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Duolingo Stock Is Overvalued, According to Wall Street. Time to Sell?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-15 19:12
Core Viewpoint - Duolingo's stock has seen significant growth, with a 43% increase in 2024 and an additional 47% in 2025, leading analysts to suggest that the stock may be overvalued [1][2] Company Performance - Duolingo's user base is expanding, with nearly 47 million daily users and 10 million paying subscribers, marking a 40% increase year-over-year [6] - The company has maintained over 40% quarterly revenue growth since the start of 2022, indicating that revenue is doubling approximately every two years [9] Business Strategy - Duolingo employs A/B testing and incorporates game-like elements to enhance user engagement and motivation [7] - The company is diversifying its offerings beyond language learning to include subjects like math, music, and chess, which broadens its market opportunity [8] Technological Impact - Generative AI is accelerating product development, with nearly 150 new language courses launched in Q1 2025 [11] - While generative AI presents growth opportunities, it also poses risks by enabling competitors to offer similar services [11] Valuation Considerations - Duolingo's stock trades at nearly 30 times its sales, suggesting it may not be a bargain at current levels [12] - Assuming a sustained 40% growth rate, Duolingo could generate $4.0 billion in annual revenue by 2029, with a current market capitalization of $21.9 billion, leading to a valuation of 5.5 times the 2029 sales forecast [14]
Duolingo(DUOL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:30
Duolingo (DUOL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 05:30 PM ET Speaker0 Good evening, everyone, and welcome to Duolingo's first quarter twenty twenty five earnings webcast. Today, after market close, we released this quarter shareholder letter, a copy of which you can find on our IR website at investors.duolingo.com. On today's call, we have Luis Von Ahn, our cofounder and CEO, and Matt Skarupa, our CFO. They'll begin with some brief remarks before opening the call to questions. Analysts will be able to ask ...
Duolingo(DUOL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:30
Duolingo (DUOL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 05:30 PM ET Company Participants Deborah Belevan - VP of Investor RelationsLuis von Ahn - CO-Founder, Chairman & CEOMatthew Skaruppa - Chief Financial OfficerChris Kuntarich - Internet Equity ResearchBryan Smilek - Equity Research AssociateJustin Patterson - Managing DirectorNathan Feather - Equity Research AssociateAlexander Sklar - Vice PresidentAndrew Boone - Managing DirectorMark Mahaney - Senior Managing DirectorShweta Khajuria - Managing Director Conf ...