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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners(CCEP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-17 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of EUR 20.9 billion, an increase of 2.8%, with comparable volumes marginally ahead [12][13] - Operating profit reached EUR 2.8 billion, up 7.1%, with an operating margin of 13.4%, an expansion of around 50 basis points [14] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased to EUR 4.11, up 6.2% on a comparable basis [14] - Free cash flow was strong at just over EUR 1.8 billion, after significant capital expenditures of nearly EUR 1 billion [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The non-alcoholic ready-to-drink (NARTD) category grew around 6% in value terms, with volume growth in Europe up 2% and Australia Pacific Southeast Asia (APS) up 5% [7] - The energy category saw a remarkable volume growth of nearly 20%, driven by strong performance from brands like Monster [9][66] - The ready-to-drink tea segment, particularly Fuze Tea, led the category in Iberia, contributing to overall growth [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The UK market, the largest revenue contributor, experienced nearly 6% revenue growth, with significant contributions from Coca-Cola Zero and Diet Coke [16] - In Australia, top-line performance excluding alcohol was impressive at 7%, marking the strongest growth in years [17] - Indonesia faced challenges with NARTD volumes down double digits, but there was an improving performance in the second half of the year [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a value creation strategy, generating EUR 4 billion for retail customers and returning EUR 4 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [4] - There is a commitment to maximizing returns for shareholders, with a further EUR 1 billion share buyback planned [20] - The company is investing in digital capabilities and AI to enhance operations and decision-making processes [31][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving organic revenue growth of 7% and profit sustainability over the midterm [33] - The company anticipates revenue growth of 3%-4% for 2026, driven by volumes and revenue per unit case [34] - Management acknowledged challenges in the consumer environment but remains optimistic about the company's positioning in growing categories [36] Other Important Information - The company has been recognized as a top employer and is investing in training for digital and AI capabilities [8] - Sustainability efforts continue, with progress in packaging collection and decarbonization initiatives [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did Europe perform in Q4, particularly in Germany and France? - Management noted a strong exit rate in Europe, with challenges in Germany and France due to higher promotional prices and tax increases impacting volumes [39][40] Question: What tailwind is expected from the World Cup? - Management highlighted extensive activation plans for the World Cup and EPL, aiming to engage consumers through promotions and on-pack activities [46][47] Question: What is the underlying growth excluding portfolio changes? - Management indicated that backing out portfolio changes would show growth between half a point and a point, aligning with midterm guidance [58][59] Question: What is the outlook for the energy category growth? - Management expects the energy category to maintain mid-teen growth levels, supported by innovation and distribution efforts [66] Question: What is the guidance for Indonesia's performance? - Management expects Indonesia to grow in volume and revenue, but has not reflected significant upside potential in guidance yet [78]
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners(CCEP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-17 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of EUR 20.9 billion, an increase of 2.8%, with comparable volumes marginally ahead [12] - Operating profit reached EUR 2.8 billion, up 7.1%, with an operating margin of 13.4%, an expansion of around 50 basis points [14] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased to EUR 4.11, up 6.2% on a comparable basis [14] - Free cash flow was strong at just over EUR 1.8 billion, after significant capital expenditures of nearly EUR 1 billion [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The away-from-home channel saw robust top-line growth, contributing to overall market share gains [4] - The non-alcoholic ready-to-drink (NARTD) category grew around 6% in value terms, with Europe up 2% and Australia Pacific Southeast Asia (APS) up 5% [7] - The energy category experienced a remarkable 19% volume growth, driven by strong innovation and market demand [66] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The UK market, the largest revenue contributor, saw