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减重赛道全球前沿进展跟踪(一):Amylin布局正当时
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-04 01:10
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the significant potential of the amylin market, with major pharmaceutical companies making substantial investments in amylin molecules, indicating a strong growth trajectory [6][9] - Amylin products are showing promising early clinical data in terms of safety and weight loss efficacy, with specific examples demonstrating competitive advantages over existing treatments [7][22] - A dense pipeline of catalysts is expected in the next 6-12 months, with multiple companies set to release critical clinical trial data that could validate the product profiles of amylin candidates [8][29] Summary by Sections Recent Major BD Transactions - AbbVie and Roche have made significant investments in amylin molecules, with AbbVie paying an upfront fee of $350 million and potential milestone payments of up to $1.875 billion for Gubra's amylin molecule [6][17] - Roche has partnered with Zealand to develop petrelintide, with an upfront payment of $1.65 billion and milestone payments reaching $3.6 billion [6][17] Amylin Product Profile - Early data for amylin monotherapy shows excellent safety and weight loss results, with examples like Eli Lilly's Eloralintide demonstrating a maximum weight loss of 11.3% at 12 weeks [7][22] - The report notes that the majority of weight loss from Eloralintide is fat, with preclinical data showing up to 91% of weight loss being fat [23][28] Future Catalysts - A significant number of amylin pipeline data readouts are expected in the next 6-12 months, with major companies like Roche, Eli Lilly, and AstraZeneca anticipated to release phase 2 trial data [8][29] - Companies such as Viking, Structure, and others are also highlighted for their clinical trial progress in the amylin space [8][29] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like Borui Pharmaceutical and Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, which are expected to accelerate their presence in the amylin market [9][31] - Beneficiary companies include Viking, Structure, Metsera, and Jiuyuan Gene, which are positioned to gain from advancements in the amylin sector [9][31]