Red Tesla EV plugged into a Supercharger with Tesla logo, highlighting the company’s EV business pivot. Key Points Tesla’s plan to pause Model S and Model X production is likely a small revenue hit but could meaningfully change the margin mix. The Optimus robots pivot could create a new growth pillar, but it also raises near-term execution, CapEx, and cash-burn risks. Analyst targets remain mixed, and institutional buying may be a key swing factor for the stock’s direction in 2026. Interested in Tesla ...

Core Insights - Tesla's fourth-quarter earnings showed a decline in deliveries for the second consecutive year and a drop in revenue for the first time ever [1][3] - The company reported earnings of 50 cents per share, exceeding analyst estimates, with revenue of $24.9 billion, slightly above expectations [2] - Full-year revenue decreased to $94.8 billion from $97.7 billion, with a significant drop in vehicle deliveries [3] Financial Performance - Q4 vehicle deliveries fell 16% quarter-over-quarter and 8.6% year-over-year, with auto sales down 11% compared to the previous year [2][3] - Tesla shares have declined over 5% this week and nearly 8% over the past four weeks, reflecting investor concerns about the company's performance [3] Capital Expenditure Plans - Tesla announced a $20 billion capital expenditure plan aimed at increasing future profits, which has raised skepticism among analysts at BNP Paribas [4][5] - The company plans to discontinue 40% of its driving products, including the Model S and Model X, to focus on future technologies like robotics and AI [9] - Analysts question the sustainability of Tesla's increased spending, which is more than double its previous capex of $8.5 billion in 2025 [10] Production and Deliveries - In Q4, Tesla delivered 406,585 Model 3 and Y vehicles, with total production of 422,652 for these models [8] - The company is reallocating production space from discontinued models to build Optimus robots as part of its strategic shift [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is experiencing a challenging quarter with declining revenues and auto unit sales, while competition in the EV market is intensifying [2][3] Financial Performance - Tesla reported its first year of declining revenues, down 3%, and auto unit sales decreased by 9%, with profits declining by 4% to 6% [2] - The energy division showed significant growth of 27%, generating $12.8 billion, which is a positive aspect for the company [3] Strategic Changes - Tesla is ending production of the Model S and Model X to focus on the development of Optimus robots, indicating a shift towards being recognized as a technology company [3][10] - The company plans to produce a new generation of vehicles (Gen 3) by the end of 2026, aiming for large-scale sales by 2027 [10] Valuation Concerns - Tesla's stock is trading at a high premium, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of nearly 290, significantly higher than competitors like Nvidia, which has a PE of 45 [9][12] - Concerns have been raised about the disconnect between Tesla's high valuation and its lack of earnings growth, leading to a downgrade of the stock to a sell rating [4][5] Capital Expenditure Guidance - Tesla's capital expenditure (capex) guidance for the year is projected to be well over $20 billion, significantly higher than the previous year's $8.5 billion and above market expectations of around $11 billion [7][8] Competitive Landscape - Increased competition from companies like Volkswagen, Hyundai, and BYD is impacting Tesla's market position, with BYD now holding the number one position in EV sales [2][3] - The competitive threats are mounting from both traditional automakers and new entrants in the robotics and autonomous driving sectors [14][15]

Core Insights - Tesla is discontinuing the Model S and X vehicles, with production set to end in the next quarter, as CEO Elon Musk shifts focus towards manufacturing humanoid Optimus robots [1] - The decision comes amid a decline in sales and deliveries, with Tesla's total revenue decreasing by 3% year-over-year from $25.7 billion to $24.9 billion [1] - Automotive revenues specifically fell by 11% year-over-year, dropping from $19.8 billion to $17.7 billion [1] Production and Delivery Metrics - Production of Model S and X vehicles decreased by 48% year-over-year [1] - Deliveries of these models fell by 51% year-over-year [1] External Factors Impacting Performance - The decline in sales was exacerbated by the termination of $7,500 EV tax credits last fall [1] - Elon Musk's political views and his fluctuating relationship with President Donald Trump may have also influenced consumer sentiment [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is discontinuing the Model S and Model X to focus on humanoid robots, which could generate significant revenue in the future [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - The Model S sedan and Model X crossover SUV will be phased out of production in the next quarter as part of Tesla's strategic shift [1] - Tesla will continue to sell the Model Y SUV and Model 3 sedan, which are currently its best-selling vehicles, along with the upcoming Cybertruck electric pickup [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - An analyst estimates that Tesla could potentially earn $25 billion annually by selling Optimus robots produced on the former Model S and Model X production lines [1]

Elon Musk just made Tesla Inc's (NASDAQ:TSLA) most ambitious pivot yet. From cars to robots, AI chips, and autonomy—Musk is framing humanoid robots as a macroeconomic force, not a sci-fi side bet.On Tesla's fourth quarter earnings call, Musk said Optimus robots could "move the needle on US GDP significantly." He basically signalled that Tesla sees humanoid AI hardware as its next platform-scale product.From EVs To Robots: A Factory-Scale PivotTesla plans to wind down Model S and X production to free up fact ...

