Key Takeaways Bristol Myers emerges as the stronger near-term pick over Merck.BMY's new drugs, label expansions and $2B cost-savings plan support 2026 margins.MRK faces Gardasil weakness, Keytruda exclusivity loss and a $2.5B generic headwind.Merck & Co. (MRK) and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) are major global drugmakers with expansive, diversified portfolios.Merck stands out for its leadership in oncology, complemented by strong positions in infectious diseases and vaccines.Bristol Myers, meanwhile, concentra ...

Core Insights - Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.26, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.15, but down from $1.67 in the same quarter last year [1] - Total revenues reached $12.5 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.25 billion, and reflecting a 1% increase from the previous year [1] - The stock price increased following the better-than-expected quarterly results [1] Financial Performance - BMY's shares have increased by 28.5% over the past six months, while the industry has grown by 43.8% [2] - U.S. revenues remained flat year over year at $8.56 billion, while international revenues rose by 5% to $3.94 billion [3] - The Growth Portfolio revenues increased by 16% to $7.39 billion, primarily driven by immuno-oncology drugs like Opdivo [6][7] - The Legacy Portfolio revenues decreased by 15% to $5.11 billion, impacted by generic competition on key drugs, despite an 8% increase in Eliquis sales to $3.45 billion [11] Key Drug Performance - Opdivo sales increased by 9% year over year to $2.69 billion, surpassing estimates [8] - Yervoy contributed $810 million, up 20% year over year, and Reblozyl sales surged 22% to $666 million [9] - Breyanzi sales rose by 49% to $392 million, while Camzyos sales skyrocketed by 59% to $353 million [10] Cost and Margin Analysis - Adjusted gross margin decreased to 71.9% from 74% in the previous year due to a change in product mix [14] - Adjusted research and development expenses declined by 8% to $2.56 billion, and adjusted marketing, selling, and administrative expenses decreased by 1% to $2.09 billion [15] Future Guidance - For 2026, BMY provided revenue guidance of $46-$47.5 billion, supported by the Growth Portfolio's strong performance [17] - The company expects adjusted earnings to be in the range of $6.05-$6.35 for the full year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 EPS at $6.08 [17] Pipeline Updates - In December 2025, the FDA approved Breyanzi for adult patients with relapsed or refractory marginal zone lymphoma [18] - A supplemental biologics license application for Opdivo in combination with other drugs for Hodgkin lymphoma is under priority review, with a decision expected by April 8, 2026 [19]

Core Insights - Bristol Myers Squibb reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenues of $12.50 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $12.281 billion, marking a 1% year-over-year increase [1] - The company highlighted significant progress in 2025, with a strong Growth Portfolio and a robust balance sheet, allowing for continued investment in growth drivers [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings for Bristol Myers Squibb were reported at $1.26, surpassing the consensus of $1.11, although this reflects a 25% decline due to acquired IPRD charges and licensing income [2] - The Growth Portfolio generated revenues of $7.4 billion, a 16% increase (15% at constant currency), primarily driven by the immuno-oncology portfolio, Camzyos, Breyanzi, and Reblozyl [3] - Legacy Portfolio revenues decreased to $5.1 billion, a 15% decline (16% Ex-FX), with increased demand for Eliquis offset by generic impacts and higher U.S. government channel rebates [3] Product Sales - Eliquis sales reached $3.45 billion, an 8% increase [4] - Opdivo sales increased by 9% to $2.69 billion, while Orencia generated $1.01 billion in sales, up 1% [4] - Yervoy sales rose by 20% to $810 million, and Reblozyl saw a 22% increase in quarterly sales to $666 million [4] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Bristol Myers Squibb expects adjusted earnings of $6.05-$6.35 per share, compared to the consensus of $6.02 [5] - The company anticipates 2026 sales of approximately $46 billion-$47.50 billion, exceeding the consensus of $44.16 billion, with a projected revenue decline of 12-16% for the Legacy Portfolio, partially offset by the Growth Portfolio [5] - Global Eliquis revenues are expected to increase by 10%-15% in 2026 [5] - The company projects a gross margin of around 69-70%, influenced by product mix changes [6]

