Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities maintains an "Overweight" rating for Prada (01913), projecting steady growth for Miu Miu and new contributions from the consolidation of Versace, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at €8.8/9.6/10.5 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 5.2%/8.7%/9.0% [1] Group 1 - The company anticipates a high single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for 2025 at fixed exchange rates, leading the industry; Q4 2025 retail sales growth is expected to slow slightly to mid-single digits compared to Q3 [1] - For the Prada brand, retail growth in Q4 2025 is expected to improve from a decline of -1% in Q3 to flat, while Miu Miu is projected to achieve a retail growth rate of 15-20% in Q4 2025, supported by sustained brand momentum despite high base effects [1][2] - The company estimates a negative impact from foreign exchange of approximately 700 basis points in Q4 2025, with an annual impact of about 400 basis points [1] Group 2 - Looking ahead to 2026, Miu Miu is expected to increase retail space by 10%-15%, focusing on the Eurasian region and planning further expansion into the low-penetration U.S. market by 2027 [2] - Prada aims to balance "strategic price points" by enhancing its nylon collection to reach a broader audience while attracting high-net-worth clients through limited edition leather goods [2] - Versace's acquisition was completed on December 2, 2025, with expected contributions to financials in 2026; Versace reported revenues of approximately €705 million and an operating loss of about €46 million as of March 2025 [2] Group 3 - The overall customer base remains stable, with the luxury goods industry entering a "new normal," characterized by market share consolidation among strong brand DNA companies [3] - The industry trend is shifting from overt consumption and brand-driven strategies to authenticity and value-driven approaches [3] Group 4 - The outlook for Miu Miu's growth is supported by high-quality growth, with most of the growth in high base years coming from same-store sales; there is significant potential for new store openings, with 147 direct stores globally by the end of 2024 compared to over 300 for YSL and BV [4] - The brand has established a differentiated brand perception in recent years, likely benefiting from the trend of entry-level consumers shifting from high luxury [4] - Prada's Q3 2025 showed sequential improvement, with expectations for continued investment in creative leather goods and marketing of iconic products like Galleria, as well as expansion of the regenerated nylon series to enhance entry-level product offerings [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Cathay Securities maintains an "overweight" rating on Prada, expecting steady growth in retail sales and net profit in the coming years, with specific profit projections for 2025-2027 [1][2] - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of €8.8 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.2%, 8.7%, and 9.0% for the subsequent years [1] - The report anticipates a retail sales growth of approximately high single digits for the entire year of 2025, with a slight slowdown in Q4 compared to Q3 [1][3] Group 2 - Miu Miu is expected to expand its retail space by 10%-15% in 2026, focusing on the Eurasian region and planning to enter the low-penetration U.S. market by 2027 [2] - The acquisition of Versace is expected to contribute new revenue streams, with Versace's revenue at approximately €705 million and an operating loss of €46 million as of March 2025 [2] - The luxury goods industry is transitioning to a "new normal," characterized by a concentration of market share among strong brand DNA companies, with a shift from overt consumption to authenticity and value-driven purchasing [3] Group 3 - Miu Miu's growth potential is supported by high-quality growth, significant store opening potential, and a differentiated brand perception that appeals to entry-level consumers [4] - Prada's Q3 performance showed improvement, with future strategies focusing on enhancing product creativity and expanding entry-level offerings through innovative marketing [4]

Core Viewpoint - Haidong International's report indicates a cautious outlook for Prada's net profit growth from 2025 to 2027, with revised profit forecasts reflecting a slower recovery in the industry compared to previous expectations [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Prada's revenue reached €1.33 billion, marking a 9% year-on-year increase, with fixed exchange rates applied [2] - By brand, Prada's revenue decreased by 1% year-on-year, while Miu Miu's revenue surged by 29%, following a high base of 105% growth in the same period last year [2] - Regional performance showed varied results, with North America leading growth at 20%, while Japan experienced a slight decline of 1% [2] Future Outlook - The company remains optimistic about Miu Miu's growth potential, driven by high-quality brand growth and significant store expansion opportunities [3] - Prada is expected to enhance its product offerings through increased creative investment in leather goods and marketing of iconic products, aiming to broaden its consumer base [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Haitong International indicates a cautious outlook for Prada (01913) with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting a moderate growth trajectory amid industry recovery challenges [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Prada reported revenue of €1.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9% (fixed exchange rate) [2] - By brand, Prada's revenue decreased by 1% year-on-year, while Miu Miu's revenue grew by 29%, following a high base of 105% growth in the same period last year [2] - Regional performance showed year-on-year revenue changes: Asia-Pacific +10%, Europe +2%, North America +20%, Japan -1%, Middle East +10%, with North America leading growth despite a high base [2] Future Outlook - The company remains optimistic about Miu Miu's growth potential, driven by high-quality brand growth and significant store expansion opportunities [3] - As of the end of 2024, Miu Miu is expected to have 147 direct stores globally, compared to over 300 for YSL and BV, indicating room for growth [3] - Prada plans to enhance its product offerings through increased creative investment in leather goods and marketing of iconic products, aiming to broaden consumer reach [3]

Financial Performance - Net Revenues reached €4.1 billion, showing a +9% increase at constant exchange rates, marking 19 consecutive quarters of growth[13] - Retail sales experienced a +9% growth, driven by like-for-like, full-price sales across all regions[11, 13] - Miu Miu demonstrated strong performance with +41% growth over the nine-month period[13] - Prada brand retail sales decreased by -2% over the 9-month period[13] Channel Performance - Retail channel accounted for 90% of net revenues, totaling €3,647 million, a +9% increase[21] - Wholesale channel contributed 8% of net revenues, amounting to €322 million, a +4% increase[21] - Royalties represented 2% of net revenues, reaching €101 million, an +11% increase[21] Regional Performance - Asia Pacific retail sales grew by +10%, reaching €1,216 million, representing 33% of total retail sales[27, 28] - Europe retail sales increased by +6%, totaling €1,137 million, accounting for 31% of total retail sales[27, 28] - Americas retail sales showed a +15% increase, reaching €637 million, representing 17% of total retail sales[27, 28]