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汇丰:ASIC服务器出货量将于 2025 年下半年加速
汇丰· 2025-07-14 00:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Wiwynn Corporation with a target price of TWD3,400, implying approximately 32.8% upside from the current price of TWD2,560 [4][21][22]. Core Insights - The report highlights stronger growth in ASIC servers compared to GPU servers, with expectations for continued momentum into the second half of 2025 [2][7]. - Major PC ODMs experienced a significant pull-in in notebook shipments in June 2025, with a 22% month-over-month increase and an 11% quarter-over-quarter rise, exceeding previous guidance [1][3]. - The overall outlook for notebook shipments in the second half of 2025 remains cautious due to unclear consumer demand, with a forecasted year-over-year growth of only 3% [3][4]. Summary by Sections ASIC Server Outlook - The demand for ASIC servers is expected to strengthen in the second half of 2025, particularly driven by AWS's Trainium 2 servers, with a forecast of sequential double-digit growth in rack shipments [2][4]. - The yield rate for GB200 server rack assembly is anticipated to improve from below 50% in the second quarter of 2025 to 60-70% in the second half of 2025 [2]. Notebook Market Analysis - The early pull-in of notebook shipments is largely completed, with a muted growth outlook for the second half of 2025 due to ongoing consumer demand uncertainty [3][4]. - The report estimates a 1% quarter-over-quarter increase in notebook shipments for the third quarter of 2025, which is below seasonal norms [3]. Stock Recommendations - Wiwynn is favored due to its strong revenue outlook supported by accelerating ASIC server shipments, with Oracle expected to contribute 7% to Wiwynn's revenue in 2025 [4][7]. - The report emphasizes the potential for additional upside from Oracle beyond 2025, driven by market share shifts and an expanding addressable market [4].
英业达(2356):英业达2025年第一季度收益业绩稳健,但预计2025年下半年将下滑
Ubs Securities· 2025-05-14 10:45
Investment Rating - The report assigns a Neutral rating to Inventec with a 12-month price target of NT$45, down from a previous target of NT$50 [7]. Core Insights - Inventec reported Q125 earnings with sales of NT$157.0 billion, reflecting a 21% decrease QoQ but a 20% increase YoY. The sales mix shifted to 49% notebooks and 48% servers, with AI servers constituting 50% of server sales [2][12]. - The company anticipates a 10% QoQ increase in Q225 sales to NT$173.0 billion, driven by strong demand for Blackwell HGX servers, although a stronger NT$ may dampen growth [3]. - Growth expectations for 2025 have been trimmed from 4% YoY to 2% YoY, influenced by flat demand in the second half and tariff impacts [4][19]. Financial Performance - For 2025, the expected EPS is NT$2.57, below the street estimate of NT$2.63, with a price target reduction reflecting a valuation of 16x 2026 EPS [5][27]. - The company's revenue projections show a gradual increase, with expected revenues of NT$663.8 billion in 2025 and NT$726.0 billion in 2026 [6][20]. Market Position and Valuation - Inventec is trading at a premium valuation of 17x/15x 2025-26 P/E, higher than its peers, indicating that the market has largely priced in growth expectations [10][27]. - The company has a solid market share in general servers and AI server motherboards, but may lag behind competitors like HonHai and Quanta in ramping up production [5][10]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The report indicates that Inventec's cash flows have been affected by cyclical earnings in PCs, but a return to positive free cash flow is projected in the coming years [21]. - A cash dividend of NT$1.70 has been declared, yielding approximately 4% at current levels, reflecting a high payout rate [21].
CDW Gears Up to Post Q1 Earnings: Is a Beat in the Offing?
