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海通国际:维持普拉达(01913)“优于大市”评级 目标价62.9港元
智通财经网· 2025-11-04 06:34
报告中称,25Q3公司收入13.3亿欧元,同比增长9%(收入增速为固定汇率口径,下同)。分品牌看, 25Q3 Prada收入同比下降1%,跌幅环比25Q2(-4%)收窄;Miu Miu收入同比增长29%,去年同期增长105% 且为全年最高基数,品牌增长仍显示出韧劲,25Q2收入同比增长40%。Prada皮具有所加速,Miu Miu成 衣持续领增。分地区看,25Q3亚太/欧洲/北美/日本/中东收入同比分别+10%/+2%/+20%/-1%/+10%,与 25Q2(+11%/+4%/+14%/-8%/+25%)相比,北美市场在基数走高情形下领增且持续加速,该行判断主要由 Prada驱动,并且北美消费者赴欧洲消费减少。大中华市场假期表现略好于预期,但未观察到零售环境 明显改善信号,公司判断行业整体较难回到过去10年的高增表现。 展望未来:持续看好Miu Miu成长空间,主要来自①品牌持续高质量增长,高基数下增速大部分由同店 贡献;②未来开店潜力较大,24年末品牌在全球共有147家直营店,而YSL与BV店铺数量均在300家以 上;③近年建立起差异化品牌心智,有望受益于入门级消费者从高奢分流的行业趋势。Prada 25 ...
海通国际:维持普拉达“优于大市”评级 目标价62.9港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 06:33
报告中称,25Q3公司收入13.3亿欧元,同比增长9%(收入增速为固定汇率口径,下同)。分品牌看, 25Q3Prada收入同比下降1%,跌幅环比25Q2(-4%)收窄;Miu Miu收入同比增长29%,去年同期增长105% 且为全年最高基数,品牌增长仍显示出韧劲,25Q2收入同比增长40%。Prada皮具有所加速,Miu Miu成 衣持续领增。分地区看,25Q3亚太/欧洲/北美/日本/中东收入同比分别+10%/+2%/+20%/-1%/+10%,与 25Q2(+11%/+4%/+14%/-8%/+25%)相比,北美市场在基数走高情形下领增且持续加速,该行判断主要由 Prada驱动,并且北美消费者赴欧洲消费减少。大中华市场假期表现略好于预期,但未观察到零售环境 明显改善信号,公司判断行业整体较难回到过去10年的高增表现。 海通国际发布研报称,考虑行业复苏进度以及去年同期基数,2025-2027年普拉达(01913)归母净利润预 测8.9/9.7/10.5亿欧元(原为9.72/10.88/11.91亿欧元),同比分别增长6.5%/8.7%/7.6%,给予2025年 20XPE(原为25x),以1欧元=9港币换算( ...
普拉达(01913):25Q3北美持续加速,MiuMiu最高基数下显韧劲
Haitong Securities International· 2025-10-27 09:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of 62.9 Hong Kong Dollars, reflecting a -24% potential downside from the current price [8][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see net profit attributable to shareholders grow from 0.89 billion Euros in 2025 to 1.05 billion Euros in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.5%, 8.7%, and 7.6% respectively [8][9]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.33 billion Euros, a 9% increase year-on-year, with Miu Miu showing a 29% growth despite a high base from the previous year [9][10]. - The North American market is leading growth with a 20% increase, driven primarily by Prada, while the Greater China market showed slightly better-than-expected holiday performance [9][10]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for the company is expected to increase from 5.43 billion Euros in 2024 to 6.72 billion Euros in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.8% [2][5]. - Gross profit is forecasted to rise from 4.34 billion Euros in 2024 to 5.39 billion Euros in 2027, maintaining a gross margin of around 80% [2][5]. - The company's net profit is projected to grow from 0.84 billion Euros in 2025 to 1.05 billion Euros in 2027, with a net profit margin of approximately 15.5% [2][5]. Brand Performance - Miu Miu's revenue growth is attributed to high-quality growth and significant same-store sales contributions, with plans for further store expansion [10]. - Prada's leather goods are showing improved performance, and the brand is focusing on enhancing creativity and marketing for iconic products [10]. Regional Performance - Revenue growth by region in Q3 2025 was as follows: Asia Pacific +10%, Europe +2%, North America +20%, Japan -1%, and Middle East +10% [9][10]. - The North American market's growth is notable given the high base from the previous year, indicating strong brand performance despite challenging conditions [9][10].
PRADA(01913) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 13:32
Prada (SEHK:01913) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 23, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsChiara Battistini - Executive DirectorChris Huang - Associate Director of Equity ResearchThomas Chauvet - Managing DirectorLiwei Hou - Equity Research Senior AssociateAndrea Bonini - CFOAndrea Guerra - Group CEOCharles-Louis Scotti - Head of Luxury Goods Equity ResearchLuca Solca - Managing DirectorConference Call ParticipantsChris Gao - Research AnalystEd Aubin - Managing Director and Senior Equity AnalystOriana Carda ...