8月21日，横店集团东磁股份有限公司（以下简称"横店东磁"）举行半年报业绩线上电话会，宝盈基 金、博时基金、高盛等70余家机构参与。横店东磁接待人员何悦、吴雪萍、郭健就公司半年度业绩情况 及投资者关心的问题进行了交流。 问答环节聚焦行业热点 公司积极应对挑战"反内卷"价格传导：自硅料端减产等措施实施后，价格逐步 抬升，但中游成本上涨快于下游售价调整。国内对价格上调接受度不高，海外公司在优势市场价格传导 顺畅，新兴市场接受度相对低，增值税退税调整或影响中远期价格预期。美国对印尼双反调查：公司复 盘东南亚四国案例，梳理差异点并前置风险清单，印尼基地立项时有相关准备，正积极推进应诉准备工 作，争取合理税率。美国对等关税影响：印尼对等关税提升后，公司与客户协商分担，美国市场组件价 格提升，关税影响基本转嫁客户，整体盈利略有影响但符合预期。硅料涨价影响：公司建立适量战略库 存，减少价格传导不一致的杀伤力，下半年组件盈利仍有支撑，过去对下游价格坚守力度强，严格把控 中远期订单价格风险。TOPCon高效组件瓦数提升规划：年初目标年底TOPCon正面功率达650W，目前 约一半产能可实现640 - 645W，预计明年Q1实现 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electrical equipment industry is optimistic [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the transition from silver paste to copper paste in photovoltaic cells as a significant trend for cost reduction in the industry. The rising silver prices and the competitive landscape in the photovoltaic sector are driving this shift towards cheaper metal alternatives [55][56]. - The report anticipates that the introduction of copper paste will occur between 2025 and 2026, with rapid penetration expected from 2027 to 2028. By 2030, the demand for copper paste is projected to reach approximately 6,000 tons, while the demand for silver paste is expected to decrease to around 3,000 tons [42][55]. Summary by Sections 1. Role and Principle of Copper Paste - Metalization is a crucial process in photovoltaic cell production, impacting efficiency, cost, and reliability. The main goal is to reduce costs and improve efficiency through various metalization techniques [14][15]. - The transition from silver to copper is driven by the need to lower costs, as copper has a similar conductivity to silver but is significantly cheaper [22]. 2. Impact of Copper Paste on Cost Reduction - The report indicates that metalization costs are becoming a larger portion of the total battery cost, reaching approximately 30%. This makes it a primary target for cost reduction efforts [31]. - The copper alternative can significantly lower metalization costs compared to silver paste, with projections showing substantial savings in both TOPCON and BC cell applications [35][40]. 3. Industrialization Challenges and Solutions for Copper Paste - The report discusses the challenges of copper oxidation and migration during the manufacturing process, which can affect the performance of photovoltaic cells. Solutions include protective coatings and the use of seed layers to prevent copper diffusion into silicon [23][27]. - The anticipated industrialization of copper paste is expected to enhance profitability for paste manufacturers, as the shift to copper will likely increase processing fees compared to traditional silver paste [45]. 4. Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The transition to copper paste is expected to alter the competitive landscape among paste manufacturers, with companies needing to invest in new technologies and processes to maintain their market positions [49]. - The report notes that companies are already beginning to develop copper powder capabilities to enhance their competitiveness in the copper paste market [51].