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 13:05
Core Viewpoint - CDW Corporation is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 7, with revenue estimates of $4.89 billion, indicating a 0.4% growth year-over-year, and earnings per share estimated at $1.96, reflecting a 2.08% increase from the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Upcoming Results Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $4.89 billion, suggesting a 0.4% growth from the year-ago quarter's reported figure [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is pegged at $1.96 per share, unchanged in the past 60 days, indicating an increase of 2.08% from the year-ago quarter's reported figure [1]. - CDW's earnings have missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 3.1% [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Increasing momentum in cloud and SaaS is likely to have aided CDW's top line, with security and cloud revenues benefiting from customer spending priorities on cost optimization, data protection, and workforce productivity [3]. - Elevated demand for consumer devices, particularly Notebooks and Chromebooks, along with steady growth in software and services, is expected to drive revenue growth, with Notebooks/Mobile Devices revenues estimated at $1,185.9 million, up 3.9% year-over-year [4]. - Revenues from Corporate, Government, and Healthcare sectors are expected to be $2,120.3 million, $512.4 million, and $552.3 million, reflecting declines of 0.7%, 5.7%, and 5.5%, respectively, while Education and Small Business revenues are estimated to increase by 12% and 0.4% to $668.7 million and $382.4 million [5]. Group 3: Risks and Challenges - The company faces risks from a cautious customer approach due to challenges in managing workloads, strengthening security, and upgrading aging client devices, compounded by uncertain macroeconomic conditions [6]. - Slower public spending in federal and education sectors, along with rising uncertainty in the U.K. and Canada, may negatively impact CDW's performance in the upcoming quarter [7]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The model predicts an earnings beat for CDW, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.02% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), which increases the likelihood of an earnings beat [8].
PC nection(CNXN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales for Q1 2025 were $700 million, reflecting a 10.9% increase compared to Q1 2024 [6] - Gross profit rose by nearly 8% to $127.3 million, with gross margins slightly down to 18.2%, a decrease of 50 basis points year over year [6] - Operating income increased by 7.9% to $14.5 million, with operating income as a percentage of sales remaining flat at 2.1% [7] - Net income for Q1 was $13.5 million, a 2.5% increase from $13.2 million in the prior year [7] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.60, marking a 20% increase [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Notebooks and desktops net sales increased by 21% year over year, driven by device refresh initiatives [8] - Advanced Technologies and Integrated Solutions revenue grew by 7%, supported by software and server storage solutions [8] - Business Solutions segment net sales were $258.4 million, a 1% increase, with gross profit up 8.4% to $65.4 million [9] - Public Sector Solutions net sales reached $144.6 million, a 4.7% increase, while gross profit increased by 30.9% [10] - Enterprise Solutions segment net sales grew by 5.4% to $298 million, with gross profit slightly down by 1% [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Financial Services net sales increased by 32% and gross profit by 31% year over year [17] - Healthcare segment net sales grew by 13% and gross profit by 10% year over year [17] - The backlog at the end of Q1 was at its highest level in nearly two years, indicating strong future demand [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on integrated IT solutions and customer service, aiming to drive internal efficiencies and reduce costs [5][6] - There is a strong emphasis on AI technology and its implementation in customer projects, particularly in the context of productivity and cost savings [19] - The company plans to continue investing in key projects and programs to enhance sales and service delivery [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a mixed customer response to economic conditions, with some accelerating purchases while others delayed due to uncertainty [25] - The company remains optimistic about outperforming the U.S. IT market growth by 200 basis points, driven by trends in device refresh and data center modernization [21] - There is confidence in the ability to navigate economic challenges and capitalize on emerging trends in technology [20] Other Important Information - The company recorded a severance expense of $2.9 million as part of its cost reduction initiatives, expecting annualized savings of approximately $5 million [11] - Cash flow used in operations for Q1 was $52.4 million, primarily due to an increase in inventory [14] - The company repurchased 697,000 shares at an average price of $64.22, totaling $44.8 million [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Customer purchasing patterns in Q1 - Management indicated a mixed response from customers, with some focused on cost containment while others pursued technology investments [25][26] Question: Expected growth for the year - Management projected mid to high single-digit growth for the year, with a solid enterprise funnel but some market unease [33][35] Question: Q2 early read and macroeconomic concerns - Management acknowledged that tariffs are impacting customer decisions, but noted an improvement in purchasing as the quarter progressed [42][40] Question: Acquisition plans in the current market - Management confirmed they are still looking for tuck-in acquisitions to expand capabilities, despite the current economic environment [44]