, while TSMC trades at 27.13 times, with the premium for Lam justified by its positive earnings momentum [16] Conclusion - Overall, Lam Research appears to be the better investment choice currently, benefiting from AI trends with fewer associated risks compared to TSMC, which faces geopolitical tensions and higher capital spending [19][20]
Lam Research Teams Up With JSR: Can it Lead in High-NA EUV?
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 16:16
Core Insights - Lam Research has entered a new cross-licensing and collaboration agreement with JSR Corporation to advance next-generation chip patterning [1] - The partnership aims to accelerate the transition to high-NA EUV lithography, essential for reducing chip features for AI and high-performance computing [2] - The collaboration will also focus on new materials and processes for atomic layer deposition and etching, leveraging Lam Research's expertise [3] Company Strategy - The partnership aligns with Lam Research's strategy to build a diverse portfolio around critical technology inflections, including EUV patterning, ALD, and advanced packaging [3] - Success in high-NA EUV could enhance Lam Research's market share in foundry and logic sectors, particularly for sub-2 nanometer nodes [4] Financial Performance - Lam Research's shares have increased by 77.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's growth of 33.9% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues indicates a year-over-year increase of 6.7% [4] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have been revised upward, suggesting a year-over-year increase of approximately 7.5% and 11.1%, respectively [14] Valuation Metrics - Lam Research trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 28.44, which is significantly lower than the industry's average of 36.51 [11] - Current earnings estimates for the upcoming quarters and years show a positive trend, with the current year estimate at $4.45 and next year at $4.94 [15]
Lam Research vs. Micron: Which Semiconductor Stock Is the Better Bet?
ZACKS· 2025-09-12 14:16
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) and Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) are both benefiting from the semiconductor boom, but they operate in different segments of the industry [1][2] - Lam Research focuses on providing advanced machines for chip manufacturing, particularly for AI and high-performance computing, while Micron specializes in memory chips like DRAM and NAND [1][2] Lam Research Performance - Lam Research is capitalizing on AI trends by supplying tools necessary for manufacturing next-generation semiconductors, including high-bandwidth memory (HBM) [3][4] - In fiscal 2024, Lam Research's shipments for gate-all-around nodes and advanced packaging exceeded $1 billion, with expectations to triple to over $3 billion in 2025 [5] - The company reported revenues of $5.17 billion in Q4 fiscal 2025, a 34% increase year over year, and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.33, reflecting a 64% increase [6][11] Micron Performance - Micron is positioned for long-term growth due to its exposure to AI, high-performance data centers, and industrial IoT, with a focus on advanced memory solutions [7] - The company has shifted its strategy towards more stable revenue sources, resulting in a 37% increase in revenues and a 208% increase in non-GAAP EPS in Q3 fiscal 2025 [8][11] - Micron's HBM3E products are gaining traction due to their energy efficiency and bandwidth, essential for AI workloads [9] Growth Outlook - Micron's growth profile is stronger, with consensus estimates indicating a 33.9% revenue growth and 60.7% EPS growth for fiscal 2026 [12] - In contrast, Lam Research's growth estimates suggest a slowdown, with only 6% revenue growth and 2.2% EPS growth projected for fiscal 2026 [15] Valuation Comparison - Lam Research trades at a higher forward P/E multiple of 25.69 compared to Micron's 11.46, indicating a larger premium for LRCX stock despite lower growth projections [19] - Year-to-date, Micron's stock has increased by 78.9%, outperforming Lam Research's 60% gain [20] Investment Conclusion - Given Micron's higher EPS growth projections and lower valuation P/E multiple, it is considered a more attractive investment compared to Lam Research [21]