Summary of the Solar Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The solar industry is currently facing two major issues: overcapacity and intense price competition, necessitating non-market measures to combat internal competition [2][3] - The government is increasingly focused on the solar industry, with policies aimed at promoting high-quality development and addressing low-price competition [10][11] Key Insights and Arguments - Global solar installation capacity is projected to reach 530 GW in 2024, with component demand around 650 GW, and is expected to grow by 10% to 580 GW in 2025 [2][6] - Despite the growth in demand, the total capacity across four key segments exceeds 1,200 GW, leading to significant cash losses across the industry [6] - The government has initiated supply-side reforms, including a minimum bidding price and the formation of an industry self-discipline alliance to regulate production rates [7][12] - The price of silicon materials and wafers has begun to rise, indicating a positive response from the downstream market [4][11] Supply-Side Reform Progress - Supply-side reforms are focused on the silicon material segment, with leading companies acquiring smaller producers to balance supply and demand [12] - A consensus among major glass manufacturers to reduce production by 30% aims to alleviate losses and increase prices from approximately 10 yuan to 12 yuan per unit [14][18] Investment Opportunities - Three main investment directions are identified: 1. High-energy consumption segments benefiting from supply-side selection, such as silicon materials and glass, with recommended companies including Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly Energy, and Flat Glass Group [4][13] 2. Leading companies across various segments expected to see profit improvements, including LONGi Green Energy, JA Solar, and Trina Solar [4][16] 3. New technology sectors, particularly BC cell technology and copper paste technology, with key players like LONGi Green Energy and Aiko Solar [15][16] Domestic and International Demand Outlook - Domestic demand is expected to recover in September after a period of adjustment following the "531 rush" [9] - Internationally, demand remains weak due to seasonal factors in Europe and uncertainties in the U.S. market, but improvements are anticipated in September [9] Policy and Market Changes - Recent policies emphasize the need to eliminate low-price competition and promote high-quality development within the solar industry [10][11] - The government is committed to addressing overcapacity and ensuring fair competition through regulatory measures [10][11] Conclusion - The solar industry is undergoing significant changes driven by government policies and market dynamics, with a focus on supply-side reforms and price recovery strategies. Investors are encouraged to monitor developments closely for potential opportunities in this evolving landscape [21]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the electric new energy industry, particularly focusing on the electric vehicle (EV), wind power, and energy storage sectors for the year 2025 [1][4][19]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Electric Vehicle Market Growth**: The domestic passenger car market is expected to grow by 40% in 2025, while the European power market is projected to grow by approximately 20%. The overall demand in the energy storage market is anticipated to increase by nearly 30% [1][4]. - **Wind Power Development**: Domestic offshore wind power projects are expected to reach an installation scale of around 10GW in 2025, with over 30GW of reserve projects ensuring high growth. The overseas market is stable at 4-5GW annually, with expectations to reach 10GW by 2026 [1][5]. - **Energy Storage Sector Outlook**: The energy storage industry is expected to perform well in the second half of 2025, with new technological advancements and policy support likely to address supply-demand imbalances. Data from January to May indicates a total of 32GWh, with projections for the first half of the year to reach 40-50GWh [1][8][10]. Notable Companies and Performance - Companies such as Daikin and New Strong Union are highlighted for their strong performance. Tian Shun and Hai Li are noted for their potential turnaround, while Lu Feng shows promising profitability improvement. Hai Feng is recognized for its robust performance, with a recommendation for higher weight in investment [1][7]. Additional Important Insights - **Telecom Industry Strategy**: The mid-term strategy for the telecom industry in 2025 focuses on three main directions: theme continuation, bottom reversal, and exploring new directions, particularly in lithium batteries, wind power storage, and power equipment [2]. - **AI and Robotics Investment Opportunities**: The AI and robotics sectors are identified as significant future investment opportunities, impacting traditional industries and creating new application scenarios [6][17]. - **Seasonal Market Changes**: The market experiences seasonal variations that can affect stock prices, with expectations for new technology catalysts, such as solid-state battery technology, to influence market dynamics [13]. - **Solar Industry Challenges**: The solar industry is facing challenges with a basic structure showing signs of bottoming out after seven consecutive quarters of losses. New technologies and policy support are crucial for recovery [14][16]. Conclusion - The electric new energy industry is poised for significant growth in 2025, driven by advancements in electric vehicles, wind power, and energy storage. Companies demonstrating strong performance and potential for recovery are highlighted as key investment opportunities. The integration of AI and robotics is expected to further enhance industry dynamics, while the solar sector faces challenges that require strategic adjustments.

