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机构:明年人形机器人迈向商用化关键年
Group 1 - TrendForce predicts that 2026 will be a pivotal year for humanoid robots, with global shipments expected to exceed 50,000 units, representing an annual growth of over 700% [1] - The analysis highlights that Japan is focusing on enhancing key components such as transmission, sensing, and control technologies, while the US and China are actively launching humanoid products [1] - Different application scenarios are identified for the US, China, and Japan, each facing unique development milestones by 2026 [1] Group 2 - At the iREX 2025, despite the emphasis on humanoid robots, industrial robotic arms and collaborative robots dominated the displays, indicating Japan's preference for mature industrial applications [2] - Japan's increasing demand for humanoid robots is driven by a growing labor shortage in caregiving, with products like Kawasaki's Nyokkey and Fourier's GR-3 designed specifically for this sector [2] - The US humanoid robot industry is transitioning from "technology demonstration" to "practical validation," focusing on system integration, operational stability, energy efficiency, and real-time AI capabilities [2] Group 3 - TrendForce anticipates that 2026 will mark a turning point for "scene entry," with the ability of US companies to find sustainable application models in manufacturing, logistics, and home services being crucial for large-scale commercial deployment [3] - The Chinese humanoid robot industry is characterized by "diverse scenarios" and "price segmentation," with companies like Unitree and AgiBot pushing low-cost products for mass trials [3] - The key challenge for China's humanoid robots in 2026 will be balancing "low-cost popularization" with "high-end differentiation" while accumulating data and application experience for long-term competitiveness [3]
集邦咨询:2026年人形机器人将迈向商用化的关键年,全球出货量可望突破5万台
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 09:26
Core Insights - The year 2026 is projected to be a pivotal year for humanoid robots, with global shipments expected to exceed 50,000 units, representing an annual growth of over 700% [1] Group 1: Industry Developments - TrendForce estimates that humanoid robots will see significant commercialization advancements by 2026, with a forecasted shipment increase [1] - The International Robot Exhibition (iREX 2025) showcased Kawasaki Heavy Industries' latest humanoid robot, Kaleido 9, which can carry 30 kilograms, learn to use cleaning tools, and support remote control via virtual headsets, primarily targeting disaster sites [1] Group 2: Technological Innovations - Harmonic Drive has proposed optimized configurations for humanoid robot components, focusing on high-torque, flat designs for neck and arm joints to balance output and space utilization [1] - The introduction of ultra-small series products for fingers aims to enhance gripping capabilities in humanoid robots [1]
TrendForce集邦咨询:2026年人形机器人将迈向商用化的关键年 全球出货量可望突破5万台
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 09:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the ongoing development of humanoid robots across major economies, with Japan focusing on enhancing key component technologies while the US and China are actively launching end-user humanoid products [1][2][3] - TrendForce forecasts that 2026 will be a pivotal year for the commercialization of humanoid robots, with global shipments expected to exceed 50,000 units, representing an annual growth of over 700% [1] - Japan's robot industry, despite having advanced technologies, prioritizes industrial applications where demand is mature and ROI is calculable, while the care sector is anticipated to be the strongest area of demand for humanoid robots due to an increasing labor shortage [2] Group 2 - The US humanoid robot industry is transitioning from "technology demonstration" to "practical validation," with a focus on system integration, operational stability, energy efficiency, and real-time AI reasoning capabilities [3] - China's humanoid robot market is characterized by diverse applications and price segmentation, with companies like Unitree and AgiBot pushing low-cost products for mass trials, while others like Fourier focus on emotional interaction and healthcare applications [3] - TrendForce emphasizes that the key for China's humanoid robots in 2026 will be balancing low-cost accessibility with high-end differentiation, gradually accumulating data and application experience to support long-term competitiveness [3]
研报 | 2026年人形机器人将迈向商用化的关键年,全球出货量可望突破5万台
TrendForce集邦· 2025-12-09 09:02
Core Insights - The article discusses the ongoing development of humanoid robots across major economies, highlighting Japan's focus on key component technologies while contrasting it with the U.S. and China’s approaches to humanoid product launches. It predicts that 2026 will be a pivotal year for the commercialization of humanoid robots, with global shipments expected to exceed 50,000 units, representing an annual growth of over 700% [2]. Group 1: Japan's Humanoid Robot Industry - Japanese manufacturers are enhancing technologies in transmission, sensing, and control to improve the threshold for humanoid robots, with a strong emphasis on applications in caregiving due to an increasing labor shortage in this sector [2][3]. - The latest humanoid robot from Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Kaleido 9, can carry 30 kg and is designed for disaster response, showcasing advancements in functionality and remote operation capabilities [2]. - The demand for humanoid robots in Japan is expected to be strongest in the caregiving sector, with products like Kawasaki's Nyokkey and Fourier's GR-3 specifically designed for this purpose [3]. Group 2: U.S. Humanoid Robot Industry - The U.S. humanoid robot industry is transitioning from "technology demonstration" to "practical validation," focusing on system integration and real-world applications rather than just mobility [4]. - Companies like Tesla, Boston Dynamics, and Agility Robotics are prioritizing the stability of long-term operations, energy efficiency, and real-time AI reasoning capabilities as core competitive advantages [4]. - 2026 is anticipated to be a watershed year for the U.S. industry, as the ability to find sustainable application models in manufacturing, logistics, and home services will be crucial for scaling up from research and development to commercial deployment [4]. Group 3: China's Humanoid Robot Industry - The Chinese humanoid robot industry is characterized by diverse applications and price segmentation, with companies like Unitrue and AgiBot pushing low-cost products to establish a consumer market base [6]. - Fourier focuses on caregiving and companionship applications, differentiating itself through emotional interaction and medical expertise [6]. - The key challenge for China's humanoid robot sector in 2026 will be balancing low-cost proliferation with high-end differentiation, while gradually accumulating data and application experience to support long-term competitiveness [6].