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Mercado:拉美“阿里”慢功夫的千亿市值路
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-10 11:11
Mercado Libre(后文简称Meli),对国内读者和投资人而言可能并不被人熟知。而实际上,类似阿里之于中国、Sea之于东南亚,Meli可以说是拉美地区 最大、最成功的互联网龙头。旗下同时拥有拉美地区最大的电商平台和金融支付两大业务,可以类比拉美地区的淘宝和蚂蚁集团。 一、Mercado Libre 是一家什么样的公司? 并且,虽然拉美的互联网行业仍属发展中早期的"新兴市场",Meli却并非行业内的新兵。实际上早在1999年就已于阿根廷成立,与同样诞生于99年的阿 里,以及诞生于94年的亚马逊是同一时代的互联网 "老兵"。 但是回顾Meli自2007年上市以来的股价表现,直到2019年前公司的表现可谓"默默无闻",年化回报率仅12%。从这个角度Meil看起来并非一家能给股东带 来好回报的"好公司"。但到疫情来临后,Meli却看似突然进入了股价(和业绩)的爆发期。 因此海豚对Meli的覆盖将主要围绕以下几个问题展开: ①Meli旗下的业务具体构成如何,为何在19年前表现平平,又为何在在疫情前后迎来了爆发式的增长。 ② 如前文提及的,Meli同时拥有拉美地区最成功的电商业务和金融支付业务,在拉美地区这两个行 ...
MELI vs. PDD: Which E-Commerce Stock Has More Upside Potential?
ZACKS· 2025-07-02 16:56
Core Insights - MercadoLibre (MELI) and PDD Holdings (PDD) are leading e-commerce platforms in Latin America and China, respectively, with strong logistics and user experience foundations [1][2] Summary of MercadoLibre (MELI) - MELI is capturing market share from physical retail, which still holds nearly 85% of consumer spending in Latin America, with its market share below 5% [3] - The company reported a 25% year-over-year increase in unique active buyers in Q1 2025, driven by improved brand preference in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and Chile [3] - MELI's total GMV reached $13.3 billion, with 492 million items sold, reflecting a 30% forex-neutral GMV growth in Brazil and 23% in Mexico, while Argentina saw a remarkable 126% growth [4] - The logistics network is scaling efficiently, with fulfillment penetration exceeding 60% in Brazil, leading to a decline in cost per order [5] - MELI is focusing on underpenetrated categories like supermarkets, with an emphasis on its 1P model to ensure supply consistency and improve unit economics [6] Summary of PDD Holdings (PDD) - PDD is prioritizing long-term growth through a $15 billion support program for small and mid-sized merchants, aimed at easing competitive pressures in China's retail market [7] - The company reported a 10% year-over-year revenue increase to RMB95.7 billion ($13.3 billion) in Q1 2025, with marketing and transaction services growing by 15% and 6%, respectively [8] - PDD's operating profit decreased to RMB18.3 billion from RMB28.6 billion a year ago, resulting in an operating margin drop from 33% to 19% due to heavy investments in promotions and ecosystem support [8] - The company is modernizing rural supply chains through agriculture e-commerce initiatives, enhancing value for merchants and consumers [9] Stock Performance and Valuation - In the last three months, MELI shares increased by 29.7%, while PDD shares decreased by 8.5% [11] - MELI's share price increase is attributed to its success in capturing offline retail market share, while PDD's decline is linked to rising competition and margin pressures [12] - Valuation metrics indicate that MELI shares are trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 4.09X, while PDD is at 2.31X, suggesting both are currently overvalued [16] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MELI's Q2 2025 earnings is $12.01 per share, revised upward by 15.25%, indicating a 14.6% year-over-year increase [19] - Conversely, PDD's Q2 2025 earnings estimate is $2.04 per share, revised downward by 28.42%, indicating a 36.25% year-over-year decrease [20] - MELI has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, while PDD has beaten in two, with PDD showing a negative average surprise of 6.21% [21] Conclusion - MELI is experiencing strong e-commerce momentum and market share gains in Latin America, supported by strategic investments in logistics and user engagement [22] - PDD is facing near-term challenges due to competition and margin pressures, making MELI a more favorable option for sustained growth [23]
Mercado Ads Scales Up: Can it Become MELI's Third Growth Engine?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 16:21
Key Takeaways Mercado Ads helps sellers reach shoppers via Product, Brand, Display and Video Ads on and off MELI's platform. Mercado Play launched on 70M TVs with 15K free content hours, expanding video ad inventory for MELI. Now a $1B business, Mercado Ads is MELI's gateway to Latin America's growing digital advertising market.MercadoLibre (MELI) is expanding its ecosystem with increasing momentum in digital advertising, positioning Mercado Ads as a strong candidate for its next core growth engine. Merca ...
Are These 3 Top-Performing Tech Stocks in the Nasdaq-100, Up 33% to 64% in 2025, Still a Buy Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-25 14:30
Group 1: Palantir Technologies - Palantir Technologies has seen a remarkable stock increase of 64% year-to-date and over 1,800% since 2023, driven by its focus on artificial intelligence (AI) [4][5] - The company specializes in custom software that utilizes AI for data analysis, helping organizations identify trends and optimize processes [5] - Following the launch of its AIP platform in mid-2023, Palantir has entered a new growth phase, with significant market opportunities ahead [6] - Despite strong business performance, Palantir's stock is considered overvalued, trading at an enterprise value of nearly $280 billion against $3.1 billion in trailing-12-month revenue [7][8] Group 2: MercadoLibre - MercadoLibre has experienced a 54% stock increase in 2025, with potential for further growth due to its strong position in Latin America [9] - The company operates in e-commerce, fintech, and logistics, leveraging these sectors to enhance its competitive advantage [9] - With minimal exposure to the U.S. market, MercadoLibre is less affected by tariffs, allowing it to thrive in the region's challenging economic environment [10] - The company reported $5.9 billion in revenue for Q1 2025, a 37% increase year-over-year, with net income rising by 44% to $494 million [13] - Despite a P/E ratio of 63, which may seem high, this valuation is consistent with growth rates seen in similar companies like Amazon [14] Group 3: Netflix - Netflix's stock has risen 33% year-to-date, recovering from a 19% drop earlier in the year, and is currently trading at nearly $1,200 per share [15] - The company's profit margin reached 23% in its most recent quarter, the highest in its history, nearly double that of two years ago [16] - Netflix's large global audience of over 700 million, with more than 450 million outside the U.S., enhances its attractiveness to advertisers [17] - The company has raised prices for its service, reflecting confidence in subscriber retention due to an expanded content offering [18] - Overall, Netflix's strong fundamentals and stock performance position it as a compelling investment opportunity within the Nasdaq-100 [19]