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CINNO Research:淡季叠加成本高企 手机面板价格全线下行
智通财经网· 2026-02-23 10:48
Group 1 - The overall performance of the mobile phone market is expected to be weak in February 2026 due to the impact of the Spring Festival holiday and the traditional off-season [1] - Upstream memory prices continue to rise significantly, increasing the BOM costs for finished devices, leading terminal brands to lower shipment targets to control costs [1] - The mobile phone panel market remains sluggish, with all types of mobile phone panel prices facing varying degrees of downward pressure [1] Group 2 - In February, demand for a-Si panels has significantly shrunk, but leading manufacturers have maintained high production line utilization by increasing shipments to the South China market [2] - Despite the pressure from rising prices of raw materials like copper and silver, a-Si cell prices may start to loosen as the long-term downward trend in module prices becomes unsustainable [2] - For LTPS panels, although there is some demand support from non-mobile applications, overall demand is contracting due to rising memory prices, leading to slight price loosening for smartphone LTPS panels [2] Group 3 - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are beginning to soften as major manufacturers like Samsung Display lower prices to secure new projects [2] - Flexible AMOLED panels face greater challenges as terminal brands significantly reduce procurement volumes due to inventory adjustments and cost control, leading to intense price competition among panel manufacturers [2] - CINNO Research predicts that prices for a-Si modules and LTPS panels will continue to decline in February and March 2026, with flexible AMOLED panel prices also expected to remain on a downward trend [2]
CINNO Research简评1月手机面板行情:存储成本高企叠加淡季效应 价格全面承压
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 06:32
Core Insights - The mobile panel market is entering a traditional off-season as of January 2026, with upstream memory prices rising for several months, leading terminal brands to reduce shipment targets to manage operational risks, resulting in a significant weakening of overall demand for mobile panels [1] Group 1: a-Si Panels - The overall demand contraction has led to a significant reduction in order visibility at the module level, while new production lines are gradually releasing capacity, exacerbating the oversupply pressure in the market [1] - The competitive landscape for a-Si panels is intensifying due to the supply-demand imbalance, with a high likelihood of continued downward price trends for a-Si modules [1] Group 2: LTPS Panels - Despite some demand support in non-mobile applications such as automotive displays, laptops, and tablets, the LTPS panel market is experiencing a contraction in overall demand due to rising memory prices and varying performance across segments, particularly in laptops and tablets [1] - In January, a slight price softening for LTPS panels used in smartphones is expected, with panel manufacturers likely to adopt competitive pricing strategies to secure new project orders [1] Group 3: AMOLED Panels - Rigid AMOLED panels are facing low demand due to substitution effects, maintaining low price fluctuations, while flexible AMOLED panels are under dual pressure from both demand and supply sides [1] - Terminal brands are becoming cautious in panel procurement due to cost control and shipment adjustments, while panel manufacturers are adopting more aggressive pricing strategies in negotiations to maintain utilization rates and market share [1] - CINNO Research anticipates that flexible AMOLED panel prices will continue to decline in January, influenced by previous capacity releases from some panel manufacturers aiming to meet annual shipment targets [1]
1月手机面板行情:存储成本高企叠加淡季效应,价格全面承压
CINNO Research· 2026-01-09 06:12
Core Viewpoint - The mobile display panel market is entering a traditional off-season in January 2026, with upstream storage prices rising for several months, leading terminal brands to reduce shipment targets to manage operational risks, resulting in a significant decline in overall demand for mobile panels [4]. Group 1: Market Overview - The overall demand for mobile panels is weakening due to insufficient terminal pull, causing upstream panel manufacturers to face pressure on utilization rates and further exacerbating price decline [4]. - The a-Si panel market is experiencing a significant reduction in order visibility due to the contraction in overall terminal demand, coupled with the release of new production lines, leading to increased supply pressure and intensified competition [4]. - The LTPS panel segment, while still supported by demand in non-mobile applications like automotive displays and laptops, is facing pressure in specific areas such as laptops and tablets, leading to an overall contraction in LTPS panel demand [4]. Group 2: Price Trends - The prices of a-Si modules and LTPS panels are expected to continue their downward trend in January and February 2026, with flexible AMOLED panel prices also anticipated to remain in a declining channel [5]. - The price for 6.5" LCD panels (HD+) is projected to decrease from $6.4 to $6.3, while 6.5" FHD+ LCD LTPS panels are expected to drop from $9.3 to $9.2, indicating a general trend of price reduction across various panel types [3].
