Lifespace
Search documents
汤臣倍健(300146):公司跟踪报告:持续调整,恢复增长
Haitong Securities International· 2025-11-24 07:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 14.56 per share based on a 28x PE for 2026 [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve steady growth due to consumer recovery, increased product volume, and benefits from channel reforms [4][8]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of RMB 4.92 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 14.27%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 907 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.45% [9][12]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of RMB 1.38 billion, a year-on-year increase of 23.45%, and a net profit of RMB 171 million, marking a return to profitability [9][12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was RMB 9,407 million, with projections of RMB 6,838 million for 2024 and RMB 6,291 million for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 27.3% [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was RMB 1,746 million, with projections of RMB 653 million for 2024 and RMB 785 million for 2025, indicating a significant decline in 2024 [3]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 increased by 3.25 percentage points to 68.56%, attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin products [11]. Product and Operations Optimization - The company has implemented product and operational optimizations, resulting in revenue and profit growth in Q3 2025, partly due to a low base effect [10]. - The main brand's online and offline channels are differentiated, achieving a 70% separation, and approximately 20% of revenue in 2025 is contributed by new products [10]. Profitability Improvement - The company has seen a significant improvement in profitability, with a recurring net profit margin of 9.65% in Q3 2025, an increase of 11.81 percentage points year-on-year [11]. - The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and finance have decreased significantly, contributing to improved profitability [11]. Main Brand Growth - In Q3 2025, offline revenue reached RMB 669 million, a year-on-year increase of 39.38%, while online revenue was RMB 704 million, up 11.22% year-on-year [12]. - Revenue from the main brand and other products showed significant growth, with the main brand revenue increasing by 40.97% year-on-year [12].