Workflow
Instinct芯片
icon
Search documents
AMD(AMD.US)逆风突围业绩超预期 华尔街多空激辩AI增长前景
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 13:17
Core Viewpoint - Despite challenges posed by new export control measures related to China, AMD's quarterly performance and outlook have received recognition from multiple Wall Street institutions [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Guidance - AMD's management indicated that the earnings guidance includes an estimated revenue loss of approximately $700 million due to export controls, with total losses expected to reach $1.5 billion by fiscal year 2025 [1] - Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore highlighted that AMD's data is impressive, noting strong performance in AI and traditional server businesses, which are crucial despite concerns over demand front-loading [1] - Jefferies analyst Brian Curtis pointed out that AI growth is a core indicator, and if it falls short of expectations, it could impact performance in the second half of the year [1] Group 2: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Morgan Stanley maintained a "hold" rating but lowered the target price from $149 to $121, reflecting a contraction in earnings multiples, while emphasizing that AI hardware is in a strong investment cycle [1] - Analysts noted that AMD must launch a sufficiently powerful MI400 product line next year to solidify its position amid fierce competition from Nvidia and ASIC manufacturers [1] - Evercore ISI analyst Mark Lipacis expressed optimism, reaffirming an "outperform" rating with a target price of $126, citing a more than 60% quarter-over-quarter growth in AMD's data center GPU business [1] Group 3: Future Outlook and Risks - Analysts from Wells Fargo maintained a "buy" rating, suggesting that AMD needs to digest the first-quarter results and next-quarter guidance, particularly the impact of MI308X's export ban to clarify growth paths for mid to late 2025 [1] - The overall expectation for AI revenue growth has become uncertain, with potential adjustments in forecasts due to the impact of the China ban [1]