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聚和材料(688503):市占率稳中有升 新技术全面布局
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-31 06:36
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but showed signs of improved shipment and stable profitability in the second quarter, with expectations for recovery in the second half of the year due to advancements in the photovoltaic sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 6.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 180 million yuan, down 39.6% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 3.44 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decline of 9.7% but an increase of 14.9% year-on-year. The net profit for the same period was 90 million yuan, showing a significant quarter-on-quarter drop of 59.2% but a slight year-on-year increase of 1.5% [1]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 6.9%, down 4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 2.8%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Shipment and Production - The company shipped approximately 930 tons in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 20%, with N-type products accounting for 96% of shipments. In Q2 2025, shipments were around 490 tons, also down 20% year-on-year but up 11% quarter-on-quarter, with N-type products making up 97% of the total [1]. - The estimated gross profit per kilogram in Q2 was approximately 518 yuan/kg, an increase of about 88 yuan/kg from the previous quarter, with net profit per ton estimated at 150,000 to 200,000 yuan [1]. Technological Advancements - The company has made significant breakthroughs in new technologies, with BC paste achieving over 50% market share in downstream customers and successful small-scale shipments of copper paste to major clients. A second-generation device is expected to enhance shipments in H2 2025 [2]. - The company has achieved mass production of low-cost silver paste with silver content of 20% or lower, indicating a comprehensive layout of new technologies [2]. Cash Flow and Expenses - Operating expenses for H1 2025 were 240 million yuan, a decrease of 17.9% year-on-year, with an expense ratio of 3.7%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year. In Q2 2025, operating expenses were 130 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 25.2% [2]. - The company reported an operating cash flow of -1.1 billion yuan for H1 2025, a decline of 108.6% year-on-year, with Q2 showing an operating cash flow of -980 million yuan, a significant quarter-on-quarter drop of 229.6% [2]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - Due to declining processing fees and intensified industry competition, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 420 million, 590 million, and 790 million yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.6%, 40%, and 35% [3]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its technological leadership and stable market share [3].