Core Insights - Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) has a market capitalization of $113.7 billion and focuses on innovative medicines across various therapeutic areas including oncology and immunology [1] Financial Performance - BMY is expected to report an adjusted EPS of $1.65 for fiscal Q4 2025, reflecting a 1.2% decrease from $1.67 in the same quarter last year, although it has consistently exceeded Wall Street's estimates in the past four quarters [2] - For fiscal 2025, analysts project an adjusted EPS of $6.53, representing a significant increase of 467.8% from $1.15 in fiscal 2024 [3] - The company reported a stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.63 and a revenue increase of 3% to $12.2 billion, with a notable 18% growth in its Growth Portfolio revenue to $6.9 billion [5] Stock Performance - BMY stock has declined by 1.7% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which gained 17.7%, and the State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF, which rose by 12% during the same period [4] - Following the Q3 2025 results, BMY shares increased by 7.1% on October 30 [5] Analyst Ratings - The consensus rating for BMY stock is "Moderate Buy," with 29 analysts providing coverage, including nine "Strong Buys," one "Moderate Buy," 18 "Holds," and one "Strong Sell" [6] - BMY is currently trading above the average analyst price target of $56.17 [6]

Group 1 - Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY) is experiencing renewed interest from investors, particularly in the context of a macroeconomic rally, as highlighted by Jim Cramer [1] - The stock saw a significant increase of 5.6% following news related to a drug trial for agitated Alzheimer's patients, despite the trial not being a formal approval or a well-executed study [1] - The company is recognized for its development and sale of medicines targeting various conditions, including cancer, heart, immune, and brain disorders, with notable products like Eliquis, Opdivo, Revlimid, and Orencia [2] Group 2 - While Bristol-Myers Squibb is acknowledged for its investment potential, there are suggestions that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and lower downside risk [3]

Core Insights - Bristol Myers Squibb Co. reported Q3 2025 revenues of $12.22 billion, exceeding consensus estimates of $11.81 billion, marking a 3% year-over-year increase [1] Revenue Breakdown - Growth Portfolio revenues reached $6.9 billion, an 18% increase, or 17% when excluding foreign exchange effects, driven by the immuno-oncology portfolio, Reblozyl, Camzyos, and Breyanzi [1] - Legacy Portfolio revenues declined to $5.4 billion, a 12% decrease, or 13% Ex-FX, with Eliquis sales increasing to $3.75 billion, up 25%, but this was offset by the impact of generics on the rest of the Legacy Portfolio [2] Product Performance - Sales of Opdivo increased by 7% to $2.53 billion, while Orencia generated $964 million, up 3%. Yervoy sales rose 15% to $739 million, and Reblozyl saw a 37% increase to $615 million [3] Financial Metrics - Adjusted earnings per share were reported at $1.63, surpassing the consensus of $1.51 [3] - Gross margin on a GAAP basis was 71.9%, and on a non-GAAP basis, it was 72.9%, down from 75.1% and 76.0% respectively from the previous year, indicating a change in product mix [4] Guidance and Market Reaction - The company narrowed its fiscal 2025 earnings guidance to $6.40-$6.60, compared to the consensus of $6.38, and raised its sales guidance to $47.5 billion-$48 billion, above the consensus of $47.33 billion, reflecting strong Growth Portfolio performance [5] - Following the earnings report, Bristol-Myers Squibb shares rose by 4.40% to $44.47 [5]

Core Insights - The third-quarter 2025 reporting cycle for the Medical sector is commencing, with major firms expected to release earnings results in the coming weeks, particularly in pharma/biotech and medical devices [1] - Johnson & Johnson has set a positive tone for the earnings season by exceeding estimates and raising its sales expectations for 2025 [1] - Roche has reported solid growth in the first nine months of 2025, driven by high demand for key drugs, leading to an upward revision of its earnings per share growth expectations for 2025 [2] Earnings Trends - As of October 22, 13.3% of Medical sector companies, representing 26.8% of the sector's market capitalization, have reported earnings, with 87.5% exceeding earnings estimates and the same percentage surpassing revenue expectations [3] - Year-over-year earnings increased by 7.4%, while revenues rose by 9.8%. However, third-quarter earnings for the Medical sector are projected to decrease by 4.3%, with sales expected to rise by 8.1% compared to the previous year [3] Company Performance Expectations - Eli Lilly is expected to report strong results driven by demand for GLP-1 drugs and other oncology and immunology products, with a consensus estimate of $16.01 billion in sales and $6.02 per share in earnings [7][8] - Merck is anticipated to see growth from its cancer drug Keytruda, with estimates of $17.06 billion in sales and $2.36 per share in earnings [12] - AbbVie is projected to benefit from sales of Rinvoq, Skyrizi, and newer drugs, with estimates of $15.59 billion in sales and $1.80 per share in earnings [13][14] - Bristol Myers is expected to report revenues influenced by growth portfolio sales, with estimates of $11.83 billion in sales and $1.51 per share in earnings [15][16] - Gilead Sciences is likely to see revenue support from its HIV therapies, with estimates of $7.46 billion in sales and $2.15 per share in earnings, although impacted by changes in Medicare Part D [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with sales and earnings estimates at $11.38 billion and $1.18 per share, respectively. However, earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen a decline over the past month [1][5]. Financial Estimates - The current earnings estimate for Q2 2025 is $1.18, down from $1.55 30 days ago, reflecting a decrease of 29.34%. The earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have also decreased to $6.37 and $6.03, respectively [2][5]. - BMY has a strong earnings surprise history, beating estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 20.16% [2]. Factors Influencing Q2 Results - Total quarterly revenues are expected to be negatively impacted by declining sales from the legacy portfolio, which includes drugs like Eliquis, Revlimid, and Pomalyst, primarily due to generic competition [4][5]. - Sales for Pomalyst are estimated at $727 million, while Eliquis is projected to generate $3.5 billion in sales [6][7]. Growth Portfolio Performance - The growth portfolio, which includes drugs like Opdivo, Reblozyl, and Camzyos, is expected to partially offset the decline in legacy drug sales. Opdivo sales are estimated at $2.4 billion, while Reblozyl is projected at $546 million [8][10][11]. - New drug Cobenfy for schizophrenia has shown promising sales growth, indicating a positive start for the newly launched product [12][18]. Strategic Initiatives - BMY has announced cost-cutting plans aiming to save $1.5 billion by 2025 and an additional $2 billion annually by 2027, which are expected to improve profitability [5][14]. - The company has entered a strategic collaboration with BioNTech for the co-development of a bispecific antibody, BNT327, which targets solid tumors [19][22]. Stock Performance and Valuation - BMY shares have declined by 14.4% year-to-date, underperforming the industry and the S&P 500 [16]. - The stock currently trades at a price/earnings ratio of 7.84x forward earnings, lower than its historical mean and the large-cap pharma industry average [20].