revenue growth of almost 6%, with significant contributions from Coca-Cola Zero and Diet Coke [16] - In Australia, top-line performance excluding alcohol was impressive at 7%, marking the strongest growth in years [17] - Indonesia faced challenges with NARTD volumes down double digits, but showed signs of improvement in the second half of the year [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on creating value through strategic portfolio changes and investments in growth, with a commitment to maximizing shareholder returns [4][20] - There is an emphasis on innovation and premiumization while maintaining affordability, particularly in developed markets [22][23] - The company is leveraging technology and digital capabilities to enhance productivity and decision-making processes [31][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving organic revenue growth of 7% and sustainable profit growth over the midterm [33] - The company anticipates revenue growth of 3%-4% for 2026, driven by volume and revenue per unit case [34] - Management acknowledged the challenges in the consumer environment but remains optimistic about the company's positioning in profitable categories [36] Other Important Information - The company returned EUR 1.9 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, including a new EUR 1 billion share buyback program [15][20] - The company has been recognized as a top employer and is investing in digital and AI training for its workforce [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did Europe perform in Q4, particularly in Germany and France? - Management noted a strong exit rate in December, with challenges in Germany and France due to higher promotional prices and tax increases impacting volumes [39][40][41] Question: What is the expected free cash flow guidance for 2026? - The company guided for at least EUR 1.7 billion in free cash flow for 2026, reflecting increased CapEx investments [42] Question: What tailwind is expected from the World Cup? - Management highlighted extensive activation plans for the World Cup and EPL, aiming to engage consumers through promotions and on-pack activities [46][47] Question: What is the outlook for energy category growth? - Management expects the energy category to maintain mid-teen growth levels, supported by innovation and distribution improvements [66] Question: What is the potential for revenue growth management in mature markets? - Management sees significant opportunities for revenue growth through smarter pricing and promotional strategies, with ongoing flexibility in pack formats [73][74]
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners(CCEP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-17 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of EUR 20.9 billion, an increase of 2.8%, with comparable volumes marginally ahead [12] - Operating profit reached EUR 2.8 billion, up 7.1%, with an operating margin of 13.4%, an expansion of around 50 basis points [13] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased to EUR 4.11, up 6.2% on a comparable basis [13] - Free cash flow was strong at just over EUR 1.8 billion, after significant capital expenditures of nearly EUR 1 billion [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The away-from-home channel saw robust top-line growth, contributing to overall market share gains [4] - The non-alcoholic ready-to-drink (NARTD) category grew approximately 6% in value terms, with Europe up 2% and Australia Pacific Southeast Asia (APS) up 5% [6] - The energy category experienced a remarkable 19% volume growth, driven by strong brand performance and innovation [64] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Great Britain (GB) reported nearly 6% revenue growth, with significant contributions from Coca-Cola Zero and Diet Coke [16] - APS delivered top-line performance, excluding alcohol, of 7%, marking its strongest growth in years [17] - Indonesia faced challenges with a double-digit decline in NARTD volumes, although there was an improvement in the second half of the year [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on creating value through strategic portfolio changes and investments in growth, with a commitment to maximizing shareholder returns [4][20] - There is an emphasis on innovation and premiumization while maintaining affordability, particularly in developed markets [24] - The company is leveraging technology and digital capabilities to enhance operational efficiency and customer engagement [32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving organic revenue growth of 7% and sustainable profit growth over the midterm [34] - The company anticipates revenue growth of 3%-4% for 2026, driven by volume and revenue per unit case [34] - Management acknowledged challenges in certain markets but remains optimistic about recovery and growth potential [36] Other Important Information - The company returned EUR 1.9 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, including a new EUR 1 billion share buyback program [15][20] - The company has been recognized as a top employer and is investing in digital and AI training for its workforce [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: How did Europe perform in Q4, particularly in Germany and France? - Management noted a strong exit rate in Q4, with challenges in Germany and France primarily due to higher promotional prices and tax increases impacting volumes [39][41] Question: What tailwind is expected from the World Cup? - Management highlighted extensive activation plans for the World Cup and EPL, aiming to engage consumers through promotions and on-pack activities [46][48] Question: What is the outlook for energy category growth? - Management expects the energy category to maintain mid-teen growth levels, supported by innovation and distribution improvements [64][66] Question: How is the company addressing revenue growth management in mature markets? - Management sees significant opportunities for revenue growth through smarter pricing and promotional strategies, with ongoing efforts to optimize pack offerings [72][74] Question: What is the outlook for Indonesia's market performance? - Management indicated a stronger finish to the year in Indonesia, with expectations for growth in both volume and revenue, while remaining cautious about guidance [77][78]
Thousands of smoke detectors recalled over potential fire hazard
Fox Business· 2026-02-13 21:28
Group 1 - The Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC) announced a recall of 11,000 LShome Photoelectric 3-Pack Smoke Detector Fire Alarms due to a sound issue that may pose a fire hazard [1][4] - The affected smoke alarms, which are white and circular, may fail to activate promptly if the sensing threshold of security warnings is set too high [1][4] - Consumers are advised to stop using the product immediately and can discard the smoke alarms in the trash [4] Group 2 - The smoke detectors were sold exclusively on Amazon from February 2024 through December 2025 at a price of approximately $30 [4] - The model number for the affected alarms is XG-7D04-KZ9Z and the SKU number is CX-50YP-A5VN, both printed on the bottom side of the alarm [4] - No injuries or incidents related to the recalled products have been reported according to the CPSC [5] Group 3 - Consumers seeking a refund can contact the provided email address for instructions on how to receive a refund through Amazon [7] - Amazon has been reached out for comment regarding the recall [8]
Coca-Cola narrowly beats earnings expectations, plus why investors are remaining cautious
Youtube· 2026-02-10 16:00
Market Overview - US stocks are trading near record highs, with the S&P 500 close to its all-time high of 4,796.56, just about 10 points below that level [6] - Despite the rally, investor sentiment appears cautious, with concerns about the tech sector dominating discussions [7][10] - The energy sector is noted as the best-performing group this year, followed by materials and consumer staples [9] Company Earnings - Coca-Cola's earnings report disappointed investors, with its outlook at the bottom end of expectations, projecting organic revenue growth of 4% to 5%, slightly below the anticipated 5% [27][29] - Spotify reported a significant increase in monthly active users, reaching 751 million, a rise of 11% year-over-year, attributed to successful marketing campaigns [3][43] - Harley-Davidson experienced a 4% drop in shipments, contrary to analyst expectations of a 22% increase, leading to a decline in stock value [45] Consumer Behavior - Recent retail sales data for December showed no growth, significantly worse than the expected 0.4% increase, indicating potential weakness in consumer spending during the holiday season [15][16] - The K-shaped economic recovery is highlighted, with high-income consumers continuing to spend while low-income consumers seek more affordable options [32][34] - Coca-Cola noted that while total spending is up, low-income consumers are increasingly looking for value, opting for smaller packages or shopping at discount stores [32][34] Investment Trends - Alphabet is making headlines by issuing a $1 billion bond with a 100-year maturity, marking a significant move in the tech sector [2][14] - The software sector is facing scrutiny, with concerns about the future earnings visibility of companies like ServiceNow and Salesforce, as AI developments create uncertainty [11][12] - Investors are advised to consider selective buying in software, focusing on companies with strong competitive advantages [51][52]
Coca-Cola stock sinks on disappointing outlook as Coke Zero, water power surprise sales increase
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-10 14:11