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a collective increase, with significant gains in the photovoltaic sector driven by a renewed "anti-involution" trend aimed at promoting healthy industry development [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The three major A-share indices rose collectively, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.7%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.39% [1]. - The total market turnover reached 1.47 trillion yuan, indicating strong trading activity [1]. - The photovoltaic 50 ETF (159864) saw a notable increase of 5.9% [1]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry has experienced two "anti-involution" trends, with the first occurring in late 2023 and the second currently underway, aimed at curbing unhealthy competition [3][4]. - The Chinese Photovoltaic Industry Association has initiated self-regulation measures, including the publication of fair component costs and the signing of self-discipline agreements among companies [3][4]. - Recent government policies have emphasized the need to eliminate low-price disorderly competition and promote the exit of backward production capacity [3][4]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Analysis - The photovoltaic industry is currently characterized by significant homogeneity, with supply far exceeding demand; existing capacity is projected to meet demand until 2030 without supply-side reforms [4]. - Operating rates across various segments of the photovoltaic industry are between 40% and 60%, with polysilicon operating rates around 40% due to high existing capacity and inventory [4]. - The prices of photovoltaic components have seen fluctuations due to installation rushes, but are expected to stabilize as demand normalizes [4][5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The main theme for the future remains capacity clearance, particularly in the polysilicon segment, which is crucial for balancing supply and demand across the entire photovoltaic supply chain [5][6]. - The photovoltaic glass market is stable, with leading companies holding over 50% market share; proactive capacity reduction measures are anticipated to alleviate inventory pressures [5][6]. - Technological advancements, such as the development of BC batteries and the reduction of silver usage in cell production, are expected to drive down costs and improve efficiency [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the photovoltaic industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need to break the "involution" style competition in the photovoltaic sector, advocating for supply-side reforms driven by policy, industry self-discipline, and corporate production cuts [2]. - It highlights a significant increase in domestic photovoltaic installations, with 197.85 GW added from January to May 2025, representing a 150% year-on-year growth [2]. - The report identifies new technologies, particularly BC (Bifacial Cell) and copper paste, as key drivers for future industry growth and cost reduction [2]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The solar energy index rose by 4.1%, with notable gains from companies like Daqo New Energy and Tongwei Co., Ltd., which saw increases exceeding 10% [2]. - The report discusses the government's increasing focus on addressing low-price disorderly competition, aiming to enhance product quality and facilitate the exit of outdated production capacity [2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes a recovery in polysilicon prices, with the average transaction price for N-type polysilicon rising to 34,700 CNY/ton, a 0.87% increase week-on-week [2]. - It asserts that the main challenge in the photovoltaic industry is supply rather than demand, with expectations for improved supply conditions due to government guidance and industry self-regulation [2]. Technological Advancements - The report forecasts that leading companies will significantly expand their BC production capacity, with Longi Green Energy expected to reach 50 GW by the end of 2025 [2]. - It highlights the trend towards reducing silver usage in photovoltaic cells, with the silver consumption per watt decreasing from 6 mg/W to 0.5 mg/W, driven by advancements in technologies like XBC, TOPCon, and HJT [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with strong advantages in new technologies, recommending stocks such as Longi Green Energy, Aiko Solar Energy, and JinkoSolar [2]. - It also advises attention to auxiliary material sectors that benefit from policy improvements and have higher safety margins, recommending companies like GCL-Poly Energy and Sungrow Power Supply [2].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **photovoltaic (PV) industry** and its current market dynamics, particularly focusing on **silicon materials** and **glass segments** [1][3][10]. Core Insights and Arguments - The **National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC)** emphasizes the need for a modern industrial system, aiming to eliminate excessive competition and create a fair market environment, which is expected to support supply-side reforms in the PV industry [1][2]. - The **utilization rate** in the PV industry is currently low, especially in the silicon material segment, indicating an urgent need for supply-side reforms [1][3]. - The **valuation of the PV sector** is at historical lows, presenting potential trading opportunities, particularly in the silicon material and inverter segments [1][4]. - Recent policies, including a **30% reduction in glass production**, are expected to drive price increases in both silicon and glass segments, although high inventory levels remain a challenge [5][9]. - The **supply-side reform** for silicon materials involves two main steps: acquiring outdated production capacity and controlling utilization rates among leading companies to achieve a balance between supply and demand [6][10]. - Investment opportunities in the silicon material segment are significant, with companies like **Daqo and Tongwei** showing notable price increases, although investors are advised to wait for a market correction before entering [7][10]. Additional Important Content - The **high inventory levels** of polysilicon have persisted since Q4 of the previous year, necessitating policy-driven inventory reduction and strict production controls [8]. - The **glass industry** is expected to experience price increases, but this will depend on successful inventory reduction processes [9]. - The **PV sector** is anticipated to benefit from supply-side reforms, particularly in the silicon and glass segments, with a focus on waiting for market corrections before investing [10]. - The **battery cell sector**, especially **BC cells**, presents additional investment opportunities, with companies like **Aiko** showing potential for significant performance improvements [11]. - The **European industrial storage market** has exceeded expectations, with **Aero Energy** reporting shipment data of **490 million** in June, indicating strong demand [13][14]. - The **supply-side reforms** in the second half of the year are expected to focus on price rationalization and the elimination of excessive competition, with the PV industry remaining a core focus [15][16]. - The **future outlook** for the PV industry suggests a potential market rally similar to that seen in the lithium battery sector, driven by increased demand for green electricity amid global energy constraints [17][18].

