On Thursday, FanDuel's parent company Flutter (FLUT) announced a partnership with the CME Group (CME), one of the world's biggest exchanges for futures and options contracts, to launch a new prediction markets platform. FanDuel Prediction Market The new app, dubbed FanDuel Predicts, is set to launch in December. Prediction markets allow bettors to place a wager on an outcome of… Related news Stocks Bounce Off Lows To End Wild Week, Nvidia Looms; Valero, CME Also In Focus 9:08 AM ETJustin Nielsen and Ed Cars ...

LATEST: 🏀 CME Group and FanDuel are teaming up to launch a US prediction markets platform next month called FanDuel Predicts, a standalone app offering event contracts on sports, crypto prices and more. https://t.co/ZiRFMozVIz ...

CME Group and FanDuel are launching a new prediction market product in the US this December. Called FanDuel Predicts, the platform will let users wager on various sporting events as well as the price of gas and cryptocurrencies. Prediction markets let users bet on the likelihood of specific, real-world events, such as how many yards per game a quarterback will throw or what words a publicly traded company might say during an earnings call. The product will only be available in states where sports bettin ...

Now, let's talk about the predictions market, which is a market I can candidly I am fascinated by, but I was always hoping someone would actually have a partner from our world, not just a partner from, say, Vegas. You've got the CME, whom I regard as the foremost arbiter of this kind of activity, as your partner, which to me legitimizes something that I felt, frankly, is a little bit uh that I was a little sheepest to be involved in. >> We we've been operating in this space for a long time, right.We have th ...

Core Insights - FanDuel is set to launch an independent prediction market application called "FanDuel Predicts" in December, as part of a collaboration between its parent company Flutter and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME) [1] - DraftKings, a major competitor, has also announced plans to launch a similar platform named "DraftKings Predictions" shortly before FanDuel's announcement [2] - Following these announcements, Flutter's stock price fell by 4% in after-hours trading, indicating market reactions to the competitive landscape [2] Industry Overview - The core of prediction markets is "event contracts," which allow users to trade on the outcomes of future events, such as stock indices, economic data, and sports events [5] - Unlike state-regulated sports betting, event contracts are regulated by the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), making them legal across the U.S. without the need to pay state-level gambling taxes [5] - This regulatory framework provides a pathway for companies to operate in states where sports betting has not yet been legalized, expanding their business opportunities [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Group revenue increased by 17% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA grew by 6% in Q3 2025 [5][19] - The company reported a net loss of $789 million for the quarter, compared to a loss of $114 million in the prior year, primarily due to a non-cash impairment charge of $556 million related to regulatory changes in India [18][19] - Adjusted earnings per share grew by 29%, while loss per share increased to $3.91 from $0.58 in Q3 2024 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the US, revenue was up 9%, driven by exceptional iGaming growth of 44%, while sportsbook revenue declined by 5% [18] - International revenue increased by 21% year-over-year, with acquisitions contributing 18 percentage points to this growth [19] - iGaming performance showed strong organic growth of 10%, particularly in Turkey and Italy [12][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average monthly players engaging with products exceeded 14 million, contributing to revenue growth [5] - The company maintained a 47% market share in net gaming revenue (NGR) in September, despite competitive pressures [11][30] - The international division's revenue reached $2.4 billion, reflecting a 21% increase, with strong performance in Turkey and Italy [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is strategically positioning FanDuel to capture emerging prediction markets with the launch of FanDuel Predicts in December [6][17] - The focus remains on state-regulated sports betting and iGaming as the most valuable long-term opportunities in the US [8] - The company plans to invest significantly in FanDuel Predicts, anticipating an incremental EBITDA cost of $40-$50 million in Q4 2025 and $200-$300 million in 2026 [23][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the underlying business performance despite a reduction in full-year guidance due to customer-friendly sports results [5][21] - The competitive landscape has seen heightened generosity from competitors, impacting initial NFL season performance, but management remains optimistic about long-term growth [11][30] - The company is closely monitoring the regulatory environment in India and remains engaged with policymakers regarding potential gaming tax increases in the UK [15][16][60] Other Important Information - The company completed share repurchases totaling $225 million in Q3 and plans to continue the program into 2026, with a commitment to return $5 billion over the coming years [20][21] - The integration of recent acquisitions is progressing well, with a focus on delivering synergies and enhancing the iGaming proposition [13][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the planned investment for FanDuel Predicts? - Management expressed excitement about the product and emphasized a disciplined approach to customer acquisition, monitoring CAC to LTV dynamics closely [25][26] Question: How widespread was the competitive generosity seen at the start of the NFL season? - Management noted that while there was heightened generosity, they maintained a disciplined investment posture and were pleased with their market share performance [30][31] Question: What is the outlook for trading in September and into Q4 in the US? - Management reported strong momentum into Q4, with double-digit handle growth and a positive start to the NBA season [30][31] Question: Can you provide insights on the prediction markets and regulatory engagement? - Management highlighted extensive engagement with stakeholders and optimism about accelerating state legalization of sports betting [34][35] Question: How do you view the competitive landscape with new partnerships like ESPN and DraftKings? - Management acknowledged the competitive dynamics but emphasized their strong product offering and successful partnerships, particularly with Amazon [56]