12月手机面板行情:结构分化延续,价格普遍承压
CINNO Research· 2025-12-18 05:12
Core Viewpoint - The mobile display panel market is experiencing structural differentiation despite high overall operating rates as the year-end promotional season approaches its end [2][3]. Group 1: a-Si Panels - a-Si panels maintain stable demand in the low-end mobile and repair markets, with main production lines operating at full capacity [3]. - Prices for a-Si modules are expected to remain stable until the end of the year, but may face downward pressure in early 2026 due to increased supply from new production lines [3][4]. Group 2: LTPS Panels - LTPS production lines benefit from strong demand in non-mobile applications such as automotive, laptops, and tablets, maintaining high operating rates [2][3]. - Prices for LTPS panels are expected to remain stable in December, but new project prices may see a decline in 2026 due to competitive bidding [3][4]. Group 3: AMOLED Panels - Rigid AMOLED panels are facing demand shrinkage due to competition from flexible technology, leading to stable but low prices [3]. - Flexible AMOLED manufacturers are experiencing slight declines in operating rates, with aggressive pricing strategies being adopted to secure orders for the upcoming year [3]. - Prices for flexible AMOLED panels are projected to continue a downward trend into December and January 2026 [4].
CINNO Research:11月手机面板市场延续高稼动率运行态势 柔性AMOLED价格持续下行
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 08:13
Core Insights - The mobile display panel market is experiencing high operating rates due to promotional events like "Double Eleven" and "Black Friday," along with the release of new smartphone models, but there is a significant divergence in the performance of different technology routes [1] Group 1: a-Si Panels - a-Si panels maintain stable demand in the low-end mobile and repair markets, with main production lines operating at full capacity [1] - Prices for a-Si cells may see a slight increase in November, but fierce competition in the module segment is expected to keep module prices stable until the end of the year [1] Group 2: LTPS Panels - LTPS panels benefit from growth in automotive displays and the demand for new laptops and tablets, maintaining high operating rates [1] - Despite weak demand in the smartphone sector, strong demand in non-mobile areas balances the market, leading to stable prices in November [1] Group 3: AMOLED Panels - Rigid AMOLED panels face declining demand due to competition from flexible alternatives, with prices stabilizing at low levels [1] - Flexible AMOLED manufacturers are experiencing slight declines in operating rates due to pre-production in Q3, leading to competitive pricing strategies to capture market share [1] - Prices for flexible AMOLED panels are expected to continue on a downward trend [1] Group 4: Price Forecasts - CINNO Research predicts that a-Si module prices will remain stable in November and December 2025, while LTPS panel prices will also hold steady [1] - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term, while flexible AMOLED panel prices will continue to decline [1]
11月手机面板行情:柔性AMOLED价格持续下行
CINNO Research· 2025-11-12 08:02
Core Insights - The mobile panel market is experiencing high operating rates due to promotional events like "Double Eleven" in China and "Black Friday" abroad, alongside the recent launch of new products by various smartphone brands [2][3] Group 1: Market Trends - Different technology routes in the mobile panel market are showing significant divergence, with a-Si panels maintaining stability, LTPS panels supported by demand from automotive and laptops, and flexible AMOLED facing price declines due to capacity expansion and increased competition [3] - a-Si panels are expected to see a slight price increase in November, while module prices are anticipated to remain stable due to competitive pressures and declining costs of core components [3] - LTPS panels are benefiting from growth in automotive displays and new iterations in laptops and tablets, leading to high operating rates despite weak demand in the smartphone sector [3] - Rigid AMOLED panels are experiencing demand shrinkage due to competition from flexible alternatives, with prices stabilizing at low levels as manufacturers adopt aggressive pricing strategies to secure future orders [3] Group 2: Price Forecasts - CINNO Research predicts that a-Si module prices will remain stable in November and December 2025, LTPS panel prices will also hold steady, while rigid AMOLED prices are expected to stabilize in the short term [4] - Flexible AMOLED panel prices are projected to continue on a downward trend [4]
10月手机面板行情:技术路线分化加剧,柔性AMOLED量稳价跌
CINNO Research· 2025-10-23 08:05
Core Viewpoint - The smartphone display panel market is experiencing high operating rates in Q4, with distinct trends emerging across different technology routes as the domestic "Double Eleven" and international "Black Friday" promotional seasons approach [2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The a-Si panel market is stable due to resilient low-end demand, but prices are under pressure [3]. - LTPS production lines are operating at high rates supported by demand from automotive displays and new iterations of laptops and tablets, although smartphone demand remains weak [3]. - Flexible AMOLED panels are entering a price decline phase due to capacity expansion and competitive bidding among manufacturers, leading to a structural adjustment characterized by stable volume but falling prices [3]. Group 2: Price Predictions - a-Si module prices are expected to continue a slight decline through October and November 2025 [4]. - LTPS panel prices are anticipated to remain stable [4]. - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to stabilize in the short term, while flexible AMOLED panel prices will continue to decline [4].