U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Thursday, January 29, 2026, as investors continued to digest a flurry of tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decision. The premarket session saw mixed signals, with some tech giants experiencing significant movements, while broader market sentiment remained cautious following the Fed's widely anticipated decision to hold interest rates steady. This dynamic landscape underscores a market increasingly responsive to corporate performance, part ...

Core Viewpoint - U.S. equity futures are showing a mixed to positive outlook as investors react to recent corporate earnings, particularly in the technology sector, while also anticipating important economic data releases [1] Premarket Trading and Futures Movements - U.S. stock futures are generally higher, with Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.4%, S&P 500 futures up 0.3%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures up 0.1% [2] - The S&P 500 finished flat in the previous session, while the Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.2%, indicating a cautious optimism driven by positive earnings reports from tech companies [2] Current Market Indexes and Trends - The S&P 500 briefly surpassed 7,000 before settling lower, while the Nasdaq Composite showed strength, particularly from semiconductor stocks like Texas Instruments, which surged 9.9% [3] - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at 3.5%-3.75% and Chair Powell's comments on inflation are influencing market sentiment [3] Upcoming Market Events - Investors are closely monitoring a busy calendar of economic data and corporate earnings for further market direction [4] Earnings Releases - Key companies reporting earnings include Mastercard, Caterpillar, Thermo Fisher, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin, Sanofi, and Blackstone before market open, with Apple, Visa, and Western Digital reporting after market close [5] Economic Data Announcements - The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the revised Productivity and Costs report for Q3 2025, and the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model will update its GDP growth estimate, which was last at 5.4% for Q4 2025 [6] Policy Decisions - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to hold interest rates steady reflects a cautious approach, with Chair Powell noting improvements in the economic outlook but highlighting inflation concerns [7] Major Stock News and Developments - Microsoft shares fell 6.1% in premarket trading despite beating earnings estimates, raising concerns about capital spending and Azure growth [9] - Meta Platforms saw a 7.0% increase in after-hours trading due to strong advertising revenue [9] - Tesla gained 1.9% as investors focused on its future plans despite softer profits [9] - Sanofi announced a three-year profitability improvement program targeting 10% EBITDA by 2028 [10]

Core Insights - Tesla plans to exceed $20 billion in capital expenditures by 2026, more than double previous guidance, focusing on humanoid robotics, autonomous vehicles, and AI [1][13] - The company is transitioning from Model S and Model X production to a dedicated facility for Optimus robots, aiming for a long-term capacity of 1 million robots per year [3][5] - Optimus is positioned as a general-purpose humanoid robot, with significant implications for macroeconomic growth, although it remains in the R&D phase [5][6] Capital Expenditures and Financials - Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected at $9 billion, with a sharp increase expected in 2026 as investments ramp up in robotics and autonomy [13] - Tesla reported a total gross margin of 20.1%, the highest in over two years, with free cash flow totaling $1.4 billion [12] - Automotive margins improved sequentially to 17.9% from 15.4%, despite lower deliveries, supported by a shift in regional sales [14] Autonomous Driving and Optimus Development - Unsupervised autonomous driving is operational in Austin, Texas, with plans to expand to major U.S. cities by year-end, pending regulatory approval [8][9] - The company aims to allow vehicle owners to add their cars to an autonomous fleet, although financial impacts remain difficult to quantify [10] - Optimus production is expected to follow a "stretched-out" curve due to a new supply chain, with significant production volumes unlikely before the end of the year [4][7] Energy Revenue and Market Challenges - Energy revenue reached $12.8 billion for the year, up 26.6% year over year, but the company warned of potential margin pressures from tariffs and rising competition [14] - Chip supply constraints are identified as a medium-term challenge, particularly for Optimus, with considerations for a U.S. semiconductor fabrication facility [14]

Core Insights - Tesla is discontinuing production of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV, with final versions to be produced next quarter [1] - The company will repurpose the factory space in Fremont, California, to manufacture Optimus robots instead [1] - CEO Elon Musk emphasized the shift towards autonomy as a reason for ending the Model S and X programs, encouraging potential buyers to place orders soon [1] Company Overview - The Model S was launched in 2012 and is credited with making electric vehicles widely appealing [1] - The Model X was Tesla's second major electric vehicle program [1] - Sales of both the Model S and Model X have stagnated in recent years, despite updates to their interiors and exteriors [1]