Core Viewpoints - The A-share market saw all three major indices rise on Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.7%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.08%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.36%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1,725.659 billion yuan [1][6] - In terms of industry performance, non-bank financials, metals, and machinery equipment led the gains, while banking, public utilities, and transportation sectors lagged behind [1][6] - The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong rose by 0.58%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 0.84%. In overseas markets, the three major US indices also saw collective gains, with the Dow Jones up by 0.22%, the S&P 500 up by 0.19%, and the Nasdaq up by 0.31% [1][6] Important News - As of the end of November, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at 33,464 billion USD, an increase of 30 billion USD from the end of October, marking a rise of 0.09%. This figure has remained above 3.3 trillion USD for four consecutive months and is the highest since December 2015. Additionally, the central bank's gold reserves reported at 7,412 million ounces, with an increase of 30,000 ounces month-on-month, marking the 13th consecutive month of gold accumulation since last November [2][7] - A draft of the "Guidelines for Performance Evaluation Management of Fund Management Companies" has been issued, which strengthens performance assessments and links various indicators to profitability. The regulations require that the proportion of investments by executives and fund managers be increased, with at least 30% of their annual performance compensation tied to purchasing their own company's funds. Fund managers' performance compensation will be closely linked to fund performance, with significant reductions in compensation for those whose products underperform benchmarks by over ten percentage points in the past three years [2][7] Industry Insights - In December, TV panel prices are expected to stabilize, with a warming demand anticipated next year. According to data from Lottu Technology, the prices of LCD TV panels from major manufacturers saw an increase in November, with small sizes rising by 0.5-1 USD and medium to large sizes by 2-3 USD. Although the settlement price is expected to decline, the rate of decline is anticipated to narrow [8][9] - The upcoming sports events in 2026, such as the Winter Olympics and the World Cup, are expected to boost demand for panels, leading downstream manufacturers to stock up in advance, which will provide support for LCD TV panel prices. The demand for large-sized displays continues to grow, with a projected 6% year-on-year increase in global display panel area demand in 2026 [9][10] - The operating rates of LCD panel manufacturers remain high, and the depreciation pressure on production lines is expected to ease, improving operational pressures. In October 2025, the global shipment of large-sized LCD TV panels reached 20.6 million units, an 8% year-on-year increase, despite a 4.8% month-on-month decline [10][11]

Core Insights - The mobile display panel market is experiencing high operating rates due to promotional events like "Double Eleven" and "Black Friday," along with the release of new smartphone models, but there is a significant divergence in the performance of different technology routes [1] Group 1: a-Si Panels - a-Si panels maintain stable demand in the low-end mobile and repair markets, with main production lines operating at full capacity [1] - Prices for a-Si cells may see a slight increase in November, but fierce competition in the module segment is expected to keep module prices stable until the end of the year [1] Group 2: LTPS Panels - LTPS panels benefit from growth in automotive displays and the demand for new laptops and tablets, maintaining high operating rates [1] - Despite weak demand in the smartphone sector, strong demand in non-mobile areas balances the market, leading to stable prices in November [1] Group 3: AMOLED Panels - Rigid AMOLED panels face declining demand due to competition from flexible alternatives, with prices stabilizing at low levels [1] - Flexible AMOLED manufacturers are experiencing slight declines in operating rates due to pre-production in Q3, leading to competitive pricing strategies to capture market share [1] - Prices for flexible AMOLED panels are expected to continue on a downward trend [1] Group 4: Price Forecasts - CINNO Research predicts that a-Si module prices will remain stable in November and December 2025, while LTPS panel prices will also hold steady [1] - Rigid AMOLED panel prices are expected to remain stable in the short term, while flexible AMOLED panel prices will continue to decline [1]

