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华泰证券今日早参-20251218
HTSC· 2025-12-18 02:02
Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The marginal recovery in broad fiscal expenditure indicates resilience in the economy, with a year-on-year decline in November's fiscal expenditure narrowing from 19.1% in October to 1.7% [2] - The adjusted broad fiscal expenditure (seasonally adjusted) showed a month-on-month increase from 15% in October to 33% in November, reflecting credit expansion driven by policy financial tools and local government debt issuance [2] Group 2: Fixed Income Market - The report highlights four main pathways through which overseas macro events influence the domestic market, including economic drivers, geopolitical factors, AI industry trends, and global liquidity [4] - Despite a dovish signal from the Federal Reserve, there is a concentration of consensus trades in "long AI technology + long industrial metals + short USD," leading to increased market volatility [4] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) plans to absorb and merge with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities through a share swap, which is expected to increase net capital by 105% and enhance business synergies [5] - Tencent's gaming division is leveraging AI to enhance game development and operational efficiency, with a focus on "Games as a Service" (GaaS) to strengthen competitive advantage [6] - Pony.ai reported a revenue of $25.44 million for Q3 2025, a 72% year-on-year increase, driven by the positive impact of Guangzhou's single-vehicle operational efficiency [7]