Core Viewpoint - Microsoft emphasizes that its AI platform is generating real business value, with Azure cloud revenue expected to grow approximately 37% in fixed currency for Q2, despite capacity constraints [1][2] Financial Performance - The company projects total revenue guidance for Q2 to be between $79.5 billion and $80.6 billion, representing a growth of 14% to 16% [2] - Expected sales costs are between $26.35 billion and $26.55 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 21% to 22% [2] - Operating expenses are anticipated to be between $17.3 billion and $17.4 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 7% to 8% [2] Customer Concentration Risk - Microsoft believes that the risk of customer concentration is manageable, as its nearly $400 billion remaining performance obligation (RPO) covers a wide range of products and customer sizes [1][4] - The weighted average duration of these contracts is only two years, indicating a focus on short-term consumption and usage [1][4] AI Platform and Systems - The company's competitive advantage lies in building systems like M365 Copilot and GitHub Agent HQ, rather than just the AI models themselves [2][4] - Microsoft is creating a highly interchangeable general AI platform, reducing dependency on any single large customer [2][7] Infrastructure and Demand - Microsoft has not over-invested in infrastructure; instead, demand continues to exceed supply, with a strong focus on fulfilling existing contracts [5][9] - The company is building an efficient, flexible infrastructure to support both first-party and third-party applications, ensuring high utilization rates [6][8] OpenAI Investment - The $4.1 billion loss related to OpenAI is attributed solely to the company's share of OpenAI's operational losses, with no other components included [6][10] Strategic Decision-Making - Microsoft prioritizes building a platform that can flexibly serve various customer needs, rejecting contracts that could disrupt this balance [10] - The company is selective about large-scale AI contracts, ensuring they align with long-term strategic interests and profitability [10]

专题：聚焦2025年第三季度美股财报 北京时间10月30日早间消息，微软今天发布了该公司的2026财年第一财季财报。报告显示，微软第一财 季营收为776.73亿美元，与去年同期的655.85亿美元相比增长18%，不计入汇率变动的影响为同比增长 17%；净利润为277.47亿美元，与去年同期的246.67亿美元相比增长12%，不计入汇率变动的影响为同 比增长11%。（注：微软财年与自然年不一致） 详见： 微软第一财季营收776.73亿美元 净利润同比增长12% 财报发布后，微软CEO萨提亚·纳德拉（Satya Nadella）、执行副总裁兼CFO艾米·胡德（Amy Hood）等 公司高管出席了随后举行的财报电话会议，解读财报要点，并回答分析师提问。 以下是电话会议实录： 摩根士丹利分析师Keith Weiss：观察微软现状，公司已连续两个季度交出远超市场预期的成绩。无论 是对比一年前，还是五年前的微软，这样的表现都令人意外。111%的商业预订增长率，说实话，此前 没人能预料到。但矛盾的是，微软股价表现却跑输大盘。我想探讨的是，当前影响股价的核心隐忧究竟 是什么，这种局面是否会改变？我认为"通用人工智能（AGI） ...