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乐鑫科技(688018):AIOT次新品显著放量,产品矩阵拓展布局新市场
Donghai Securities· 2025-03-14 11:22
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing significant growth in its new AIoT products, with a product matrix that is expanding into new markets. The revenue for 2024 is projected to grow by approximately 40% due to the successful launch of new products and an increase in market demand [4][39]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing market size of its target segments, with the potential to expand its market capacity to 2.5 times the current IoT device market [4]. - The company is focusing on a "connect + process" product strategy, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the AIoT sector [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2008, specializes in the research and sales of IoT chips and modules, becoming a leading supplier in the global Wi-Fi MCU market [12]. - The company has launched several successful product lines, including the ESP8266 and ESP32 series, which have gained widespread recognition for their performance and cost-effectiveness [12][14]. AIoT Market - The global IoT device connection count is projected to grow from 8 billion in 2018 to 27 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for Wi-Fi and Bluetooth chips, with the global Wi-Fi chip market projected to reach $34.5 billion by 2033 [4]. Product Strategy - The company has a diverse product lineup, including classic products, new products, and next-generation products, with a focus on enhancing AI capabilities [17]. - The new product lines, such as ESP32-C5 and ESP32-C6, are expected to see significant growth starting in 2025 [20]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of approximately 2.01 billion, 2.63 billion, and 3.37 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.07%, 31.06%, and 28.18% [4][5]. - The gross margin is expected to remain above 40% in 2024, supported by improved operational efficiency and a favorable competitive landscape [4][39]. Management and Governance - The company's management team has a strong technical background, with significant experience in the semiconductor industry, which enhances its strategic direction and operational execution [33][36].