The sale hints at profit-taking in a stock that’s executing operationally but facing tougher questions about durability and valuation.Aristotle Capital Boston disclosed in a November 14 SEC filing that it sold 503,122 shares of Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN +0.25%), contributing to a reduction in its position by about $10.9 million.What HappenedAccording to a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing dated November 14, Aristotle Capital Boston reduced its holdings in Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN +0 ...

Summary of Supernus Pharmaceuticals Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Supernus Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGM:SUPN) - **Industry**: Pharmaceuticals, specifically focusing on Central Nervous System (CNS) disorders - **CEO**: Jack Khattar, who founded the company in 2005 as a spin-out from Shire, achieving an enterprise value of up to $3 billion [2][3] Key Points Discussed Acquisition and Integration of Sage - **Acquisition Details**: Supernus completed the acquisition of Sage, aiming for $200 million in annualized synergies [3][5] - **Synergy Realization**: Integration is progressing well, with SG&A costs related to Sage reduced to approximately $14-$15 million per month, down from previous independent operations [4][5] - **R&D Evaluation**: The company is assessing Sage's R&D programs to determine which to continue or eliminate, with significant progress reported [5][6] Product Performance and Market Dynamics - **Lead Asset - Zurzuvae**: - Demand-driven growth observed, with a sequential growth rate of 19%-20% over the last four quarters [9] - Approximately 500,000 women experience postpartum depression (PPD) symptoms annually, with only 45%-50% diagnosed and 60%-70% treated, indicating significant market potential [10][17] - Education efforts are crucial for increasing diagnosis and treatment rates among both patients and physicians [15][16] - **Sales Force Expansion**: - The sales force primarily targets OB-GYNs, with about 80% of Zurzuvae prescriptions coming from this specialty [12][13] - The company adopts a stepwise approach to sales force expansion, focusing on measuring returns before further investment [12] Qelbree Performance - **Revenue Growth**: - Qelbree has shown robust growth, with a 19% increase in pediatric prescriptions and a 32% increase in adult prescriptions [19][20] - The market for ADHD treatments continues to grow, with Qelbree capturing a stable mix of treatment-naïve patients (30%-35%) and switch patients [25] - **Market Dynamics**: - The adult segment is increasingly recognized, with societal shifts leading to more discussions about mental health and ADHD [21][22] - The company is benefiting from the genericization of Vyvanse, although stimulant shortages have not significantly impacted Qelbree's market share [23][24] Supply Chain and Product Availability - **Apokyn Supply Issues**: - Current supply challenges due to reliance on a third-party manufacturer, with efforts to explore alternative suppliers to ensure patient access [33][34] - The company is working with the FDA to expedite the approval process for new manufacturing facilities [39][41] - **Gocovri Performance**: - Gocovri continues to grow, driven by its unique indication for dyskinesia and off-episodes, with increasing physician adoption [54][55] - Medicare redesign has improved patient affordability, contributing to retention rates [56][57] Pipeline Developments - **SPN-820**: - Mixed results in treatment-resistant depression (TRD) but confidence in a new dosing regimen for major depressive disorder (MDD) [58][60] - **SPN-817**: - Expected cholinergic side effects managed through mandatory antiemetic use in ongoing studies, with a focus on improving patient retention during the titration phase [63][64] Additional Insights - **Market Education**: There is a significant need for education regarding postpartum depression and ADHD, which presents an opportunity for Supernus to increase market penetration [15][16][17] - **Patient-Centric Approach**: The company emphasizes transparency and patient care, particularly during supply challenges, to maintain physician and patient trust [45][46] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the Supernus Pharmaceuticals conference call, highlighting the company's strategic initiatives, product performance, and market opportunities.

