Summary of Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) 3Q25 Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) - **Market Cap**: $32.3 billion - **Enterprise Value**: $27.2 billion - **Current Price**: $20.75 - **12-Month Price Target**: $25.20 (Upside: 21.4%) [1][2] Key Financial Highlights - **3Q25 Results**: TME reported a small beat on revenue and profit, but shares declined by approximately 8-9% during trading [2] - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2025E Revenue: Rmb 32,697.5 million (up from Rmb 32,309.7 million) [4] - 2026E Revenue: Rmb 36,937.3 million (up from Rmb 36,367.8 million) [4] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2025E Net Profit: Rmb 9,645.0 million (up from Rmb 9,645.0 million) [4] - 2026E Net Profit: Rmb 10,747.4 million (down from Rmb 11,000 million) [4] Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Concerns**: - Increased competition among music streaming platforms (e.g., Soda Music) may impact TME's subscriber growth and pricing strategy [2] - Volatility in the live performance business could weigh on group margin expansion in 2026 [2] - **Growth Narrative**: Despite concerns, TME's growth narrative remains intact due to its unique content and value-added services for over 500 million monthly active users (MAUs) [2] - **Revenue Diversification**: TME is expected to achieve solid Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) growth through SVIP penetration and additional service offerings, alongside expansion into live entertainment and fan economy businesses [2] Future Projections - **2026E Expectations**: - Group revenue growth of 16%+ [3] - Online music revenue growth of 17% year-over-year [17] - Gross Profit (GP) of Rmb 16.2 billion with a Gross Profit Margin (GPM) of 43.9% [17] - Non-GAAP Net Profit (NP) of Rmb 10.7 billion with a Net Profit Margin (NPM) of 29.1% [17] Risks and Challenges - **Key Risks**: - Potential derailment from the beat-and-raise cycle [18] - Higher-than-expected content pricing from label companies [18] - Inability to maintain market dominance amid increasing competition [18] - Slower-than-expected growth in non-subscription online music services [18] - Decline in social entertainment business [18] Additional Insights - **ARPU Forecast**: Expected to reach Rmb 19.4 for SVIP and Rmb 10.7 for basic members by 2025E [28] - **Subscriber Growth**: Anticipated growth in quarterly net additions of music subscribers, albeit at a slower pace [30] - **SVIP Membership**: Expected to reach 25.9 million by 2027E, with penetration increasing from 13% to 19% of total paying members [32] Conclusion - TME is positioned to leverage its unique offerings and user base to drive future growth, despite facing competitive pressures and market volatility. The company maintains a "Buy" rating with a revised price target reflecting its growth potential and market leadership in the music streaming industry [3][4]