CINNO Research发布9月手机面板行情:a-Si/LTPS稳中微跌 柔性AMOLED内卷加剧
智通财经网· 2025-09-18 09:16
Group 1 - The mobile panel market is maintaining high operating rates due to strong demand driven by the traditional peak season in Q3 [1] - a-Si panels continue to see strong demand in the mid-to-low end market, but prices are expected to decline slightly due to intensified competition among module manufacturers [1] - LTPS production lines are operating at high capacity driven by strong demand from automotive, laptops, and tablets, although demand in the smartphone sector remains weak [1] Group 2 - Flexible AMOLED panels are facing both demand growth and price pressure, with some manufacturers expanding capacity and adjusting pricing strategies to capture market share [1] - The demand for rigid AMOLED panels is declining due to the accelerated replacement by flexible panels, leading to stable prices in the short term [2] - CINNO Research predicts that a-Si module prices will continue to decline slightly in September and October 2025, while LTPS panel prices will also see reductions in new projects [2]
8月手机面板行情:旺季需求支撑,LTPS/AMOLED价格持平
CINNO Research· 2025-08-15 04:33
Core Viewpoint - The overall mobile panel market maintains high operating rates during the traditional peak season in Q3, with varying dynamics across different panel types [3]. Group 1: a-Si Panels - Demand for a-Si panels remains strong, driving major manufacturers to operate at full capacity. However, aggressive pricing strategies by module manufacturers to secure new project orders have led to a slight decline in a-Si module prices [3]. - Key raw materials, such as driver ICs, are in a price down cycle, contributing to the pressure on module pricing [3]. Group 2: LTPS Panels - LTPS production lines benefit from strong demand in the automotive and non-mobile sectors, maintaining high operating rates. The LTPS production status at Tianma is expected to continue until the end of the year [3]. - Despite the robust performance in non-mobile applications, the smartphone sector shows a relatively balanced supply-demand relationship, keeping panel prices stable in the short term [3]. Group 3: AMOLED Panels - The demand for rigid AMOLED panels has significantly declined due to mainstream mobile brands shifting towards flexible AMOLED technology. Price reductions by major manufacturers like Samsung Display have had limited effects on stimulating demand [3]. - In the flexible AMOLED market, manufacturers are operating close to full capacity due to pre-peak season stocking, but new project prices are under pressure due to intense competition during the bidding phase, while old project prices remain stable [3]. - Forecasts indicate a slight decline in a-Si module prices in August and September 2025, while LTPS and rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [3].
机构:7月手机面板市场以价格维稳为主基调
news flash· 2025-07-17 00:15
Core Insights - The mobile panel market continues to exhibit structural differentiation as it enters the third quarter, with a-Si panels supported by inventory replenishment demand following the "6.18" promotion, maintaining full production capacity [1] - LTPS panel production lines remain highly utilized due to demand from non-mobile applications such as automotive displays [1] - Flexible AMOLED panels are experiencing a temporary decline in demand due to adjustments in procurement schedules by terminal brands [1] Market Dynamics - In July, the mobile panel market primarily focused on price stability, although significant differences in supply and demand dynamics exist between different technology routes [1] - The forecast indicates a slight decrease in a-Si panel module prices in July and August 2025, while LTPS panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [1] - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are also projected to remain stable in the short term, whereas flexible AMOLED panel prices are expected to stabilize throughout the third quarter [1]