AMOLED方面：刚性AMOLED面板因替代效应持续，需求低迷，价格维持低位波动;柔性AMOLED面 板继续面临需求端与供应端的双重压力。终端品牌因成本控制与出货调整，对面板采购趋于谨慎;面板 厂为维持稼动率与市场份额，在议价与竞标中采取更为积极的定价策略。叠加此前部分面板厂为冲刺全 年出货目标，提前释放产能的影响，CINNO Research预计，柔性AMOLED面板价格在1月预计将继续下 探; CINNO Research预测，2026年1月和2026年2月，a-Si模组价格与LTPS面板价格或将呈现下降趋势;柔性 AMOLED面板价格持续处于下降通道。 CINNO Research发文称，进入2026年1月，手机面板市场正式步入传统淡季，叠加上游存储器价格连续 数月上涨，终端品牌为缓解成本压力，纷纷主动缩减出货目标以控制经营风险，由此导致手机面板整体 需求明显走弱。在终端拉货动能不足的背景下，上游面板厂稼动率普遍承压，价格下行压力进一步加 剧。 a-Si方面：受终端整体需求收缩影响，模组端订单能见度显著降低。与此同时，多条新增产线产能逐步 释放，市场供给过剩的压力进一步加大。供需失衡的格局下，a-Si面 ...

| Size & Resolution | | | Technology Touch | | Dec.25' | Jan.26'(E) | Differ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6.5x" LCD | Notch | HD+ | a-Si | TDDI | $6.4 | $6.3 | -$0.1 | | 6.5x" | Notch | FHD+ | LCD LTPS | TDDI | $9.3 | $9.2 | -$0.1 | | 6.4x" | Notch | FHD+ | AMOLED Rigid On Cell | | $16.0 | $15.5 | -$0.5 | | 6.7x" | Hole | FHD+ | AMOLED Flexible On Cell | | $21.0 | $20.5 | -$0.5 | | * Display Panel Type: Module with Touch Function | | | | | | Copyright©CINNOResearch | | | * Unit: USD ...

01 02 a-Si方面：a-Si面板凭借在低端手机及维修市场的需求保持稳健，主力产线持续满载运转。预计从当前至 年底，a-Si模组价格将整体持稳。进入2026年1月，手机面板市场将正式步入传统淡季，需求支撑减弱， 与此同时，多条新产线计划扩大出货规模，市场供给压力有望进一步加大，在此背景下，a-Si Cell价格或 将维持或微幅下调，而模组价格则大概率持续走低； 03 " 进 入 12 月 ， 尽 管 年 末 促 销 旺 季 接 近 尾 声 ， 手 机 面 板 市 场 整 体 稼 动 率 仍 保 持 在 高 位 ， 但 内 部 结 构 性 分 化 趋势愈发显著。 " | Size & Resolution | | | Technology | | Touch | Nov.25' | Dec.25'(E) | Differ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6.5x" LCD | Notch | HD+ | | a-Si | TDDI | $6.4 | $6.4 | $0.0 | | 6.5x" LCD | Notch | ...

Core Insights - The mobile display panel market is experiencing high operating rates due to promotional events like "Double Eleven" and "Black Friday," along with the release of new smartphone models, but there is a significant divergence in the performance of different technology routes [1] Group 1: a-Si Panels - a-Si panels maintain stable demand in the low-end mobile and repair markets, with main production lines operating at full capacity [1] - Prices for a-Si cells may see a slight increase in November, but fierce competition in the module segment is expected to keep module prices stable until the end of the year [1] Group 2: LTPS Panels - LTPS panels benefit from growth in automotive displays and the demand for new laptops and tablets, maintaining high operating rates [1] - Despite weak demand in the smartphone sector, strong demand in non-mobile areas balances the market, leading to stable prices in November [1] Group 3: AMOLED Panels - Rigid AMOLED panels face declining demand due to competition from flexible alternatives, with prices stabilizing at low levels [1] - Flexible AMOLED manufacturers are experiencing slight declines in operating rates due to pre-production in Q3, leading to competitive pricing strategies to capture market share [1] - Prices for flexible AMOLED panels are expected to continue on a downward trend [1] Group 4: Price Forecasts - CINNO Research predicts that a-Si module prices will remain stable in November and December 2025, while LTPS panel prices will also hold steady [1] - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term, while flexible AMOLED panel prices will continue to decline [1]

Core Insights - The mobile panel market is experiencing high operating rates due to promotional events like "Double Eleven" in China and "Black Friday" abroad, alongside the recent launch of new products by various smartphone brands [2][3] Group 1: Market Trends - Different technology routes in the mobile panel market are showing significant divergence, with a-Si panels maintaining stability, LTPS panels supported by demand from automotive and laptops, and flexible AMOLED facing price declines due to capacity expansion and increased competition [3] - a-Si panels are expected to see a slight price increase in November, while module prices are anticipated to remain stable due to competitive pressures and declining costs of core components [3] - LTPS panels are benefiting from growth in automotive displays and new iterations in laptops and tablets, leading to high operating rates despite weak demand in the smartphone sector [3] - Rigid AMOLED panels are experiencing demand shrinkage due to competition from flexible alternatives, with prices stabilizing at low levels as manufacturers adopt aggressive pricing strategies to secure future orders [3] Group 2: Price Forecasts - CINNO Research predicts that a-Si module prices will remain stable in November and December 2025, LTPS panel prices will also hold steady, while rigid AMOLED prices are expected to stabilize in the short term [4] - Flexible AMOLED panel prices are projected to continue on a downward trend [4]

