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Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell BMY Stock Ahead of Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 14:31
Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with sales and earnings estimates at $11.38 billion and $1.18 per share, respectively. However, earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen a decline over the past month [1][5]. Financial Estimates - The current earnings estimate for Q2 2025 is $1.18, down from $1.55 30 days ago, reflecting a decrease of 29.34%. The earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have also decreased to $6.37 and $6.03, respectively [2][5]. - BMY has a strong earnings surprise history, beating estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 20.16% [2]. Factors Influencing Q2 Results - Total quarterly revenues are expected to be negatively impacted by declining sales from the legacy portfolio, which includes drugs like Eliquis, Revlimid, and Pomalyst, primarily due to generic competition [4][5]. - Sales for Pomalyst are estimated at $727 million, while Eliquis is projected to generate $3.5 billion in sales [6][7]. Growth Portfolio Performance - The growth portfolio, which includes drugs like Opdivo, Reblozyl, and Camzyos, is expected to partially offset the decline in legacy drug sales. Opdivo sales are estimated at $2.4 billion, while Reblozyl is projected at $546 million [8][10][11]. - New drug Cobenfy for schizophrenia has shown promising sales growth, indicating a positive start for the newly launched product [12][18]. Strategic Initiatives - BMY has announced cost-cutting plans aiming to save $1.5 billion by 2025 and an additional $2 billion annually by 2027, which are expected to improve profitability [5][14]. - The company has entered a strategic collaboration with BioNTech for the co-development of a bispecific antibody, BNT327, which targets solid tumors [19][22]. Stock Performance and Valuation - BMY shares have declined by 14.4% year-to-date, underperforming the industry and the S&P 500 [16]. - The stock currently trades at a price/earnings ratio of 7.84x forward earnings, lower than its historical mean and the large-cap pharma industry average [20].
Will Reblozyl Enable BMY to Offset the Impact of Generic Competition?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:55
Core Insights - Bristol Myers is focused on expanding the label for its key drugs, with Reblozyl being a significant contributor, generating $478 million in Q1, reflecting a 35% year-over-year increase [1][9] Drug Indications and Performance - Reblozyl is approved in the U.S. for treating anemia in adult patients with beta thalassemia requiring regular RBC transfusions and for ESA-naïve patients with very low- to intermediate-risk myelodysplastic syndromes [2] - It is also indicated for patients with anemia failing an erythropoiesis stimulating agent and requiring multiple RBC units over 8 weeks [3] Clinical Study Results - The phase III study INDEPENDENCE for Reblozyl did not meet its primary endpoint of RBC transfusion independence in myelofibrosis-associated anemia patients [4] - Despite this, patients showed a numerical improvement in RBC transfusion independence, and several secondary measures indicated a clinically meaningful benefit [5] Competitive Landscape - Keros Therapeutics is developing a competing treatment for transfusion-dependent anemia, having recently initiated a phase III study [6] - Reblozyl also competes with established erythropoiesis-stimulating agents like Procrit, which operates through different mechanisms [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Bristol Myers' shares have decreased by 9.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry growth of 0.7% [8] - The company is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 7.78x forward earnings, lower than its historical mean and the large-cap pharma industry's average of 14.91x [11] Earnings Estimates - The bottom-line estimate for 2025 has been revised down to $6.37 from $6.89 over the past 60 days, with a similar decline for 2026 [12] - Recent consensus estimate trends show a downward revision across multiple time frames [13]
Is Bristol-Myers Squibb Still An Undervalued Biopharma Play?
Benzinga· 2025-07-14 17:52
Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb is preparing to announce its Q2 2025 earnings, with expectations of adjusted earnings of $1.585 per share and sales of $11.31 billion, despite slight downward revisions in revenue and earnings estimates for 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a low-single-digit percentage increase in total revenue for the later 2020s, primarily due to updated assumptions for its cancer drug Yervoy [2][4]. - Bank of America Securities has revised the company's earnings model, showing a decline of more than 1% in total revenue and EPS for Q2, with similar trends for 2025 [3][4]. Product Performance and Market Dynamics - Key products such as Pomalyst, Revlimid, Camzyos, and Orencia are expected to face significant headwinds due to U.S. drug pricing reforms [5]. - The earnings call will focus on the commercial performance of products like Cobenfy, Camzyos, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi, which are crucial for immediate revenue streams [7][8]. Industry Challenges - The evolving landscape of U.S. drug pricing policies, including the 'most favored nation' rule and potential pharma-specific tariffs, poses systemic pressures on the pharmaceutical industry, affecting Bristol-Myers Squibb [6]. - The company is expected to face several challenging years ahead, with anticipated earnings declines driven by generic competition [10]. Valuation Insights - Bristol-Myers Squibb is considered one of the cheaper companies in large-cap biopharma, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 7 to 8 times expected 2025 earnings, comparable to peers like Pfizer, GSK, Biogen, and Merck [9].
Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) is a Top-Ranked Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 14:56
Company Overview - Bristol-Myers Squibb is a leading global specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on developing treatments for severe diseases [12] - The company has a diverse portfolio that includes blockbuster immuno-oncology drug Opdivo and essential immunology and cardiovascular drugs like Orencia and Eliquis [12] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, 11 analysts have revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days, increasing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $0.10 to $6.85 per share [13] - Bristol-Myers Squibb boasts an average earnings surprise of 20.2% [13] Investment Ratings - The company currently holds a 3 (Hold) rating on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A [13] - Bristol-Myers Squibb has a Momentum Style Score of B, and its shares have increased by 4.2% over the past four weeks [13] - With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, Bristol-Myers Squibb is recommended for investors' short list [14]
AnaptysBio's Arthritis Drug Matches Top Therapies In Phase 2 Trial, Analyst Sees Turning Point
Benzinga· 2025-06-04 18:23
Core Insights - AnaptysBio, Inc. has released updated data from the Phase 2b trial of rosnilimab, demonstrating significant efficacy in treating rheumatoid arthritis [1][2] - The drug showed durable responses and was well tolerated compared to standard biologics and JAK inhibitors [2][4] - Analyst Emily Bodnar upgraded AnaptysBio's rating from Neutral to Buy, raising the price target from $22 to $38 based on positive trial data [4] Efficacy and Safety - In a 424-patient trial, rosnilimab achieved JAK-like efficacy on multiple measures, including low disease activity (LDA) and remission on the Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) [1] - At Week 12, all three doses of rosnilimab (100mg Q4W, 400mg Q4W, 600mg Q2W) showed statistically significant reductions in DAS-28 CRP and ACR20 compared to placebo [2] - By Week 12, 45% of patients achieved CDAI LDA, increasing to 69% by Week 14 across all doses [2] Patient Outcomes - Rosnilimab demonstrated clinically meaningful improvements in patient-reported outcomes, including pain visual analog scale (VAS) and HAQ-Disability Index [4] - As of the March 11, 2025 data cutoff, 83% of patients remained in LDA at Week 34, with a median CDAI of 13 for those not sustaining LDA [3] Competitive Landscape - Data from the SELECT-CHOICE trial indicated similar efficacy results for AbbVie’s Rinvoq and Bristol Myers Squibb’s Orencia, aligning with rosnilimab's outcomes [5] - In contrast, Eli Lilly's discontinued PD-1 agonist peresolimab showed a decline in CDAI LDA rates, highlighting rosnilimab's stronger performance [6] - Johnson & Johnson is expected to present early data for its PD-1 agonist at the upcoming EULAR conference, although its study is smaller than AnaptysBio's [6]
Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) is a Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-26 14:41
Core Viewpoint - Zacks Premium offers various tools and resources to help investors make informed decisions and maximize their stock market investments [1][2]. Zacks Style Scores - Zacks Style Scores are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on value, growth, and momentum methodologies, aiding investors in selecting stocks likely to outperform the market in the short term [2][3]. - Stocks are rated from A to F, with A indicating the highest potential for outperformance [3]. Value Score - The Value Score identifies attractive and discounted stocks using ratios such as P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3]. Growth Score - The Growth Score focuses on a company's financial health and future outlook, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4]. Momentum Score - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on price trends, utilizing factors like one-week price changes and monthly earnings estimate changes [5]. VGM Score - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for investors who utilize multiple investing strategies [6]. Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model based on earnings estimate revisions, which has shown strong performance, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks averaging a +25.41% annual return since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [7][8]. - There are over 800 stocks rated 1 or 2, making it essential for investors to use Style Scores to identify the best opportunities [9]. Stock to Watch: Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) - Bristol Myers Squibb is a leading biopharmaceutical company focused on severe disease treatments, with a strong portfolio including the immuno-oncology drug Opdivo and other essential drugs [11]. - BMY holds a 3 (Hold) Zacks Rank and a VGM Score of A, with a Value Style Score of A due to a forward P/E ratio of 6.8, making it attractive for value investors [12]. - Recent analyst revisions have increased the earnings estimate for fiscal 2025 by $0.14 to $6.89 per share, with an average earnings surprise of 20.2% [12].