Core Insights - Coca-Cola's stock experienced a decline of up to 4% following a cautious outlook for 2026, as CEO James Quincey highlighted the need for improvement in several international markets [1] - The company reported a 5% organic revenue growth in the fourth quarter, surpassing Wall Street's expectation of 4.8%, but anticipates organic sales growth of 4%-5% for 2026, which is below the 5% forecasted by analysts [2] - Adjusted earnings are projected to grow by 7%-8% this year, following a 9% increase in 2025 [2] Regional Performance - Coca-Cola is facing challenges in markets such as China, India, and Mexico, particularly due to the implementation of a soft drink tax, with flat sales reported in the Asia Pacific region during the fourth quarter [3] - In North America, the company saw a 1% increase in volumes and a 4% rise in prices in the fourth quarter, as consumers shifted towards less sugary options [3] Product Performance - Coca-Cola Zero Sugar volumes increased by 13% in the fourth quarter and 14% for the full year, while Diet Coke and Coca-Cola Light saw a 2% volume increase for the quarter and remained flat for the year [4] - The company is also experiencing growth in its protein products, such as Fairlife and Core Power, as well as hydration products like BodyArmor [4] Consumer Trends - The company is testing a new Simply Pop prebiotic soda to compete with PepsiCo's Poppi acquisition, although progress has been slow [5] - Quincey noted that while total consumer spending remains stable, purchasing habits are changing, with lower-income consumers engaging in value-based shopping [6] - Coca-Cola has implemented an affordability strategy over the past few years, which the company believes is effective in addressing these changing consumer behaviors [6]
Coca-Cola Stock: Analyst Estimates & Ratings
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 10:26
Core Viewpoint - The Coca-Cola Company is a leading global beverage brand with a strong market presence and a diversified product portfolio, currently valued at $312.1 billion [1]. Performance Summary - Over the past year, Coca-Cola's stock has gained 15.2%, slightly underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which increased by 16.1%. In the last six months, KO stock returned 6.3%, compared to the SPX's 9.2% [2]. - Coca-Cola has outperformed the First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF, which declined by 2.7% over the past year and 2.3% over the past six months [3]. Market Position and Demand - The company benefits from steady demand for its beverages, a diversified global footprint, and strong pricing power, which helps maintain margins during cost pressures. This defensive nature was evident when Coca-Cola's stock rose over 1% on January 20, despite a broader market decline [4]. - Rising interest rates, slowing global growth, and persistent inflation have led investors to favor resilient consumer staples like Coca-Cola over cyclical stocks [4]. Earnings Outlook - For FY2025, analysts project Coca-Cola's EPS to grow by 3.8% to $2.99 on a diluted basis. The company has a solid earnings surprise history, beating consensus estimates in the last four quarters [5]. - Among 24 analysts covering Coca-Cola, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with 19 "Strong Buy" ratings, two "Moderate Buys," and three "Holds" [5]. Analyst Sentiment - The current analyst configuration is less bullish than a month ago, when 20 analysts had given a "Strong Buy" recommendation. Recently, BofA Securities reaffirmed a "Buy" rating and raised the price target to $80 from $78, indicating continued confidence in the company's outlook [6].
Coca-Cola's Premiumization Push: Growth Engine or Volume Risk?
ZACKS· 2026-01-19 15:01
Core Insights - The Coca-Cola Company (KO) is focusing on premiumization as a growth strategy to enhance revenues, expand margins, and counteract sluggish volume growth [1][4] - The strategy involves diversifying consumer choices through brand innovation and a range of pricing options, from affordable to premium beverages [1][9] - Health-oriented products like Fairlife, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, and Diet Coke are part of this strategy, aiming to attract consumers seeking value-added options [2][9] Company Strategy - Coca-Cola's premiumization strategy is evident in its product innovations and marketing efforts, despite facing soft volumes in key markets due to consumer strain [2][3] - The company aims for balanced top-line growth by combining affordable and aspirational offerings, focusing on innovation and marketing to maintain global leadership [3][4] - Management expects pricing normalization as inflation eases, while continuing to leverage affordability and premiumization based on market conditions [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like PepsiCo and Keurig Dr Pepper are also emphasizing premiumization in their growth strategies, aligning with consumer preferences for healthier and higher-value products [5][6][7] - PepsiCo is transforming its portfolio with successful premium offerings and strategic acquisitions, while Keurig is elevating its product range to capture higher-value consumers [6][7] Financial Performance - Coca-Cola shares have increased by 0.5% over the past six months, compared to the industry's growth of 3% [8] - The company is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.78X, higher than the industry average of 18.19X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KO's earnings per share (EPS) indicates year-over-year growth of 3.5% for 2025 and 8% for 2026, with stable estimates over the past 30 days [11]
