Group 1 - Estée Lauder Cos. is no longer marketing Too Faced, Smashbox, and Dr. Jart as a package, instead offering them separately [1] - CEO Stéphane de La Faverie is assessing the group's portfolio as part of a new strategy to improve the company's performance [2] - The company has not publicly confirmed which brands are up for sale, but sources indicate that the three mentioned brands are included [2] Group 2 - For the second quarter ended December 31, the company's net sales increased by 6 percent to $4.2 billion, slightly above Wall Street estimates, with organic net sales rising by 4 percent [3] - Adjusted diluted net earnings per common share rose to 89 cents, a 43 percent increase compared to 62 cents a year earlier [3] - The company raised the lower end of its full-year net sales forecast to a range of 1 percent to 3 percent, up from a previous outlook of flat to 3 percent [3] Group 3 - Despite the positive sales growth, the stock price fell by almost 20 percent to $96.66 due to concerns over full-year adjusted earnings forecasts being below some Wall Street estimates [4] - Investors are also worried about tariff-related headwinds, which are expected to impact fiscal 2026 profitability by approximately $100 million, primarily in the second half [4] - On the following Thursday, the stock closed up almost 1 percent to $106.42 [4]

Core Viewpoint - Estée Lauder is undergoing a gradual but clear recovery, as evidenced by its latest financial report showing a net sales increase of $4.229 billion (approximately 29.353 billion RMB), a year-on-year growth of 6%, and a net profit turnaround from a loss of $590 million (approximately 4.095 billion RMB) in the same quarter of the previous fiscal year to a profit of $162 million (approximately 1.124 billion RMB), marking a significant improvement of 127% [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company has achieved double-digit growth for the second consecutive quarter, with skincare, makeup, fragrance, and scalp care all showing growth, and the latter three categories returning to profitability [3]. - For the fiscal year 2026, Estée Lauder anticipates a return to positive revenue growth, projected between 0% and 3% [4]. - Over the past 12 months, the company's stock price has increased by 46.59% [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The recovery strategy, termed "Beauty Reimagined," focuses on cost-cutting measures such as layoffs, outsourcing non-core services, and divesting underperforming brands while reallocating resources to brands and products with growth potential [5]. - Deciem, a Canadian skincare group, has seen sales surpassing the total of all other skincare brands under Estée Lauder, marking a historic first for the company [5]. - The Ordinary, a key brand under Deciem, has been able to innovate products at a faster pace than traditional brands within the group, launching nine new products in the past year [6]. Brand Development - The luxury skincare brand La Mer is transitioning from a single star product to a more comprehensive high-end skincare system, with an increased pace of new product launches [7]. - Estée Lauder has significantly increased its investment in e-commerce platforms like Amazon, Shopify, TikTok, and Douyin, adopting an aggressive advertising strategy that matches advertising spend to revenue [7]. - Online sales now contribute nearly one-third of the company's total revenue, an increase of approximately 3 percentage points from 2024 [7]. Market Expansion - The company is seeking to rebalance growth by expanding in the Americas and emerging markets without sacrificing its position in the Chinese market [8]. - Estée Lauder has invested in two local Chinese brands, CODEMINT and Melt Season, and is consciously reducing its reliance on duty-free channels in China and South Korea [9]. Asset Management - The company is divesting brands such as Too Faced, Smashbox, and Dr. Jart due to declining growth potential in the competitive market [10]. - The estimated valuation for these assets is in the low nine-digit dollar range, significantly below historical acquisition costs [10]. Investor Focus - Investors are primarily concerned with the company's ability to achieve moderate sales growth without exacerbating balance sheet pressures and the timeline for a return to profitability [11]. - The recovery path is expected to require time, patience, and consistent execution [12].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported organic sales growth of 3% in the first quarter, a significant improvement from a 13% decline in the previous quarter [4][16] - Gross margin expanded by 60 basis points to 73.3%, driven by sales growth and benefits from the Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP) [17] - Operating margin increased by 300 basis points to 7.3% compared to 4.3% last year, reflecting operational efficiencies and reduced non-consumer facing expenses [17][19] - Diluted EPS more than doubled to $0.32 from $0.14 last year [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fragrance category saw double-digit growth, while skincare experienced low single-digit growth [16] - Makeup and hair care categories declined, contributing to a low single-digit decrease in the Americas [16] - Retail sales in skincare grew 8%, outperforming the category growth of 6% [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mainland China contributed positively to the return to growth, with double-digit retail sales growth, significantly outperforming the prestige beauty market [5][42] - Emerging markets, particularly Mexico, Turkey, and India, showed double-digit growth [4] - The U.K. market saw nearly 10% industry sales growth, with strong sequential improvement in retail sales trends [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its "Beauty Reimagined" action plan, which includes enhancing consumer coverage, driving innovation, and increasing consumer-facing investments [5][12] - A new partnership with Shopify aims to modernize and scale the direct-to-consumer business [14] - The company plans to expand its presence in various channels, including Amazon and TikTok Shop, to better connect with younger consumers [9][78] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the fiscal 2024 outlook, aiming for sustainable sales growth and rebuilding operating margins to solid double digits in the coming years [5][24] - The macroeconomic environment remains dynamic, with ongoing challenges and opportunities, particularly in the East [22][44] - The company anticipates a non-linear growth path due to macro volatility and tougher comparisons in the second half of the fiscal year [22][23] Other Important Information - The company opened 14 net new freestanding stores, enhancing its brand portfolio [12] - The fiscal 2025 Social Impact and Sustainability Report highlighted achievements in climate, water, waste, and social investment [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Volume trends versus price mix - Management noted significant share gains driven by volume, with strategic price adjustments contributing to new consumer acquisition [26][28] Question: Clarity on full-year guidance - Management explained that while Q1 showed strong growth, the full-year guidance remains cautious due to macro volatility and challenging comparisons in the second half [40][46] Question: Margin outlook for the year - Management reaffirmed guidance for gross and operating margins, indicating confidence in maintaining progress despite potential tariff impacts [52][56] Question: Asia travel retail inventory levels - Management confirmed that travel retail inventory is now appropriately sized relative to demand, with positive momentum in certain markets [62][67] Question: Opportunities in new channels - Management emphasized the importance of moving quickly into new channels and enhancing existing ones, with ongoing efforts to expand distribution and consumer engagement [76][80]

Market Overview - Major averages have recently hit record highs, with the S&P 500 closing on over 30 records [1] - There has been a significant rally of 40% from the market's bottom, leading to cautious optimism among investors [2][5] Investment Strategy - The company has raised some cash in anticipation of potential volatility during the upcoming earnings season [3][5] - A cautious approach is being adopted, following Warren Buffett's principle of being fearful when others are greedy, especially in the current information vacuum [4][11] Earnings Outlook - Concerns are raised regarding the deceleration of earnings growth among major tech companies, with the MAG 7 expected to see earnings growth drop from 32% last year to below 15% this quarter [9][10] - Capital expenditures as a percentage of free cash flow among hyperscalers have increased to 60%, impacting earnings growth and stock buybacks [8] Stock Recommendations - Estee Lauder and Diageo are highlighted as attractive defensive stocks, with potential for significant returns over a 3 to 5-year period [12][18] - Diageo is recovering from COVID impacts, targeting $3 billion in free cash flow and experiencing growth in its non-alcoholic beverage segment [17] - Estee Lauder is returning to growth with a focus on online sales, increasing from 20% to 31% of its business, and targeting $1 to $1.1 billion in operating cash flow [19][20]