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Reddit vs. Meta: Which Social Media Giant Stock Is the Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 18:20
Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) and Meta Platforms (META) are prominent players in the digital advertising space, with RDDT emerging as a community-driven platform and META dominating through established platforms like Facebook and Instagram [1][2]. Digital Advertising Market - The global digital advertising market was valued at $488.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $1,164.25 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 15.4% from 2025 to 2030, benefiting both Reddit and META [2]. Reddit's Performance - Reddit's advertising revenue surged 84% year-over-year to $465 million in Q2 2025, driven by increased advertiser activity and a 50% rise in active advertisers [4][11]. - The platform's focus on automation and usability, including tools like Smartly, has enhanced advertising success by simplifying campaign management for advertisers [5]. - Reddit's new tools for publishers, such as article insights and AI-powered recommendations, are currently in beta testing, indicating ongoing innovation [6]. Meta's Performance - Meta's advertising revenue grew 21.5% year-over-year to $46.56 billion in Q2 2025, with AI integration driving user engagement and ad performance [7][11]. - AI-powered ad recommendation models have improved ad conversions by approximately 5% on Instagram and 3% on Facebook, contributing to increased user engagement [8]. - Meta's AI tools are utilized by over 3.48 billion daily users, enhancing the effectiveness of its advertising strategies [9]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Reddit and Meta shares have increased by 24.6% and 22.3%, respectively, with Reddit's outperformance attributed to strong ad revenue growth and improved targeting [12]. - Both RDDT and META shares are currently considered overvalued, with RDDT trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 14.79X compared to META's 8.18X [16]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RDDT's 2025 earnings is $1.82 per share, reflecting a 154.65% year-over-year increase, while META's estimate is $28.14 per share, indicating a 17.94% increase [18]. Conclusion - Reddit is positioned for greater upside potential due to rapid revenue growth and an expanding advertiser base, while META faces challenges in monetizing its AI services amid stiff competition [20][21].
ChatGPT Could Kill the Reddit Star. Does That Mean You Should Sell RDDT Stock Here?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-04 12:00
Reddit (RDDT) stock fell by more than 10% on Wednesday after data revealed that ChatGPT's references to the platform have plummeted. The social media company was cited in just 2% of ChatGPT responses on Tuesday, down sharply from an average of 9.7% in August and a peak of over 14% in September. Despite an almost 4% rebound in today's trading, that's still a concerning drop for a stock trading at over 100 times earnings. The decline matters because Reddit's business model is increasingly dependent on AI re ...
Reddit Gains From Solid ARPU Growth: Is the Trend Set to Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-09-18 16:45
Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) is experiencing significant growth in average revenue per user (ARPU), which increased by 47% year over year to $4.53 in Q2 2025, driven by enhanced advertising options and performance improvements for advertisers [1][10] - The company's advertising revenues surged by 84% year over year to $465 million in Q2 2025, largely due to new ad formats, automation, and measurement tools [1][10] Advertising Performance - Key drivers of advertising growth include the adoption of Dynamic Product Ads, which yield an average return on ad spend that is twice as high as standard conversion campaigns [2] - Reddit's focus on automation, including auto-bidding and integration with third-party tools like Smartly, facilitates easier scaling and optimization for advertisers, likely attracting more advertisers and further boosting ARPU [2] Advertiser Base Expansion - The active advertiser count grew by over 50% year over year in Q2 2025, indicating a broadening appeal across large, mid-market, and small businesses, which could sustain future ARPU growth [3] International Growth - Reddit's international expansion is crucial for ARPU growth, with machine translation available in 23 languages, allowing the platform to reach new markets in Asia, Europe, and Latin America. International ARPU rose by 40% year over year to $1.73 in Q2 2025 [4] Competitive Landscape - Reddit faces stiff competition from platforms like Pinterest (PINS) and Snap (SNAP), which are also expanding their advertising capabilities in the growing digital ad market [5] Stock Performance - RDDT shares have gained 63.1% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 20.4% and the Internet - Software industry's appreciation of 24.2% [8] Valuation Metrics - RDDT is considered overvalued, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 19.72X compared to the Computer & Technology sector's 6.98X, and it has a Value Score of F [11] Earnings Estimates - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $1.82 per share, reflecting a 154.65% year-over-year growth, with a recent increase of one cent in the past 30 days [13]
RDDT vs. GOOGL: Which Ad-Tech Powerhouse Stock Has Greater Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-09-05 17:51
Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are significant players in the digital advertising sector, with Reddit emerging as a community-driven platform and GOOGL maintaining its dominance in global search and digital ads [1][2] Digital Advertising Market Overview - The global digital advertising market was valued at $488.4 million in 2024 and is projected to reach $1,164.25 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 15.4% from 2025 to 2030, benefiting both Reddit and GOOGL [2] Reddit's Performance - Reddit's advertising revenue surged 84% year over year to $465 million in Q2 2025, driven by increased investments from existing advertisers and a 50% rise in active advertisers [4][10] - The platform's focus on automation and usability, including tools like Smartly, enhances advertisers' ability to launch and optimize campaigns [5] - Reddit Answers saw significant growth, with weekly users increasing from 1 million to 6 million, contributing to improved ad revenues [6] Alphabet's Performance - Alphabet's advertising revenues increased 10.4% year over year to $71.34 billion in Q2 2025, with search and other revenues rising 11.7% to $54.19 billion and YouTube ad revenues improving 13.1% to $9.77 billion [9][10] - The introduction of AI-powered tools like Asset Studio reflects Alphabet's commitment to enhancing advertiser capabilities [9] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Reddit's stock has risen 42%, while Alphabet's has increased by 22.7%, attributed to strong ad revenue growth and engagement [10][12] - Both stocks are currently considered overvalued, with RDDT trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 17.35X compared to GOOGL's 7.76X [14] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RDDT's 2025 earnings is $1.81 per share, indicating a 154.35% year-over-year increase, while GOOGL's estimate is $10 per share, reflecting a 24.38% increase [16] Conclusion - Reddit is viewed as having greater upside potential due to its rapid revenue growth, expanding advertiser base, and enhanced engagement tools compared to Alphabet [19]
Reddit Surges 50% in a Month: Is the Stock Still Worth Buying?
