Experts are ramping up their warnings that AI-fueled stock gains echo the dot-com bubble, as major tech firms boost spending while promising profits still far in the future. However, many analysts believe it’d be wrong to compare the AI boom with the dot-com bubble, and argue that we have yet to see the full potential of the AI technology.Gene Munster, Deepwater Asset Management managing partner, said in a recent program on CNBC that while he expects a pullback in the market, he thinks AI-related spending w ...

Group 1 - Snap's stock experienced a 5.7% increase, attributed to investor optimism surrounding the new augmented reality operating system, Snap OS 2.0 [1][2] - Snap OS 2.0 is described as faster, more powerful, and user-friendly, with enhancements in features like Spotlight, Gallery, and Lenses [4] - The company is positioned as a key competitor to Meta Platforms in the smart glasses market, which is expected to grow as Meta pushes into this category [5] Group 2 - Despite having nearly 1 billion monthly active users, Snap has struggled to monetize its user base effectively, primarily due to investments in AR technology [6] - The upcoming release of consumer-focused smart glasses is seen as a critical opportunity for Snap to transition from a social media platform to a profitable business [6]

Core Insights - The AGIX index aims to capture the beta and alphas of the AGI era, which is expected to be a significant technological paradigm shift over the next 20 years, similar to the impact of the internet [2] - The "AGIX PM Notes" serves as a record of thoughts on the AGI process, inspired by legendary investors like Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio, to witness and participate in this unprecedented technological revolution [2] Market Performance - AGIX has shown a weekly performance of 3.11%, a year-to-date return of 31.66%, and a return of 92.48% since 2024 [5] - In comparison, the S&P 500, QQQ, and Dow Jones had lower weekly performances of 0.74%, 1.30%, and 0.94% respectively [5] Sector Performance - The semiconductor and hardware sectors had a weekly performance of 0.66%, while infrastructure and application sectors performed at 1.19% and 1.26% respectively [6] Living Software Concept - Software is evolving into "Living Software," which continuously learns and self-optimizes, requiring a scalable environment to capture user signals and convert them into rewards for training tasks [10] - The transition to "Living Software" emphasizes the importance of high-quality environments over algorithms, as real-world feedback is crucial for AI model training [11] Business Implications - Companies that can integrate AI into their core business processes will have a competitive edge, as they can create high-quality training environments for AI systems [12] - The shift in training paradigms indicates that businesses will increasingly rely on their proprietary data and experience for AI model training, making data resources a core competitive advantage [15] Future of Enterprises - The future enterprise model may resemble a "reinforcement learning environment machine," where human roles shift to coaching and feedback provision for AI systems [16] - Companies that adopt the "Living Software" philosophy and leverage real environments for AI training will lead the next wave of business transformation [16] Investment Trends - Hedge funds are increasingly focusing on semiconductor sectors outside the U.S., with notable buying activity in Asian markets, particularly in AI-related stocks [18] - The overall hedge fund leverage has increased to 57%, the highest since early 2022, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [17] Major Corporate Developments - Nvidia's investment of $5 billion in Intel to develop AI infrastructure and personal computing products has significantly boosted Intel's stock price [19] - OpenAI plans to spend approximately $100 billion over the next five years on cloud server rentals, indicating a substantial investment in AI capabilities [20] - Google announced a £5 billion investment in the UK, including a new data center to support its growing AI services [21] - Oracle is negotiating a $20 billion cloud computing agreement with Meta, enhancing its position in the AI market [22]

Market Performance - U.S. equities surged on September 18, 2025, with major indexes reaching new all-time highs, driven by a rally in technology stocks [1] - The S&P 500 Index closed up by approximately 0.6% to 0.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced by roughly 1% to 1.3%, both hitting new records [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.2% to 0.5%, also achieving new record levels [2] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point to a target range of 4.00% to 4.25%, marking the first rate cut in nine months [4] - The Fed's "dot plot" projections indicated the possibility of two more rate cuts by the end of 2025, followed by another reduction in 2026, boosting investor confidence [4] Economic Data - Initial jobless claims fell to 231,000, easing concerns about labor market weakness [5] - Manufacturing growth in the mid-Atlantic region was reported to be stronger than anticipated [5] Corporate News - Intel shares soared by 23% to 29.3% following Nvidia's announcement of a $5 billion investment in the chipmaker [6] - Nvidia's stock gained 2.9% to 3.8%, remaining a key driver of the S&P 500's performance [6] - Lyft, Inc. saw its stock rise over 13% due to a partnership with Alphabet's Waymo for autonomous taxi services [7] - Meta Platforms, Inc. shares advanced by approximately 1% to 1.4% after unveiling AI-powered smart glasses [7] - Novo Nordisk's U.S.-traded stock rose by 5.8% after a study indicated significant weight loss from its Wegovy pill [8] Upcoming Events - Investors are expected to monitor upcoming corporate earnings reports, including those from FedEx Corp and Lennar Corp, which could impact market sentiment [10]

Core Insights - The company showcased a new device that can be controlled using small hand movements at its annual conference [1] Group 1 - The device represents a significant advancement in user interface technology, allowing for more intuitive interactions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Apple, Inc. has filed a lawsuit against former senior design engineer Di Liu for allegedly stealing confidential information before joining competitor Snap Inc. [1][2] Group 1: Legal Allegations - Apple claims that Liu downloaded thousands of sensitive files and stored them in personal cloud accounts during his final days at the company [1][3] - Liu reportedly did not disclose his new employment with Snap, a competitor in the smart glasses market, when he resigned [2] - During a standard two-week transition period, Liu allegedly accessed and copied proprietary files using his company credentials [3] Group 2: Potential Impact on Competitors - Apple suggested that the information Liu took could benefit Snap's augmented reality products, although no legal action was taken against Snap itself [4] - Snap has stated that they found no evidence linking Liu's alleged actions to his work at their company [4] Group 3: Industry Context - Snap announced plans to launch Specs, a pair of lightweight AR glasses, in 2026, which may be influenced by the information Liu allegedly took [4] - Specs are described as an ultra-powerful wearable computer integrated into a lightweight glasses frame, featuring see-through lenses [5] - Meta is also preparing to launch a new version of its smart glasses, priced between $1,000 and $1,400, intensifying competition in the market [5]