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泡泡玛特第三季度业绩大增超245% 公告前股价跌超8%
Core Viewpoint - Bubble Mart (09992.HK), referred to as the "Moutai for young people," reported a significant revenue increase of 245%-250% year-on-year for Q3 2025, yet its stock price fell by 8.08% to HKD 250.4 per share [2][7]. Revenue Growth - Overall revenue for Q3 2025 showed a year-on-year increase of 245%-250% [2]. - Revenue from China grew by 185%-190%, with offline channels increasing by 130%-135% and online channels by 300%-305% [4]. - International revenue surged by 365%-370%, with the Americas seeing a staggering increase of 1265%-1270% [4]. Global Expansion Strategy - The company has accelerated its globalization strategy, successfully entering key markets in Europe, Southeast Asia, Japan, and South Korea through localized operations and channel expansion [4]. - The number of overseas stores has increased, and online sales through cross-border e-commerce platforms have significantly risen [4]. Product Innovation and IP Management - Strong IP operation and product innovation capabilities have contributed to rapid revenue growth, with several new products becoming bestsellers [5]. - The "WHY SO SERIOUS" Halloween blind box series sold out within minutes, indicating high demand [5]. Market Concerns - Despite the impressive growth, there are concerns regarding the sustainability of IP monetization, as the market for collectible toys matures [7]. - Analysts suggest that reliance on blockbuster products may lead to revenue volatility, and the company needs a more diversified IP portfolio to mitigate risks [7]. Analyst Ratings - JPMorgan upgraded Bubble Mart's investment rating to "Overweight" and raised the target price from HKD 300 to HKD 320, anticipating significant sales and profit growth for 2025-2027 [8].