Thunder on wheels: Coca-Cola expands last-mile reach with micromobility
MINT· 2026-01-16 14:20
Core Insights - Coca-Cola is enhancing its direct distribution strategy in India by utilizing small vehicles for last-mile delivery to retail stores, aiming to improve access in hard-to-reach areas [1][2][3] Group 1: Distribution Strategy - The direct-to-store delivery approach allows Coca-Cola to reduce reliance on middlemen and traditional wholesale channels, thereby gaining better control over costs and profitability [2] - The company is investing significantly to strengthen last-mile access, although specific financial details have not been disclosed [2] - Coca-Cola operates nearly 6 million retail outlets in India and has a growing fleet of over 5,000 electric vehicles for product distribution [3] Group 2: Market Competition - Local competitors like Campa Cola and Lahori Jeera are increasing their market share in the carbonated soft drinks sector, with their combined share rising to nearly 15% from about 7% year-on-year [8] - The market share of Coca-Cola and PepsiCo has declined from 93% to around 85% during the same period, indicating increased competitive pressure [9] - The competitive landscape is prompting Coca-Cola to remain agile and responsive to market dynamics [10] Group 3: Financial Performance - Hindustan Coca-Cola Beverages reported revenues of ₹12,751 crore for FY25, reflecting a 9% year-on-year decline due to the sale of several manufacturing plants [11] - The bottler is preparing for an initial public offering (IPO) to raise approximately $1 billion [11] Group 4: Consumer Trends - There is a growing consumer preference for healthier beverage options, with low- and no-sugar products gaining traction [12][13] - Coca-Cola is expanding its portfolio to include healthier choices, such as Diet Coke and Coke Zero, which are becoming more visible in retail outlets [13][14] - The company is also innovating with new product offerings like Thums Up XForce and Schweppes Zero, aligning with the trend towards healthier consumption [14]
As a Concerned Warren Buffett Exits, His 4 Safest Dividend Stocks Are 2026 Gems
247Wallst· 2026-01-08 19:47
Core Insights - Warren Buffett announced his intention to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway by the end of 2025, although he will continue to provide guidance on investment decisions [1] - Berkshire Hathaway has been a net seller of equities, selling over $24 billion in stocks in the first nine months of 2025, following a more aggressive $143 billion in 2024, resulting in a cash reserve of $354 billion [2][3] Berkshire Hathaway's Investment Strategy - Despite being a net seller for 12 consecutive quarters, Buffett made a notable $4.3 billion investment in Alphabet Inc. in 2025, indicating a cautious approach towards future economic conditions [3] - The company continues to focus on acquiring high-quality dividend-paying stocks, with four identified as potential total return opportunities for 2026 and beyond [4] Company Highlights Chevron - Chevron Corp. offers a 4.58% dividend, which was increased by 5% earlier in the year, and has a strong credit rating of AA [7] - The company completed a $53 billion acquisition of Hess, which positively impacted its third-quarter earnings, reporting $1.85 earnings per share and $49.73 billion in revenue, exceeding analyst expectations [9] Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola Co. maintains a 2.86% dividend and is a long-term holding for Buffett, with ownership of 400 million shares [10] - The company is the largest beverage provider globally, serving over 1.9 billion servings daily across more than 200 countries [11] Kraft Heinz - Kraft Heinz Co. pays a substantial 6.63% dividend and is North America's third-largest food and beverage company [12] - The company announced a split into two independent companies, expected to unlock value and drive growth, with the separation anticipated in the second half of 2026 [14] Kroger - Kroger Co. offers a 2.15% dividend and operates a variety of retail formats across the U.S., including supermarkets and multi-department stores [16] - The company has an Outperform rating with a target price of $77, indicating strong market confidence [18]