Core Viewpoint - The smartphone display panel market is experiencing high operating rates in Q4, with distinct trends emerging across different technology routes as the domestic "Double Eleven" and international "Black Friday" promotional seasons approach [2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The a-Si panel market is stable due to resilient low-end demand, but prices are under pressure [3]. - LTPS production lines are operating at high rates supported by demand from automotive displays and new iterations of laptops and tablets, although smartphone demand remains weak [3]. - Flexible AMOLED panels are entering a price decline phase due to capacity expansion and competitive bidding among manufacturers, leading to a structural adjustment characterized by stable volume but falling prices [3]. Group 2: Price Predictions - a-Si module prices are expected to continue a slight decline through October and November 2025 [4]. - LTPS panel prices are anticipated to remain stable [4]. - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to stabilize in the short term, while flexible AMOLED panel prices will continue to decline [4].

Group 1 - The mobile panel market is maintaining high operating rates due to strong demand driven by the traditional peak season in Q3 [1] - a-Si panels continue to see strong demand in the mid-to-low end market, but prices are expected to decline slightly due to intensified competition among module manufacturers [1] - LTPS production lines are operating at high capacity driven by strong demand from automotive, laptops, and tablets, although demand in the smartphone sector remains weak [1] Group 2 - Flexible AMOLED panels are facing both demand growth and price pressure, with some manufacturers expanding capacity and adjusting pricing strategies to capture market share [1] - The demand for rigid AMOLED panels is declining due to the accelerated replacement by flexible panels, leading to stable prices in the short term [2] - CINNO Research predicts that a-Si module prices will continue to decline slightly in September and October 2025, while LTPS panel prices will also see reductions in new projects [2]

Core Viewpoint - The overall mobile panel market maintains high operating rates during the traditional peak season in Q3, with varying dynamics across different panel types [3]. Group 1: a-Si Panels - Demand for a-Si panels remains strong, driving major manufacturers to operate at full capacity. However, aggressive pricing strategies by module manufacturers to secure new project orders have led to a slight decline in a-Si module prices [3]. - Key raw materials, such as driver ICs, are in a price down cycle, contributing to the pressure on module pricing [3]. Group 2: LTPS Panels - LTPS production lines benefit from strong demand in the automotive and non-mobile sectors, maintaining high operating rates. The LTPS production status at Tianma is expected to continue until the end of the year [3]. - Despite the robust performance in non-mobile applications, the smartphone sector shows a relatively balanced supply-demand relationship, keeping panel prices stable in the short term [3]. Group 3: AMOLED Panels - The demand for rigid AMOLED panels has significantly declined due to mainstream mobile brands shifting towards flexible AMOLED technology. Price reductions by major manufacturers like Samsung Display have had limited effects on stimulating demand [3]. - In the flexible AMOLED market, manufacturers are operating close to full capacity due to pre-peak season stocking, but new project prices are under pressure due to intense competition during the bidding phase, while old project prices remain stable [3]. - Forecasts indicate a slight decline in a-Si module prices in August and September 2025, while LTPS and rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [3].

Core Insights - The mobile panel market continues to exhibit structural differentiation as it enters the third quarter, with a-Si panels supported by inventory replenishment demand following the "6.18" promotion, maintaining full production capacity [1] - LTPS panel production lines remain highly utilized due to demand from non-mobile applications such as automotive displays [1] - Flexible AMOLED panels are experiencing a temporary decline in demand due to adjustments in procurement schedules by terminal brands [1] Market Dynamics - In July, the mobile panel market primarily focused on price stability, although significant differences in supply and demand dynamics exist between different technology routes [1] - The forecast indicates a slight decrease in a-Si panel module prices in July and August 2025, while LTPS panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term [1] - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are also projected to remain stable in the short term, whereas flexible AMOLED panel prices are expected to stabilize throughout the third quarter [1]

Group 1 - The mobile panel market continues to exhibit structural differentiation in the third quarter, with a-Si panels supported by demand for inventory replenishment after the "6.18" promotion, maintaining full production capacity [2][3] - LTPS panel production lines remain at high utilization rates driven by non-mobile applications such as automotive displays, while demand for flexible AMOLED panels has seen a temporary decline due to adjustments in terminal brand procurement schedules [2][3] - Overall, the mobile panel market in July is characterized by price stability, but significant differences in supply and demand dynamics exist between different technology routes [2][3] Group 2 - For a-Si panels, despite the peak in inventory replenishment following the "618" promotion, demand remains strong, and production lines continue to operate at full capacity. Prices for a-Si modules are expected to see a slight decrease in July due to the declining costs of key raw materials like driver ICs [3][4] - LTPS panels continue to be supported by the automotive display market, but demand in the smartphone sector remains weak due to the trend of AMOLED substitution, leading to low price levels with no significant recovery expected in the short term [3][4] - Rigid AMOLED panel demand is contracting, and price reductions by major manufacturers like Samsung Display have not met expectations, resulting in sustained low prices. Flexible AMOLED panel production rates have slightly decreased due to procurement adjustments, but are expected to rebound as the traditional peak season approaches [4][5]