Core Insights - The upcoming third quarter is expected to see a significant increase in demand for OLED panels due to the launch of flagship products by Apple and major domestic brands, with a projected shipment of approximately 250 million AMOLED smartphone panels globally, marking a year-on-year growth of 11.7% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 20.3% [1] Market Overview - In the third quarter of 2025, the global AMOLED smartphone panel shipment from South Korea is expected to account for 51.6% of the total, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.8 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.2 percentage points, primarily driven by short-term demand from Apple’s new device preparations; domestic manufacturers will hold a 48.4% share [4] - Samsung Display (SDC) is projected to see a year-on-year shipment growth of 7.1%, with its market share decreasing from 45.2% to 43.4%, reflecting a 1.8 percentage point decline; despite its technological advantages in LTPO backplanes, SDC is losing orders in the mid-range market [5] - BOE's AMOLED smartphone panel shipments are expected to grow by 30.8% year-on-year, with its market share increasing by 2.3 percentage points to 15.7%, benefiting from penetration in the mid-range market and continued breakthroughs in the high-end market [5] - Visionox's AMOLED smartphone panel shipments are anticipated to grow by 16.7% year-on-year, with a market share increase of 0.5 percentage points to 12.7%, attributed to effective operational strategies and stable demand in the mid-range market [5] - Tianma's AMOLED smartphone panel shipments are projected to grow by 28.4% year-on-year, with a market share increase of 1.3 percentage points to 10.0%, driven by stable demand from key customers and improvements in production technology and yield [5] Flexible Panel Insights - In the third quarter of 2025, flexible AMOLED smartphone panels are expected to account for 80.1% of total AMOLED smartphone panel shipments, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.6 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.1 percentage points; South Korea's share will be 43.8%, down 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, while domestic manufacturers will hold 56.2% [6] - SDC's flexible AMOLED smartphone panel shipments are projected to grow by 9.3% year-on-year and 40.4% quarter-on-quarter, with a market share of 33.5%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, facing increasing competition from domestic manufacturers [6] - BOE's flexible AMOLED smartphone panel shipments are expected to grow by 30.8% year-on-year and 9.3% quarter-on-quarter, with a market share of 19.7%, reflecting a 2.1 percentage point increase year-on-year, driven by significant growth in high-end flexible screen orders [8] - Visionox's flexible AMOLED smartphone panel shipments are anticipated to grow by 16.2% year-on-year and 54.2% quarter-on-quarter, with a market share of 13.7%, significantly above the industry average in terms of production line utilization [8] - Tianma's flexible AMOLED smartphone panel shipments are projected to grow by 28.4% year-on-year and 8.3% quarter-on-quarter, with a market share of 12.5%, reflecting a 1.1 percentage point increase year-on-year [8]

Group 1 - BOE, a mainland panel manufacturer, is set to supply OLED panels for Apple's iPhone 17, which was initially expected to be exclusively supplied by South Korean manufacturers [1] - UBI Research's vice president, Han Chang-wook, noted that BOE was not included in the previous iPhone 16 series but is anticipated to be part of the iPhone 17 lineup [1] - BOE has developed LTPO OLED technology and can meet Apple's requirements for narrow bezel panels [1] Group 2 - The LTPO OLED technology will expand to the standard version and iPhone 17 Air, while the iPhone 16 standard and Plus versions used LTPS OLED [1] - BOE previously supplied LTPS OLED for the iPhone standard series last year, and there is significant attention on its rapid advancement in LTPO technology [1] - BOE has completed the development of LTPO OLED panels and is currently undergoing quality assessments with Apple, having received approval for mass production [1] - UBI Research estimates that BOE's initial shipment volume will be approximately 5 million units [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that TCL Technology sees a steady growth trend in the demand for large-size LCD panels, driven by various applications beyond traditional televisions, including interactive whiteboards, signage, and conference screens [1] - The company emphasizes that there is significant growth potential for large-size LCD panels in educational, commercial, and meeting scenarios [1] - Overall, the demand for large-size LCD panels is expected to show a stable upward trend [1]

Core Insights - BOE successfully supplied 43 million panels for the iPhone 16 standard model last year and is expected to supply around 5 million panels for the iPhone 17 Pro in 2025, bringing total shipments to 45-50 million [2] - Apple’s total iPhone panel shipments exceeded 230 million last year, with Samsung and LG Display capturing the remaining market share after BOE [2] - UBI Research predicts that BOE, Samsung, and LG Display will remain the core panel suppliers for Apple, with competition among these three companies becoming a significant variable in the global smartphone panel market [2][3] Company Performance - Samsung Display shipped 63.8 million panels for the iPhone 16 series, with total iPhone panel shipments reaching 124 million. It is expected to ship 78 million panels for the iPhone 17 series this year [3] - LG Display shipped 42 million panels for the iPhone 16 series, with total shipments of 67.42 million. Projections indicate an increase to 45.6 million and 75.1 million for the iPhone 17 series [3] - BOE's entry into the iPhone 17 Pro panel supply chain marks a significant milestone, as it has been increasing its shipment volume and market share since it began supplying panels for the iPhone 12 [4] Market Dynamics - The competition for iPhone panel orders has intensified, transitioning from a two-player market (Samsung and LG) to a three-player market with the inclusion of BOE [2][4] - The ongoing patent disputes between BOE and Samsung highlight the competitive landscape, with both companies engaging in legal battles over OLED technology [6][7] - If the ITC's preliminary ruling against BOE is upheld, it could significantly impact both BOE and Apple, forcing Apple to shift its supply chain [7] Future Outlook - UBI Research forecasts that by the first half of 2025, BOE will supply approximately 22.7% of OLED panels for iPhones, slightly surpassing LG Display's 21.3% [7] - The global AMOLED smartphone panel shipment is projected to reach 420 million units in the first half of 2025, with Chinese manufacturers, including BOE, accounting for 51.7% of the market share [7] - Despite fierce competition, there remains potential for collaboration, as BOE and Samsung are reportedly discussing partnerships for high-end display panels [8]