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 15:55
Core Insights - Reddit shares have surged 49.6% in the past month, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet - Software industry [1] - The company reported second-quarter 2025 earnings of 45 cents per share, beating estimates by 25 cents, with revenues of $499.63 million, surpassing estimates by 16.9% and increasing 77.9% year over year [2] - For Q3 2025, Reddit expects revenues between $535 million and $545 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 54-56% [3] Financial Performance - Reddit's advertising revenues surged 84% year over year to $465 million in Q2 2025, driven by strong demand for direct-response formats [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 advertising revenues is pegged at $438.3 million, reflecting continued growth in this segment [11] - The consensus estimate for Q3 2025 earnings is 49 cents per share, a significant increase from the previous year's EPS of 16 cents [3] User Engagement and Growth - Reddit's AI tools, such as Reddit Answers and translation features, are enhancing user engagement globally, with Reddit Answers reaching 6 million weekly users [8][13] - International Daily Active Uniques (DAUq) grew 32% year over year, indicating strong global adoption, with a consensus mark for Q3 DAUq at 113.17 million [13] - Focus markets like France, Spain, and Brazil contributed significantly to international growth and are expected to remain key drivers [14] Strategic Developments - Reddit's advertising platform has expanded to include performance marketing solutions, attracting more sophisticated marketers [10] - The company is leveraging its unique content for data licensing, with Q3 consensus for other revenues, including data licensing, at $34.6 million [14] - The platform's ability to scale authentic content through AI-driven features positions it for sustained revenue expansion [19] Valuation - Reddit shares are trading at a premium with a forward 12-month P/S ratio of 16.5X compared to the Zacks Internet - Software industry's 5.58X [16] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Growth Score of B, indicating a strong investment opportunity [20]
Reddit Facing Challenges in Ad Market: Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 16:05
Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) operates a community-driven social media platform with over 100,000 active subreddits, generating more than 90% of its revenue from digital advertising, reporting first-quarter revenues of $392 million, reflecting a 61% year-over-year growth [1] - The company faces significant competition in the digital advertising space, primarily from established players like Meta Platforms and Alphabet, which have advanced advertising infrastructures and extensive advertiser relationships [5][7] - Reddit shares have declined 10.3% year-to-date due to rising competitive pressures and a challenging macroeconomic environment, underperforming compared to the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software industry [2] Financial Performance - For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Reddit's revenues is $1.85 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 42.07%, with earnings estimated at $1.21 per share, an improvement from a loss of $3.33 per share in 2024 [12] - Daily Active and Weekly Active Unique users increased by 31% year-over-year, reaching 108.1 million and 401 million, respectively, in the reported quarter [15] Competitive Landscape - Reddit's advertising technology is less sophisticated than that of Meta Platforms and Alphabet, with weaker targeting and measurement tools, which may hinder its ability to compete for advertising budgets [8][9] - Reddit trades at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 12.67X, significantly higher than the industry average of 5.71X and competitors like Meta and Alphabet, which trade at P/S ratios of 9.1 and 6.36, respectively [9] Product Development and User Engagement - Reddit has been expanding its platform with tools like Reddit Answers, which reached one million weekly users, and Reddit Community Intelligence, aimed at generating marketing insights [13][14] - The company is enhancing user engagement through AI-powered features, which are expected to improve the value of its advertising inventory [8][14] Conclusion - While Reddit's growing product suite and user engagement show long-term potential, the current premium valuations, intense competition, and macroeconomic uncertainties suggest limited near-term gains [17][18] - The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating that investors should avoid the stock at current levels [19]
Should You Hold on to RDDT Despite the Stock's 39% YTD Decline?
ZACKS· 2025-05-23 18:58
Core Viewpoint - Reddit's shares have significantly underperformed in 2023, dropping 38.8%, compared to a 2.6% decline in the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and a 5.4% increase in the Zacks Internet - Software industry [1][2] Performance Analysis - Reddit's advertising revenues surged 61% year over year to $358.6 million in Q1 2025, driven by higher user engagement and AI initiatives [4] - For Q2 2025, Reddit anticipates revenues between $410 million and $430 million, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $426.12 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 51.55% [12] Competitive Landscape - Reddit faces stiff competition from Alphabet and Snap, both of which are expanding their advertising capabilities in the digital ad market [13] - Snap's new features, such as Snap School sponsorships and Snap Pixel, are enhancing its advertising offerings, posing challenges to Reddit's market position [14][15] Strategic Developments - Reddit is diversifying its advertising solutions, including the launch of Dynamic Product Ads, which aim to deliver personalized ads and improve Return on Ad Spend [5] - The company has enhanced its partnership with Integral Ad Science to provide advertisers with better measurement capabilities and transparency [8][9] Valuation Concerns - Reddit's stock is currently considered overvalued, with a trailing 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 8.82, compared to the sector average of 6.10 [17] Conclusion - Despite Reddit's expanding advertising business and improved user experience, intense competition and ongoing tariff uncertainties present significant challenges [19]