Core Insights - Bristol Myers is focused on expanding the label for its key drugs, with Reblozyl being a significant contributor, generating $478 million in Q1, reflecting a 35% year-over-year increase [1][9] Drug Indications and Performance - Reblozyl is approved in the U.S. for treating anemia in adult patients with beta thalassemia requiring regular RBC transfusions and for ESA-naïve patients with very low- to intermediate-risk myelodysplastic syndromes [2] - It is also indicated for patients with anemia failing an erythropoiesis stimulating agent and requiring multiple RBC units over 8 weeks [3] Clinical Study Results - The phase III study INDEPENDENCE for Reblozyl did not meet its primary endpoint of RBC transfusion independence in myelofibrosis-associated anemia patients [4] - Despite this, patients showed a numerical improvement in RBC transfusion independence, and several secondary measures indicated a clinically meaningful benefit [5] Competitive Landscape - Keros Therapeutics is developing a competing treatment for transfusion-dependent anemia, having recently initiated a phase III study [6] - Reblozyl also competes with established erythropoiesis-stimulating agents like Procrit, which operates through different mechanisms [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Bristol Myers' shares have decreased by 9.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry growth of 0.7% [8] - The company is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 7.78x forward earnings, lower than its historical mean and the large-cap pharma industry's average of 14.91x [11] Earnings Estimates - The bottom-line estimate for 2025 has been revised down to $6.37 from $6.89 over the past 60 days, with a similar decline for 2026 [12] - Recent consensus estimate trends show a downward revision across multiple time frames [13]

Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb is preparing to announce its Q2 2025 earnings, with expectations of adjusted earnings of $1.585 per share and sales of $11.31 billion, despite slight downward revisions in revenue and earnings estimates for 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a low-single-digit percentage increase in total revenue for the later 2020s, primarily due to updated assumptions for its cancer drug Yervoy [2][4]. - Bank of America Securities has revised the company's earnings model, showing a decline of more than 1% in total revenue and EPS for Q2, with similar trends for 2025 [3][4]. Product Performance and Market Dynamics - Key products such as Pomalyst, Revlimid, Camzyos, and Orencia are expected to face significant headwinds due to U.S. drug pricing reforms [5]. - The earnings call will focus on the commercial performance of products like Cobenfy, Camzyos, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi, which are crucial for immediate revenue streams [7][8]. Industry Challenges - The evolving landscape of U.S. drug pricing policies, including the 'most favored nation' rule and potential pharma-specific tariffs, poses systemic pressures on the pharmaceutical industry, affecting Bristol-Myers Squibb [6]. - The company is expected to face several challenging years ahead, with anticipated earnings declines driven by generic competition [10]. Valuation Insights - Bristol-Myers Squibb is considered one of the cheaper companies in large-cap biopharma, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 7 to 8 times expected 2025 earnings, comparable to peers like Pfizer, GSK, Biogen, and Merck [9].