Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report expects short - term strong adjustment of Shanghai Tin, with a focus on the range of 315,000 - 325,000 yuan/ton. The macro - situation includes the Fed's 25 - basis - point rate cut, and the supply side has a relatively tight domestic tin ore import supply. The demand side shows that downstream has purchasing willingness when tin prices decline, but high prices suppress transactions. [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai Tin futures main contract is 320,600 yuan/ton, down 2,030 yuan. The LME 3 - month tin price is 40,010 dollars/ton, up 160 dollars. The main contract's open interest of Shanghai Tin is 42,785 lots, down 4,714 lots. The net position of the top 20 futures is - 430 lots, down 1,183 lots. LME tin's total inventory is 3,655 tons, up 605 tons, and the cancelled warrants are 165 tons, down 95 tons. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's stock of tin is 6,865 tons (weekly), up 506 tons, and the warehouse receipts are 7,024 tons (daily), down 127 tons. [3] 现货市场 - The SMM 1 tin spot price is 320,000 yuan/ton, up 3,300 yuan. The Yangtze River Non - ferrous Market 1 tin spot price is 320,770 yuan/ton, up 3,630 yuan. The basis of the Shanghai Tin main contract is - 5,930 yuan/ton, down 9,610 yuan. The LME tin premium (0 - 3) is 30 dollars/ton, down 11 dollars. [3] Upstream Situation - The monthly import volume of tin ore and concentrates is 1.16 million tons, up 0.29 million tons. The average price of 40% tin concentrate is 308,000 yuan/ton, up 6,000 yuan, with a processing fee of 10,500 yuan/ton (unchanged). The average price of 60% tin concentrate is 312,000 yuan/ton, up 6,000 yuan, with a processing fee of 6,500 yuan/ton (unchanged). [3] Industry Situation - The monthly output of refined tin is 1.4 million tons, down 0.16 million tons. The monthly import volume of refined tin is 983.25 tons, down 518.38 tons. [3] Downstream Situation - The price of 60A solder bar in Gejiu is 205,370 yuan/ton, up 2,000 yuan. The cumulative monthly output of tin - plated sheets (strips) is 124.54 million tons, up 13.61 million tons. The monthly export volume of tin - plated sheets is 22.26 million tons, up 2.5 million tons. [3] Industry News - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, with three voting members opposing. It is still expected to cut rates once next year and will buy short - term bonds worth 40 billion dollars. China's November CPI rose 0.7% year - on - year, the highest since March 2024, and the year - on - year decline of PPI slightly expanded. Hassett said Trump would make a final decision on the Fed chairman candidate in the next 1 - 2 weeks. [3]