The dollar index (DXY00) today is down by -0.24%.  The dollar is moving lower today after the Dec Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions unexpectedly contracted, a dovish factor for Fed policy.  Also, the strength in stocks today has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar.  The dollar dropped to its low after Fed Governor Stephen Miran said the Fed's policy stance is unnecessarily restrictive on the economy. The dollar is also under pressure as the Fed boosts liquidity in the financi ...

Core Insights - The dollar index is currently consolidating below the 100 level, indicating a bearish trend for 2025 [2] - The index has shown a pattern of lower highs and lower lows from January to September 2025, suggesting ongoing weakness [3] - Recent inflation data indicates pressures above the Fed's 2% target, which may lead to further rate cuts, negatively impacting the dollar index [5] Dollar Index Trends - The dollar index has been consolidating in a range of 96.22 to 100.26 since August 4, 2025, reflecting a bearish sentiment [4] - The index has made higher lows and higher highs since the low on September 17, but remains near the bottom of its trading range for 2025 [4] Inflation and Interest Rates - The September consumer and producer price index data hovered around 3%, indicating inflationary pressures that are still above the Fed's target but below the current Fed Funds Rate [5] - The Fed's recent rate cut of 25 basis points further narrows the rate differential between the U.S. dollar and other reserve currencies, contributing to a bearish outlook for the dollar index [5] Gold Market Dynamics - Gold has surpassed the euro to become the second most widely used currency, reflecting a decline in fiat currency values, including the U.S. dollar [6] - COMEX gold futures have rallied nearly 59% from the end of 2024, reaching a high of $4,398 per ounce, although they have corrected to around $4,000 in early November [7]

Tomorrow is going to be a crazy day#fomcTHE HUNTER ✴️ (@TrueGemHunter):💥 Dollar Index $DXY is dumping — down 11% since January.Driven by expectations of upcoming #FOMC rate cuts.Positive: Risk assets love it. #Bitcoin, alts & equities usually pump as investors flee cash.Negative: A weaker dollar can reignite inflation pressures.The dollar’s https://t.co/4lT7IYOoCb ...

Market Trends - The Dollar Index DXY fell to its lowest level since July 4, with a nearly 05% intraday drop [1] Analyst Report - Deutsche Bank's foreign exchange weekly report suggests avoiding the US dollar [1]

#数据 美国8月未季调CPI年率录得2.9%，符合预期；季调后CPI月率录得0.4%，高于0.3%的预期。9月6日当周初请失业金人数意外录得26.3万人，高于23.5万人的预期，为2023年6月17日当周以来新高。#行情 现货黄金短线上扬10美元，美元指数下跌30点。 https://t.co/yXY7A1BbFg ...

Core Insights - The dollar is currently trapped in a range, with a potential for a downward breach below July lows, indicating a possible ending diagonal pattern [1] - Upcoming US CPI data is crucial, as it may influence market expectations regarding interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][3] - A significant drop in crude oil prices could lead to a flat or softened inflation reading, impacting the dollar's performance [3] Economic Indicators - US inflation is expected to rise to 2.9% from 2.7%, but a softer reading could trigger a sell-off in the dollar [3] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may cut rates, with speculation on the extent of the cuts [2] Technical Analysis - The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the dollar's rise from July lows is corrective, indicating potential further weakness [4] - A target below 96 is indicated for wave C of wave five, but caution is advised as ending diagonals can signal trend reversals [4] Historical Context - A comparison is made to September 2024, where the dollar initially fell before stabilizing and recovering after a rate cut, suggesting a possible similar scenario may unfold [6]