国泰海通证券发布研报称，维持普拉达(01913)"增持"评级，26年Miu Miu空间扩张持续，范思哲并表贡 献新量能，该行预计2025-2027年公司归母净利润分别为8.8/9.6/10.5亿欧元，同比分别增长 5.2%/8.7%/9.0%，给予2025年20XPE，以1欧元=9.3港币换算，对应目标价64.13港元。 国泰海通证券发布研报称： 高基数下表现稳健，汇率波动或短期扰动盈利 该行预计集团25全年零售额固定汇率下同比增长约高单位数，领先行业;预计25Q4零售固定汇率下同比 增长约中单位数，较Q3略放缓。品牌端预计Prada25Q4零售增速将从Q3的-1%改善至基本持平，Miu Miu25Q4零售增速15-20%，考虑到近两年品牌的高基数，品牌热度和势能持续。利润端，该行预计 25Q4汇兑负向影响约700bps，全年影响约400bps。 26年Miu Miu空间扩张持续，范思哲并表贡献新量能 展望26年，该行预计Miu Miu将提升10%-15%的零售面积贡献增量，重点覆盖欧亚地区，并将于27年进 一步布局低渗透率的美国市场。Prada品牌侧重于"战略价格点"的平衡，通过加强尼龙系列触达大众客 群， ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通证券发布研报称，维持普拉达(01913)"增持"评级，26年Miu Miu空间扩张 持续，范思哲并表贡献新量能，该行预计2025-2027年公司归母净利润分别为8.8/9.6/10.5亿欧元，同比 分别增长5.2%/8.7%/9.0%，给予2025年20XPE，以1欧元=9.3港币换算，对应目标价64.13港元。 国泰海通证券发布研报称： 高基数下表现稳健，汇率波动或短期扰动盈利 该行预计集团25全年零售额固定汇率下同比增长约高单位数，领先行业;预计25Q4零售固定汇率下同比 增长约中单位数，较Q3略放缓。品牌端预计Prada25Q4零售增速将从Q3的-1%改善至基本持平，Miu Miu 25Q4零售增速15-20%，考虑到近两年品牌的高基数，品牌热度和势能持续。利润端，该行预计 25Q4汇兑负向影响约700bps，全年影响约400bps。 26年Miu Miu空间扩张持续，范思哲并表贡献新量能 客群整体稳健，行业步入新常态 分市场看中国筑底企稳，日本短期旅游消费受阻，但中国消费者旅游消费购买力稳定，欧洲受旅游疲软 影响放缓;美国高基数下保持稳健。该行认为奢侈品行业已由高速增长步入 ...

Core Viewpoint - Haidong International's report indicates a cautious outlook for Prada's net profit growth from 2025 to 2027, with revised profit forecasts reflecting a slower recovery in the industry compared to previous expectations [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Prada's revenue reached €1.33 billion, marking a 9% year-on-year increase, with fixed exchange rates applied [2] - By brand, Prada's revenue decreased by 1% year-on-year, while Miu Miu's revenue surged by 29%, following a high base of 105% growth in the same period last year [2] - Regional performance showed varied results, with North America leading growth at 20%, while Japan experienced a slight decline of 1% [2] Future Outlook - The company remains optimistic about Miu Miu's growth potential, driven by high-quality brand growth and significant store expansion opportunities [3] - Prada is expected to enhance its product offerings through increased creative investment in leather goods and marketing of iconic products, aiming to broaden its consumer base [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Haitong International indicates a cautious outlook for Prada (01913) with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting a moderate growth trajectory amid industry recovery challenges [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Prada reported revenue of €1.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9% (fixed exchange rate) [2] - By brand, Prada's revenue decreased by 1% year-on-year, while Miu Miu's revenue grew by 29%, following a high base of 105% growth in the same period last year [2] - Regional performance showed year-on-year revenue changes: Asia-Pacific +10%, Europe +2%, North America +20%, Japan -1%, Middle East +10%, with North America leading growth despite a high base [2] Future Outlook - The company remains optimistic about Miu Miu's growth potential, driven by high-quality brand growth and significant store expansion opportunities [3] - As of the end of 2024, Miu Miu is expected to have 147 direct stores globally, compared to over 300 for YSL and BV, indicating room for growth [3] - Prada plans to enhance its product offerings through increased creative investment in leather goods and marketing of iconic products, aiming to broaden consumer reach [3]

Financial Performance - Net Revenues reached €4.1 billion, showing a +9% increase at constant exchange rates, marking 19 consecutive quarters of growth[13] - Retail sales experienced a +9% growth, driven by like-for-like, full-price sales across all regions[11, 13] - Miu Miu demonstrated strong performance with +41% growth over the nine-month period[13] - Prada brand retail sales decreased by -2% over the 9-month period[13] Channel Performance - Retail channel accounted for 90% of net revenues, totaling €3,647 million, a +9% increase[21] - Wholesale channel contributed 8% of net revenues, amounting to €322 million, a +4% increase[21] - Royalties represented 2% of net revenues, reaching €101 million, an +11% increase[21] Regional Performance - Asia Pacific retail sales grew by +10%, reaching €1,216 million, representing 33% of total retail sales[27, 28] - Europe retail sales increased by +6%, totaling €1,137 million, accounting for 31% of total retail sales[27, 28] - Americas retail sales showed a +15% increase, reaching €637 million, representing 17% of total retail sales[27, 28]