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 12, 2025 06:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsRoss Zhu - CEOLincoln Harris - Asset ManagementShirley Hu - CFOYang Liu - Executive DirectorCussion Pang - Executive ChairmanCussion Kar Shun Pang - Executive ChairmanMillicent T. - Head of Investor RelationsConference Call ParticipantsChris Thomas - Investment Banking AnalystMaggie Ye - Research AnalystAlicia Yap - Managing Director and Senior Equity AnalystMillicent T.Good evening and good ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, total revenues grew 21% year-on-year to CNY 8.5 billion, marking the highest revenue growth since Q1 2021 [17] - Online music revenues increased by 27% year-on-year to CNY 7 billion [18] - Music subscription revenues surged 70% year-on-year to CNY 4.5 billion, driven by growth in monthly ARPPU and subscriber base [18] - Monthly ARPPU reached CNY 11.9, up from CNY 10.8 in the same period last year [18] - Net profit increased by 29% to CNY 2.2 billion, with non-IFRS net profit rising by 28% to CNY 2.5 billion [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Offline performances and artist-related merchandise sales experienced triple-digit year-on-year revenue growth [19] - Advertising revenue continued to grow, driven by a diversified product portfolio and innovative ad formats [19] - Social entertainment services and other revenues were CNY 1.5 billion, down by 3% year-on-year [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company successfully hosted multiple concerts both domestically and internationally, including a concert tour for G-Dragon that drew over 150,000 attendees [5][6] - The annual flagship TMEA Concerts featured 35 artists and attracted more than 10,000 attendees [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its dual-engine strategy of platform and content to enhance user experience and drive growth [10][33] - Continued focus on expanding the music service and unlocking new growth opportunities through artist partnerships and innovative offerings [3][8] - The company is committed to enhancing its music ecosystem and exploring new opportunities in offline performances and artist-related merchandise [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in delivering strong results for Q4 2025 and 2026, with expectations of sustained healthy growth in music subscription and non-subscription businesses [25][27] - The competitive landscape remains challenging, but the company believes its extensive music library and user experience will maintain its leadership position [29][30] Other Important Information - The company has won the Music Garden Space Public Welfare Program for seven consecutive years, supporting music education in rural areas [9] - The company is exploring new product combinations and service formats to enhance the fan-based economy [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for Q4 2025 and 2026? - Management is optimistic about strong performance in both online music services and overall revenue growth for 2025, with a focus on subscription and non-subscription business growth [25][27] Question: How does management view the competitive landscape in the music streaming business? - Management acknowledges competition from peers but believes in their competitive edge through content differentiation and user experience [28][29] Question: What are the growth drivers for subscription services in 2026? - Growth will be driven by high-quality content, content privileges, and functional enhancements, with a focus on maintaining steady growth in subscriber base and ARPPU [39][41]

Tencent Music Entertainment Group Investor Presentation (NYSE: TME & HKEX: 1698) November 2025 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Tencent Music Entertainment Group (the "Company") solely for informational purposes and has not been independently verified. No representations, warranties or undertakings, express or implied, are made by the Company or any of its affiliates, advisers or representatives as to, and no reliance should be placed upon, the accuracy, fairness, completeness or correctnes ...

Core Insights - Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, driven by growth in online music services and innovative content offerings [3][7][12]. Financial Highlights - Total revenues reached RMB 8.46 billion (US$1.19 billion), a 20.6% year-over-year increase [7][12]. - Revenues from online music services were RMB 6.97 billion (US$979 million), reflecting a 27.2% year-over-year growth [7][12]. - Music subscription revenues grew to RMB 4.50 billion (US$632 million), marking a 17.2% year-over-year increase [7][12]. - Net profit attributable to equity holders was RMB 2.15 billion (US$302 million), a 36.0% year-over-year growth [7][19]. - Monthly ARPPU increased to RMB 11.9 from RMB 10.8 in the same period of 2024, representing a 10.2% growth [4][7]. Operational Highlights - Monthly Active Users (MAUs) for online music decreased to 551 million, down 4.3% year-over-year [4]. - Paying users for online music increased to 125.7 million, a 5.6% year-over-year growth [4]. - The company expanded its music offerings across various genres and languages, enhancing its content ecosystem [5][8]. Strategic Initiatives - TME enhanced partnerships with renowned labels and artists, including contracts with Korean label DREAMUS and collaborations with Blizzard Entertainment [8]. - The company successfully organized large-scale concert tours, including G-DRAGON's concerts, which attracted over 150,000 attendees [8][9]. - TME launched the TMElive International Music Awards (TIMA), showcasing 22 artists and enhancing its industry influence [8][9]. User Engagement and Innovation - The company introduced differentiated membership offerings, improving user service and loyalty [10][11]. - Enhanced streaming experiences and artist-related benefits contributed to increased SVIP penetration and ARPPU [11][16]. - TME's innovative features, such as AI-generated lyrics and immersive sound technologies, have improved user engagement [16].

