证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 08 月 19 日 伟星新材（002372.SZ） 经营质量稳固向好，同心圆业务优化焕新 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 6,378 | 6,267 | 5,872 | 6,289 | 6,780 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -8.3 | -1.8 | -6.3 | 7.1 | 7.8 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,432 | 953 | 878 | 963 | 1,079 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 10.4 | -33.5 | -7.8 | 9.7 | 12.1 | | ROE（%） | 25.4 | 18.3 | 16.7 | 18.4 | 20.4 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.68 | | P/E（倍） | 12.1 | 18.3 | 19.8 | 18.1 | 16.1 | | P/B（倍） | 3. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has demonstrated resilience in its waterproof business despite a challenging environment in the domestic real estate and infrastructure sectors, with a focus on long-term development and maintaining operational quality [1][2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts downward due to the lack of significant improvement in terminal demand for plastic pipes, projecting net profits of 890 million, 990 million, and 1.09 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.078 billion, a year-on-year decline of 11.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 271 million, down 20.25% [1] - The company's cash flow remains strong, with a net operating cash flow of 581 million, a year-on-year increase of 99.1%, primarily due to reduced raw material purchases [4] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 40.5%, a decrease of 1.61 percentage points year-on-year, with PVC products showing a gross margin increase of 2.55 percentage points to 23.54% [3] Product Performance Summary - The PPR series products generated revenue of 933 million, down 13.04% year-on-year, while PE series products saw revenue of 411 million, down 13.28% [2] - The waterproof business showed steady growth, with an increase in service users and matching rates, while the water purification business is still undergoing adjustments [2] Cash Flow and Dividend Summary - The company completed a semi-annual dividend of 157 million, maintaining a payout ratio of 58%, consistent with the previous year's mid-term dividend operations [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 13.2 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 11.72 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 was 6.267 billion CNY, a year-over-year decrease of 1.75%, with a net profit of 953 million CNY, down 33.49% year-over-year. The decline in net profit was greater than the revenue decline due to multiple factors including decreased gross margin, increased expense ratio, reduced investment income, and increased impairment [2][3]. - The "Same Circle" business segment maintained growth, with revenue from waterproof and other products increasing by 12.94% year-over-year, while the engineering business experienced a decline, significantly impacting overall revenue [2][4]. - The company proposed a cash dividend of 5.00 CNY per 10 shares, significantly increasing the dividend payout ratio, which reflects a commitment to returning value to shareholders [4][8]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company's sales gross margin was 41.72%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to intensified market competition and the lower margin of acquired companies. The gross margin for Q4 was 40.56%, down 4.32 percentage points year-over-year [3]. - The company’s operating cash flow decreased by 16.49% year-over-year, amounting to 1.147 billion CNY [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 6.581 billion CNY, 7.124 billion CNY, and 7.708 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-over-year growth rates of 5.02%, 8.24%, and 8.20%. The net profit forecasts for the same years are 1.051 billion CNY, 1.196 billion CNY, and 1.344 billion CNY, with respective growth rates of 10.29%, 13.83%, and 12.40% [8][10].