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Will Reblozyl Shine in Bristol Myers' Fourth-Quarter Results?
ZACKS· 2026-02-03 17:40
Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) is focusing on its growth portfolio, including drugs like Reblozyl, to drive revenue growth in upcoming quarterly results [1][8] - Reblozyl, co-developed with Merck, has annualized sales exceeding $2 billion and is a significant growth driver for the company [1] Sales Performance - Reblozyl generated sales of $1.66 billion in the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a 35% year-over-year increase [3][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter Reblozyl sales is $636 million, while the model estimate is $641 million [3] Competitive Landscape - Keros Therapeutics is developing elritercept for transfusion-dependent anemia, which may compete with Reblozyl [5] - Reblozyl also faces competition from established erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) like Procrit [6] Financial Outlook - BMY's legacy portfolio is under pressure from generic competition, impacting sales of drugs like Revlimid and Pomalyst [4][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 EPS has decreased to $6.09 from $6.53 over the past 60 days [11] Valuation Metrics - BMY is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 9.23x forward earnings, which is lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 18.42x [10]
Will Reblozyl Enable BMY to Offset the Impact of Generic Competition?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:55
Core Insights - Bristol Myers is focused on expanding the label for its key drugs, with Reblozyl being a significant contributor, generating $478 million in Q1, reflecting a 35% year-over-year increase [1][9] Drug Indications and Performance - Reblozyl is approved in the U.S. for treating anemia in adult patients with beta thalassemia requiring regular RBC transfusions and for ESA-naïve patients with very low- to intermediate-risk myelodysplastic syndromes [2] - It is also indicated for patients with anemia failing an erythropoiesis stimulating agent and requiring multiple RBC units over 8 weeks [3] Clinical Study Results - The phase III study INDEPENDENCE for Reblozyl did not meet its primary endpoint of RBC transfusion independence in myelofibrosis-associated anemia patients [4] - Despite this, patients showed a numerical improvement in RBC transfusion independence, and several secondary measures indicated a clinically meaningful benefit [5] Competitive Landscape - Keros Therapeutics is developing a competing treatment for transfusion-dependent anemia, having recently initiated a phase III study [6] - Reblozyl also competes with established erythropoiesis-stimulating agents like Procrit, which operates through different mechanisms [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Bristol Myers' shares have decreased by 9.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry growth of 0.7% [8] - The company is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 7.78x forward earnings, lower than its historical mean and the large-cap pharma industry's average of 14.91x [11] Earnings Estimates - The bottom-line estimate for 2025 has been revised down to $6.37 from $6.89 over the past 60 days, with a similar decline for 2026 [12] - Recent consensus estimate trends show a downward revision across multiple time frames [13]