Group 1: Music Stocks Overview - Seven music stocks to watch include Tencent Music Entertainment Group, NetEase, Warner Music Group, Dolby Laboratories, Madison Square Garden Entertainment, Zeta Network Group, and LiveOne, identified by MarketBeat's stock screener tool [2] - Music stocks represent publicly traded companies primarily engaged in the music industry, including record labels, streaming platforms, and live-event companies, providing exposure to revenue streams like streaming subscriptions, licensing, royalties, and live ticket sales [2] Group 2: Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) - Tencent Music Entertainment Group operates online music entertainment platforms in China, offering services such as music streaming, online karaoke, and live streaming [3] - The company provides QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music, and WeSing, enabling personalized music discovery and sharing of karaoke performances [3] Group 3: NetEase (NTES) - NetEase, Inc. is involved in online games, music streaming, online intelligent learning services, and internet content services, operating through various segments including Games and Related Value-Added Services, Youdao, Cloud Music, and others [4] Group 4: Warner Music Group (WMG) - Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company with segments in Recorded Music and Music Publishing, focusing on artist discovery, marketing, promotion, and licensing of music [4] Group 5: Dolby Laboratories (DLB) - Dolby Laboratories, Inc. develops audio and imaging technologies for various entertainment platforms, including cinema and mobile devices, and licenses technologies like AAC, AVC, and Dolby Atmos [5] Group 6: Other Companies - Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) is mentioned but lacks specific details in the provided content [6] - Zeta Network Group (ZNB) offers online entertainment performances and music education services, operating an online platform that includes various curricula [7] - LiveOne, Inc. focuses on live music acquisition, distribution, and monetization, operating platforms like LiveXLive and PodcastOne [7]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **China online entertainment industry**, focusing on mobile gaming, online video, and online music sectors. Mobile Gaming Insights - **Overall Market Performance**: Q3 2025 saw a **4% YoY decline** in mobile game grossing due to a high base in 2024, but a **2% QoQ increase**. This is softer than typical Q3 vs Q2 seasonality, attributed to fewer new launches in summer compared to previous years [2][10]. - **Key Players**: - **Tencent**: Achieved a **9% QoQ growth** in grossing, driven by strong performance from **Delta Force** (estimated **Rmb1.5 billion** in September). Other stable titles include **Honor of Kings**, **Peacekeeper Elite**, and **DNF Mobile** [2][9]. - **NetEase**: Reported a **5% QoQ growth** in mobile grossing, with notable contributions from **Eggy Party** and **Where Winds Meet**, although this was partially offset by declines in **Sword of Justice** and **Identity V**. It is noted that only about **40%** of NetEase's reported mobile revenue is tracked, indicating potential revenue from non-app store channels [2][6]. - **Bilibili**: Launched **Escape From Duckrov**, achieving a peak of **222,000 concurrent players**, ranking it as the **5 most played game globally on Steam** [2][6]. Online Video Sector - **Kuaishou** launched **Kling 2.5 Turbo**, which is now the **1** in text-to-video and image-to-video generation, maintaining a cost advantage over competitors like Google's Veo 3 [3][4]. - **iQiyi**: Experienced a **10% MoM/YoY decline** in MAUs but is expected to see low-single-digit QoQ growth in membership revenue for Q3, aided by summer traffic improvements [3][4]. - **Tencent Video** and **Youku** have seen some recent successes with new content releases, while **Mango TV** maintained flat MAUs YoY [3][4]. Online Music Trends - The online music industry saw a **2% YoY increase** in MAUs, but time spent remained stable. **TME** (Tencent Music Entertainment) reported a **7% decline** in combined MAUs, with QQ Music and Kugou Music showing significant drops [6][7]. - **NetEase Cloud Music** showed a slight recovery with a **2% YoY increase** in MAUs, while **Soda Music** outperformed with a **91% YoY increase** in MAUs, likely benefiting from ByteDance's traffic [6][7]. Future Content Pipeline - Upcoming major content releases include titles from **Tencent Video**, **iQiyi**, **Youku**, and **Mango TV**, with several anticipated to launch in late October and throughout November and December [7][8]. Investment Outlook - The report remains positive on the online entertainment sector, citing: 1. Healthy consumer spending on leisure activities. 2. Supply-side improvements due to a more favorable regulatory environment and innovations in business models [4][5]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of AI in content production and the potential for new business models to drive growth in the online entertainment sector [4][5]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the online entertainment industry in China.

