Core Viewpoint - FedEx reported strong earnings in Q4, beating estimates and showing year-over-year growth, but there are concerns about future revenue growth and downward revisions in estimates leading up to the next earnings report [2][12][15]. Financial Performance - Quarterly earnings per share (EPS) were $6.07, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.93 and improving by 12.2% year-over-year [2]. - Revenues reached $22.2 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.7 billion and showing a 0.5% increase from the previous year [2]. - Operating income increased by 15% to $1.79 billion, with operating margin rising to 8.1% from 7% in the prior year [3]. Cost Management - Operating expenses decreased by 1% to $20.4 billion, benefiting from the DRIVE program and higher volumes [4][3]. - The company achieved structural cost reduction targets, contributing to improved operating income and margin [3]. Segment Performance - FedEx Express segment revenues grew by 1% year-over-year to $18.9 billion, supported by cost reductions and increased export volumes [6]. - FedEx Freight revenues fell by 4% to $2.29 billion, impacted by lower fuel surcharges and increased costs [7]. Liquidity and Shareholder Returns - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q4 were $5.50 billion, up from $5.13 billion in the previous quarter, while long-term debt decreased to $19.1 billion [9]. - The company returned nearly $4.3 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2025, including $3 billion in share repurchases and $1.3 billion in dividends [10]. Future Outlook - For Q1 of fiscal 2026, FedEx expects revenue growth to be flat to 2% year-over-year, with diluted EPS anticipated between $2.90 and $3.50 [12]. - The company aims for permanent cost reductions of $1 billion from ongoing transformation programs and plans to prioritize capital spending of $4.5 billion [13]. - FedEx is committed to rewarding shareholders with a 5% dividend increase and a robust share repurchase program [14]. Estimate Revisions - Consensus estimates have trended downward, with a shift of -7.06% noted in the past month [15]. - FedEx currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [17].

Core Viewpoint - FedEx Corporation's shares fell 5.96% in after-market trading due to concerns over volatile global demand and uncertainty regarding U.S. trade policies, particularly with China, despite reporting strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results [1][9]. Financial Performance - FedEx's quarterly earnings of $6.07 per share exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.93, marking a 12.2% year-over-year improvement [2]. - Revenues reached $22.2 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.7 billion and reflecting a 0.5% increase from the previous year [2]. - Operating income increased by 15% to $1.79 billion, with operating margin rising to 8.1% from 7% year-over-year [3]. Cost Management - The quarterly results benefited from cost reductions due to the DRIVE program, increased volume at Federal Express, and higher base yield across transportation segments [3]. - Operating expenses decreased by 1% to $20.4 billion [4]. Segment Performance - FedEx Express segment revenues grew 1% year-over-year to $18.9 billion, supported by cost reductions and increased export volume [7]. - FedEx Freight revenues fell 4% year-over-year to $2.29 billion, impacted by lower fuel surcharges and increased costs [8]. Shareholder Returns - FedEx returned approximately $4.3 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2025, including $3 billion in share repurchases and $1.3 billion in dividends [12]. - The company plans to continue its robust share repurchase program and has announced a 5% dividend increase [15]. Future Outlook - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, FedEx anticipates revenue growth of flat to 2% year-over-year, with diluted EPS expected between $2.90 and $3.50 [13]. - For the full year, FedEx expects permanent cost reductions of $1 billion from transformation programs and plans capital spending of $4.5 billion focused on efficiency improvements [14].

Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect FedEx to report quarterly earnings of $5.94 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, while revenues are projected to be $21.7 billion, down 1.9% from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - There has been a downward revision of 1.3% in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reconsideration by analysts [1][2] Revenue Projections - The consensus estimate for 'Revenue- FedEx Freight segment' is $2.28 billion, indicating a decrease of 1.3% year-over-year [4] - Analysts project 'Revenue- Federal Express segment' to reach $18.45 billion, reflecting a significant increase of 77.1% from the prior year [4] - 'Revenue- Other and eliminations' is expected to be $928.54 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 11.5% [4] Key Metrics Forecast - 'Revenue- FedEx Express- Freight- Total freight revenue' is estimated at $1.37 billion, suggesting a decline of 16.7% year-over-year [5] - The average daily package volume for 'FedEx Express - Package - Total international export ADV' is expected to be 1.08 million, up from 1.06 million in the same quarter last year [5] - 'FedEx Freight - Weight per shipment - Composite weight per shipment' is projected to be 922.71 thousand, down from 939 thousand year-over-year [6] Daily Volume Estimates - 'FedEx Express - Package - Average daily package volume - Total ADV' is expected to reach 16.19 million, compared to 5.36 million in the previous year [6] - 'FedEx Express - Freight - Average daily freight pounds - U.S.' is estimated at 2.32 million, down from 5.55 million year-over-year [7] - 'FedEx Express - Package - Average daily package volume - International domestic' is projected to be 1.87 million, compared to 1.72 million last year [7] Revenue per Package - 'FedEx Express - Package - Revenue per package - International export composite' is expected to be $48.60, down from $52.08 in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - FedEx shares have changed by +0.6% in the past month, matching the +0.6% movement of the Zacks S&P 500 composite, with a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [10]

Core Insights - FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) is a global provider of document, package, and less than truckload (LTL) deliveries, operating in over 200 countries [1] - The company has two main segments: FedEx Express and FedEx Freight [1] Company Overview - FedEx is recognized for its extensive delivery services, which include both document and package deliveries [1] - The company announced developments in its FedEx Freight segment late last year, indicating ongoing strategic initiatives [1] Analyst Background - The author has a master's degree in Analytics and a bachelor's degree in Accounting, with over 10 years of experience in the investment arena [1]