Group 1 - The sports betting firm is launching a stand-alone prediction market app called FanDuel Predicts [1] - The app is being developed in partnership with CME Group [1]

Core Insights - Flutter Entertainment reported a solid Q3 performance with a 9% increase in average monthly players (AMPs) and a 17% rise in revenue year-over-year, driven by acquisitions and organic iGaming growth [2][3][8] - The company experienced a significant net loss of $789 million, primarily due to a non-cash impairment charge related to regulatory changes in India and a payment to Boyd for market access [4][8][39] - Flutter plans to launch "FanDuel Predicts" in December, aiming to capture new market opportunities in states without regulated sports betting [3][10][15] Financial Performance - Average monthly players (AMPs) increased to 14,133, up from 12,920, representing a 9% year-over-year growth [2] - Revenue for Q3 reached $3,794 million, compared to $3,248 million in the previous year, marking a 17% increase [2] - Adjusted EBITDA was $478 million, a 6% increase from $450 million in Q3 2024, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.6% [2][40] - The net loss margin was 20.8%, with a loss per share of $3.91, significantly higher than the previous year's loss of $0.58 [2][4] US Market Insights - In the US, revenue grew by 9% year-over-year, driven by a 44% increase in iGaming revenue, while sportsbook revenue declined by 5% due to customer-friendly sports results [3][16] - FanDuel's handle growth in Q4 has shown a positive trend, with a 10% year-over-year increase to date, supported by strong NBA season performance [5][58] - The company holds a 47% net gaming revenue share in the online sports betting market as of September [20] International Market Insights - International revenue grew by 21% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $505 million, reflecting strong contributions from recent acquisitions [26][50] - The cessation of real-money gaming in India negatively impacted organic growth, while iGaming continued to thrive in regions like Turkey and Italy [35][49] - Brazil showed exceptional growth with a 412% increase in revenue, driven by the Betnacional acquisition [33][49] Strategic Developments - The launch of "FanDuel Predicts" is expected to unlock new growth opportunities by offering a sports product in states without current access to sports betting [10][15] - Flutter's strategic investments and acquisitions are aimed at enhancing its market position and driving sustainable growth [7][36] - The company is focused on maintaining a disciplined approach to investment while monitoring returns to build long-term value for shareholders [14][36] Guidance and Outlook - The updated guidance for 2025 anticipates group revenue of $16.69 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.915 billion, reflecting year-over-year growth of 19% and 24%, respectively [6][59] - The guidance incorporates the impact of Q3 performance, Q4 sports results, and investments in FanDuel Predicts and market access [6][59] - Flutter expects to continue leveraging its market leadership in the US and diversify its international business for future growth [36][61]