Group 1 - Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME) has seen its stock price decline from over $26 to around $23, prompting discussions about its investment potential [1] - The company offers a variety of services including music streaming, karaoke, long-form audio, and live streaming through platforms such as QQ Music, Kugou, Kuwo, and WeSing [1] - Revenue streams for Tencent Music include subscriptions, advertising, digital albums, merchandise, concerts, and artist management [1] Group 2 - Jim Cramer expressed concerns about the political risks associated with investing in Tencent Music, despite acknowledging its potential as an investment [1] - Cramer suggested that if trade talks yield a workable agreement, Tencent Music could be a favorable Chinese stock to consider [1] - The article indicates that certain AI stocks may present greater upside potential and lower downside risk compared to Tencent Music [1]

Core Insights - The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of President Trump's major import tariffs, leading to market uncertainty and potential volatility [1][8] - Investors are advised to consider low-beta stocks to mitigate risks in the current market environment [1][8] Stock Analysis - **Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG)**: A prominent player in the petroleum shipping industry with a competitive edge due to a modern fleet averaging less than 10 years old. The company has a strong balance sheet with liquidity exceeding $1.3 billion [6][8] - **Kanzhun (BZ)**: Operates BOSS Zhipin, a leading job-hunting app in China, with a robust cash position exceeding RMB 16 billion and generating over RMB 1 billion in cash every three months [7][8] - **Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)**: A major music app operator in China, benefiting from increased user engagement through new app features [9][8] Investment Strategy - The screening criteria for low-beta stocks include a beta between 0 and 0.6, positive price movement over the last month, average 20-day trading volume greater than 50,000, and a minimum stock price of $5. Stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) are also highlighted as likely to outperform the market [4][5]

Industry Overview - The entertainment consumption landscape has shifted from scheduled cable television to digital streaming platforms over the last two decades, with significant milestones including the launch of YouTube in 2005 and Netflix's on-demand model in 2007 [2] - The global streaming market is projected to generate $190 billion annually by 2029, supported by 2 billion subscriptions, with subscription models dominating while free ad-supported TV and hybrid offerings gain traction [4] Company Insights: Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) - TME has evolved from a digital distributor to China's leading online music and audio entertainment platform, reaching over 553 million monthly active users and 124 million paying subscribers, reflecting a 22.5% paying ratio [6][7] - The average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) has climbed to RMB 11.7, with management focusing on SVIP expansion, bundled content offerings, and closer artist partnerships as growth drivers [8] - TME's global expansion strategy includes high-profile concerts and collaborations with international labels, enhancing its cultural reach beyond China [9] - With RMB 34.9 billion in cash reserves, TME is well-positioned to invest in AI-powered music tools and immersive sound technologies [10] Company Insights: Disney - Disney launched Disney+ in 2019, rapidly building a subscriber base of 128 million as of Q3 2025, with a combined subscriber base of 183 million across Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu [11][12] - The integration of Hulu into Disney+ is expected to create operating synergies and enhance user experiences, while management anticipates over 10 million new subscriptions in Q4 2025 due to expanded distribution agreements [13][14] - Sports streaming is a key growth area, with ESPN's direct-to-consumer service launching in August 2025, backed by exclusive rights to WWE events and a deal with the NFL [15][16] Company Insights: Roku - Roku is the leading TV streaming platform provider in North America, evolving from a streaming device manufacturer to a comprehensive streaming ecosystem [17] - The Roku Channel has become a significant driver of engagement, with streaming hours reaching 35.4 billion in Q2 2025, up 17.6% year over year [19] - Roku's platform fundamentals are strong, supported by high user engagement and strategic partnerships, with the Roku Home Screen reaching over 125 million households daily [20]