Core Insights - The recent salon hosted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange focused on the development of the domestic optical chip industry, addressing key issues such as technological breakthroughs, industry chain collaboration, and global layout [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - Optical chips are referred to as the "heart of optical communication," with increasing demand for data transmission bandwidth and computing power driving rapid growth in the optical communication industry [2] - Dekoli has made significant breakthroughs in core technologies through independent research and development, particularly in thin-film lithium niobate chips and O-Band semiconductor optical amplifier chips, providing technical support for the domestic optical communication industry [2] - Changguanghua has successfully achieved domestic production of key optical communication chips, including 100G EML, which has entered mass production, and 200G EML, which is in the sampling phase [2] - Shijia Photon has made technological breakthroughs in passive optical chips and laser chips, successfully breaking foreign technology monopolies in areas such as AWG wavelength division multiplexing chips and CW DFB series laser chips [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Strategies - The optical chip industry is characterized by strong cyclicality, with product lifecycles for AI training cluster optical modules being only 1-1.5 years, necessitating a focus on continuous R&D investment and flexible product strategies to navigate market fluctuations [4] - Companies are emphasizing the importance of a "three-dimensional moat" consisting of technology, ecosystem, and cash flow to withstand industry cycles [4] - Differentiated innovation is seen as a key path to overcoming cyclical challenges, with companies like Shijia Photon leveraging open innovation platforms and optimizing manufacturing processes to enhance yield and cost advantages [5] Group 3: Global Expansion and Competition - As global competition in the optical chip market intensifies, Chinese companies are focusing on enhancing their global competitiveness and transitioning from "domestic substitution" to "global competition" [6] - Dekoli has established a global integrated strategy through its presence in Singapore, Canada, and Thailand, aiming for a unified approach in R&D, production, and sales [7] - Changguanghua plans to deepen its collaboration with downstream optical module manufacturers while expanding into overseas markets through international mergers and capital cooperation [7] - Shijia Photon is advancing its global strategy by establishing production lines in Thailand and collaborating with international clients to accelerate the global deployment of its technology products [7] - Source Technology aims to enhance its global competitiveness through high-end technological breakthroughs and global capacity expansion, particularly in data centers and ultra-high-speed optical communication [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [8] Core Views - The company reported a turnaround in Q1 2025 with a revenue of 84.4 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%, achieving a net profit of 14.32 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36% [1] - The revenue for 2024 reached 252 million yuan, a 75% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was -6.13 million yuan, a decrease of 131% [1] - The company is experiencing continuous revenue growth for two consecutive quarters, driven by the strong performance of its optical communication products [1] Financial Performance - The company’s revenue from optical communication products in 2024 was 48.04 million yuan, significantly up from 4.71 million yuan in 2023, with a gross margin of 71% [2] - The telecommunications product revenue was 202 million yuan, a 52% year-on-year increase, but the gross margin decreased by 15.58 percentage points to 24.62% due to increased competition and price declines [2] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 146 million yuan, 304 million yuan, and 447 million yuan respectively, reflecting strong growth potential [5] Research and Development - The company has increased its R&D investment to 54.52 million yuan in 2024, a 76% year-on-year increase, focusing on CW and EML products [3] - The company has completed customer validation for its 100G PAM4 EML and CW 100mW chips, with ongoing development for higher-speed EML chips [3] Market Position and Strategy - The company is well-positioned in the optical communication market, with a significant increase in the shipment of silicon photonic CW 70mW lasers, which have become a new growth point [2] - The company is advancing its overseas production capacity as planned, with no significant impact from tariffs on its exports [4]

关税对公司无太大影响，海外产能如期推进 公司报告 | 年报点评报告 源杰科技（688498） 证券研究报告 一季报扭亏，数通光芯片助收入连续 2 季度环比增长 1Q25 扭亏，收入连续 2 个季度环比增长 公司公布 24 年年报及 25 年一季报，24 年实现营业收入 2.52 亿元，同比 增长 75%，归母净利润-613 万元，同比减少 131%，符合业绩快报。1Q25 单季实现营业收入 8440 万元，同比增长 41%、环比增长 14%，归母净利润 1432 万元，同比增长 36%、环比扭亏。公司收入连续 2 个季度环比增长， 1Q25 实现扭亏，1Q 单季毛利率达到 44.6%，同比大幅提升 10pct，主要原 因是数通 CW 的持续发力。 数通光芯片出货放量，电信产品竞争加剧 24 年分产品看：1）数通中心及其他产品收入 4804 万元，而 23 年仅为 471 万元，收入贡献的主要增量来自硅光 CW 70mw 激光器、出货超过百万颗， 已成为公司新增长点，数通毛利率为 71%。2）电信市场产品收入 2.02 亿 元，同比增长 52%，毛利率 24.62%，同比减少 15.58pct，收入增长主要来 ...

➢ 持续加大研发投入，充分把握高端光芯片领域的发展机遇：公司 2022~2024 年的研发费用率分别为 9.58%/21.43%/21.62%。2024 年全年公司研发费用达 5451.76 万元，同比大幅增长 76.2%。电信市场方面，公司积极配合海内外设备 商提前布局下一代 25G/50G PON 所需的 DFB/EML 产品，实现第一阶段的卡位 和小批量出货。数通市场来看，除了 CW 70mW 芯片外，公司 100G PAM4 EML、 CW 100mW 芯片已完成客户认证，200G PAM4 EML 已完成产品开发并推出， 还研发了适配 CPO 方案的 300mW 高功率 CW 光源，此外针对 OIO 领域的 CW 光芯片需求，公司也已展开相关预研工作。 ➢ 投资建议：公司作为国内光芯片厂龙头商，技术实力突出，持续聚焦电信& 数通领域的高端品类国产替代，成长空间广阔。我们预计公司 2025-2027 年的 归母净利润分别为 0.95/1.68/2.45 亿元，对应 PE 倍数 104/59/40 倍。维持"推 荐"评级。 ➢ 风险提示：数通市场需求不及预期，行业竞争加剧，新产品发展不及预期。 [盈利预 ...