MSCI新兴市场货币指数

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美联储政策转向叠加中东停火 新兴市场资产开启反弹之旅
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 23:03
Group 1 - Emerging market assets experienced a broad rebound driven by improved market sentiment due to signals from the Federal Reserve and easing geopolitical tensions, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index rising over 0.6% in a single day [1] - The U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields weakened simultaneously, while emerging market stock indices recorded their largest single-day gain since April [1] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony hinted at a potential window for early rate cuts, aligning with dovish comments from other Fed officials, which reinforced market expectations for a third rate cut this year [1] Group 2 - Easing geopolitical risks, particularly a temporary ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran facilitated by the U.S., contributed to rising asset prices in developing countries, with the Israeli shekel soaring 1.7% to a new high since January 2023 [2] - The Mexican peso strengthened due to a decline in inflation data, while the Brazilian real fell against the dollar as the central bank remained cautious about inflation [2] - Eastern European markets showed varied trends, with Hungary's central bank maintaining rates for the ninth consecutive month and Slovenia issuing its first sustainable development-linked bond [2] Group 3 - Investor sentiment towards emerging markets is improving, with a recent HSBC survey indicating that the proportion of fund managers bullish on emerging market assets reached a two-and-a-half-year high [3] - If the current risk appetite persists, emerging market stocks are expected to continue outperforming, driven by expectations of a shift in Fed policy and easing geopolitical tensions [3] - Analysts emphasize the need to monitor upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data and developments in the Middle East closely [3]
新兴市场资产连续第三日下跌,受中东紧张局势影响
news flash· 2025-06-19 20:56
Group 1 - Emerging market assets have declined for the third consecutive trading day due to heightened tensions in the Middle East and weakened risk appetite, with US and Brazilian markets closed for public holidays [1] - The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index fell by approximately 0.2%, with South Korea, the Philippines, Indonesia, and Thailand leading the declines [1] - The Chilean peso reversed earlier losses to lead gains among emerging market currencies, while the Philippine peso lagged behind due to the central bank's decision to lower borrowing costs [1] Group 2 - The developing countries' stock index recorded its largest single-day drop since April, with Taiwan and Hong Kong stocks leading the decline [1]