Core Viewpoint - The industry faces weak demand but limited downside risk for stock prices, with potential for a 30%-50% recovery in beta if industry expectations improve [1][27]. Group 1: Industry Demand and Supply Dynamics - The SNEC exhibition showcased leading companies launching high-power modules around 680W, with efficiency reaching approximately 24.8%, indicating a significant technological advancement [3][7]. - Companies with strong financial backing and technological leadership are gaining market share, while second and third-tier companies are accelerating their exit from the market due to low operational capacity and inability to upgrade [3][10]. - The copper paste industry is strengthening, driven by rising silver prices and efforts from leading companies to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, with plans for multiple low-metalization solutions to be mass-produced by 2025 [3][12]. Group 2: Financial Health and Debt Pressure - The financial risk for photovoltaic companies is significant, with cash flow from operations being less than accounts receivable and debt renewal challenges looming [4][20]. - As of Q1 2025, second-tier companies had a total of 30 billion yuan in cash and equivalents against 60 billion yuan in short-term loans and long-term liabilities due within a year, indicating potential debt repayment pressure [4][20]. - Banks are cautious about withdrawing loans, especially for companies that can cover interest payments, suggesting a relatively stable lending environment despite the financial pressures [4][21]. Group 3: Demand Outlook - Short-term production is expected to decline by about 10%, with mid-term stability anticipated, while long-term demand is projected to benefit from the 14th Five-Year Plan and ongoing energy transition efforts [4][25]. - The overall photovoltaic industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in demand as market conditions stabilize, particularly in the second half of the year [4][26]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The industry is currently at a low point in terms of attention and investment, but there are positive signals such as leading companies actively launching high-power products and pushing for supply-side reforms [6][27]. - The potential for significant recovery in beta and alpha opportunities exists, particularly for companies involved in new technologies and those with flexible supply-side policies [1][27].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.488 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 418 million yuan, a decrease of 5% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, the revenue was 2.661 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year, with a net profit of -3 million yuan. For Q1 2025, the revenue was 2.994 billion yuan, showing a 1% increase year-on-year, while the net profit was 90 million yuan, up 18% year-on-year [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 12.488 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 1.086 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 9%. The operating profit was 483 million yuan, accounting for 4% of revenue. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 418 million yuan, with an EPS of 1.77 yuan [17]. - The company plans to increase its revenue to 13.112 billion yuan in 2025, with projections for further growth to 17.046 billion yuan in 2026 and 20.455 billion yuan in 2027 [17]. R&D and Product Development - The company maintained its industry-leading position in photovoltaic conductive paste, with a total output of 2,024 tons in 2024, of which 1,576 tons were N-type photovoltaic conductive paste, accounting for 77.87% of the total output. The R&D investment for 2024 was 842 million yuan, representing 6.74% of revenue [10]. - The company has made significant advancements in various technology routes, including TOPCon, HJT, and X-BC, and has introduced copper paste products for photovoltaic cells, which are currently undergoing testing with major clients [10]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to see steady progress in copper paste development, with stable processing fees for silver paste. The non-photovoltaic segment is anticipated to gradually contribute to profitability, with expectations for significant turnaround in 2025 [10].

Investment Logic - The article highlights investment opportunities in the photovoltaic sector, particularly focusing on new technologies. Three main lines of investment are suggested: 1) Leading TOPCon battery companies expected to achieve profit recovery; 2) New technology equipment manufacturers with growth potential; 3) Suppliers of low-silver or silver-free metallization paste solutions [2][3][4]. TOPCon Route - The profitability of battery components is continuously recovering, with leading companies expected to accelerate capacity upgrades. As demand improves, prices in the supply chain have risen, with silicon wafers, batteries, and components increasing by 7%, 13%, and 7% respectively since mid-February [2][6]. - By the end of 2025, the non-silicon cost of leading companies' TOPCon batteries is projected to drop below 0.13 yuan/W, enhancing competitive advantages among top firms [2][22]. XBC Route - The market interest in XBC technology has significantly increased, with an estimated production capacity nearing 50GW and construction capacity close to 45GW. Major companies like Longi and Aiko are leading this development [3][28]. - The price premium for BC components over TOPCon components remains around 0.05 yuan/W, indicating a competitive edge for BC technology [3][38]. HJT Route - The HJT technology is gaining market share, with a total planned capacity exceeding 100GW and actual capacity around 40-45GW. The efficiency of HJT components is expected to improve significantly, with projections of reaching 750W by early 2026 [4][47]. - HJT components are currently priced at a premium of approximately 0.05 yuan/W over TOPCon components, with cost differences narrowing as production scales up [4][55]. Metallization Process - The trend towards low-silver or silver-free solutions is becoming prominent, with silver paste prices rising significantly. The introduction of silver-copper paste is expected to reduce metallization costs by over 0.01 yuan/W [5][58]. - The industry is focusing on reducing silver consumption, with silver-copper paste already being applied in HJT batteries, indicating a shift towards more cost-effective solutions [5][63].