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TMGM官网:美联储暂停降息预期强化,美元兑瑞郎逼近0.8000?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 06:28
Group 1 - The USD/CHF exchange rate is fluctuating near the monthly high of 0.8000, influenced by factors such as Federal Reserve policy expectations, US inflation data, and economic policy adjustments in Europe and the US [1] - The US dollar index (DXY) has slightly increased to around 99.17, close to the monthly high of 99.26 reached last week, indicating a recent stabilization and recovery of the dollar [3] - Market expectations have shifted regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with a consensus that the interest rate will remain unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range during the January meeting, following three consecutive 25 basis point rate cuts [3] Group 2 - The Swiss franc (CHF) has shown overall stability without significant fluctuations, largely due to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) monetary policy stance, which is focused on domestic inflation levels [4] - The SNB is maintaining an interest rate of 0% due to persistently low inflation in Switzerland, which limits the motivation for any policy adjustments [4] - The low inflation environment constrains the SNB's ability to change its policy, resulting in a lack of clear directional guidance for the Swiss franc, which is exhibiting a stable fluctuation pattern [4]