Summary of Supernus Pharmaceuticals FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Supernus Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGM:SUPN) - **Event**: 37th Annual Piper Sandler Healthcare Conference - **Date**: December 02, 2025 Key Points Industry and Product Focus - **Product in Focus**: APO-go, a treatment for movement disorders, particularly for patients with advanced Parkinson's disease [1][2] - **Market Demand**: There is significant demand for APO-go, with physicians expressing strong support for the product despite current supply constraints [3][4] Supply Chain Challenges - **Current Situation**: The existing manufacturer is facing capacity issues, unable to meet the overwhelming demand for APO-go [5][6] - **Resolution Efforts**: Supernus is exploring multiple avenues to resolve supply constraints, including discussions with the FDA and potential partnerships with alternative suppliers [2][3][10] - **Timeline for Solutions**: Onboarding a new manufacturer could take several months to a year, depending on regulatory approvals and readiness [7][8][9] Patient Demand and Enrollment - **Patient Enrollment Forms (PEFs)**: Despite supply issues, physicians continue to submit PEFs, indicating ongoing interest in APO-go [14][15] - **Patient Demographics**: Initial demand is primarily from patients with advanced Parkinson's disease who have limited treatment options [19][20] Financial Projections - **Sales Estimates**: Initial peak sales estimates for APO-go are projected between $200 million and $300 million, which may need to be revisited once supply issues are resolved [20][21] - **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term potential for APO-go remains strong, as it offers a unique treatment option not available in the current market [21][22] Competitive Landscape - **Market Competition**: APO-go faces competition from other products like Vyalev and Apokyn, but it serves a different purpose as a rescue medication [25][26] - **Product Differentiation**: APO-go is positioned as a unique treatment option, distinct from traditional therapies like Levodopa [21][22] New Product Developments - **Zurzuvae**: Another product in the portfolio targeting postpartum depression, with significant market potential as it addresses a large unmet need [32][33] - **Sales Strategy**: The sales force is primarily targeting OB-GYNs, with potential for expansion based on market response [34][36] M&A and Future Strategy - **M&A Focus**: Supernus is prioritizing commercial-stage assets and is open to acquiring later-stage development programs [47][48] - **Partnership with Biogen**: There is potential for discussions regarding the buyout of Biogen's 50% stake in Zurzuvae, although both companies are currently committed to the brand [46] Financial Synergies - **Cost Synergies**: Supernus anticipates realizing up to $200 million in annualized synergies from the acquisition of Sage Therapeutics [42] Research and Development - **Early-stage Assets**: Supernus is evaluating early-stage assets from Sage and its own pipeline to determine which programs to advance [43][44] Conclusion Supernus Pharmaceuticals is navigating significant supply chain challenges with its APO-go product while maintaining strong demand and interest from healthcare providers. The company is also expanding its product portfolio with Zurzuvae and exploring strategic M&A opportunities to enhance its market position.

Summary of Supernus Pharmaceuticals Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Supernus Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGM:SUPN) - **Focus**: CNS-focused biopharma with a diversified portfolio of products - **Revenue Guidance**: $685 million - $705 million for the current year [3][4] Key Products and Growth Drivers 1. **Qelbree**: - A non-stimulant ADHD treatment launched four and a half years ago - Current annualized prescriptions: approximately 1 million, representing about 1% market share - Expected peak sales: $320 million with a growth rate of over 20% [6][7] 2. **GOCOVRI**: - Unique product for Parkinson's, approved for dyskinesia and off episodes [3] 3. **ONAPGO**: - Apomorphine infusion device for Parkinson's launched this year - Initial peak sales estimate: $200 million - $300 million, but demand has exceeded expectations [9][10] 4. **ZURZUVAE**: - Oral treatment for postpartum depression acquired from Sage Therapeutics - Sales guidance not yet provided, but milestones based on sales levels are expected to be achievable [10][11] Business Development and Financial Strategy - **Cash Position**: Approximately $300 million post-acquisition of Sage Therapeutics - **Future Acquisitions**: Business development remains a priority, with potential transaction sizes estimated between $1 billion - $1.5 billion [12][13] - **Leverage Strategy**: Comfortable with a leverage ratio of 2 to 2.5 times EBITDA [13] Supply Chain and Production Challenges - **ONAPGO Supply Issues**: - Current production challenges due to competing priorities on the production line - Decision made to pause new patient initiation to prioritize existing patients [19][20] - Efforts are ongoing to increase production capacity and explore alternative suppliers [24][30] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - **Differentiation of ONAPGO**: - Apomorphine acts like dopamine without the need for metabolic conversion, unlike levodopa - Strong clinical need for alternatives to levodopa in Parkinson's treatment [32][34] - **ZURZUVAE Market Potential**: - Consistent growth of 19%-20% quarter over quarter - Focus on educating OB-GYNs for better diagnosis and treatment of postpartum depression [37][38] Pipeline and Future Developments - **Upcoming Data**: - Phase 2B data for epilepsy compound SPN-817 expected in 2027 - New stimulant for ADHD (SPN-443) to enter SAD-MAD study in 2026 [43][45] - **Potential New Assets**: - Evaluation of Sage's pipeline for future development opportunities [42] Conclusion - Supernus Pharmaceuticals is positioned for growth with a strong focus on CNS products, ongoing development efforts, and a commitment to addressing supply chain challenges. The company is optimistic about its product pipeline and market opportunities in the coming years.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $192.1 million, up from $175.7 million in the same quarter last year, representing a 25% increase [10] - Net product sales were $168.5 million, with collaboration revenues from Zurzuvae at $20.2 million and other revenues at $3.4 million [10] - GAAP net loss was $45.1 million for Q3 2025, compared to a net income of $38.5 million in the same quarter last year [12] - Adjusted operating earnings on a non-GAAP basis were $41.9 million, down from $67.7 million in the same quarter of the prior year [12] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, total revenues were $507.4 million, compared to $487.7 million in the same period last year [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Onapco generated net sales of $6.8 million in Q3 2025, a significant increase from $1.6 million in Q2 2025 [4] - Zurzuvae collaboration revenue was $20.2 million, reflecting a 150% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [5] - Qelbree experienced a 23% growth in prescriptions and a 31% increase in net sales compared to the same period last year [6] - Gocovri's net sales grew by 15% in Q3 2025 compared to the same period last year [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total ADHD market grew by 12% in prescriptions in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, with adult segment prescriptions growing by 16% [6] - Pediatric prescriptions for Qelbree grew by 19% in Q3 2025 compared to the same period last year [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on integrating Sage and expects potential synergies of up to $200 million annually by mid-2026 [6] - Corporate development remains a priority, with a focus on additional strategic opportunities to strengthen growth in CNS [8] - The company aims to position itself as a long-term growth entity while generating strong cash flows through an expanded product portfolio [75] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted strong operating results driven by growth products and expressed commitment to resolving supply constraints for Onapco [4][5] - The integration of Sage is on track for completion by year-end, with expectations for continued revenue growth [6][15] - Management updated full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $685-$705 million, reflecting strong performance in the first nine months [15] Other Important Information - The company had approximately $281 million in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2025, down from $454 million at the end of 2024 [14] - The balance sheet remains strong with no debt, providing financial flexibility for potential M&A opportunities [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Onapco's strong start and potential patient demand - Management indicated that Onapco exceeded expectations in demand, but supply constraints limited the ability to meet all patient needs [18][19] Question: Expectations for Q4 performance - Management stated that the situation is fluid, making it difficult to predict Q4 performance relative to Q3 [23][24] Question: Rate limiting steps for Onapco supply - Management identified capacity issues related to cartridge filling as the main constraint and is working to resolve it [29][33] Question: Pricing expectations for Onapco - Management expects the annual cost for a patient to be around $105,000, with gross to net deductions to be clarified in future quarters [47][48] Question: Expansion into women's health - Management expressed interest in exploring acquisitions in women's health and other synergistic areas following the Sage acquisition [49][50]

Core Insights - Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported strong operating results for Q3 2025, driven by growth from its key products Qelbree, GOCOVRI, and collaboration revenue from ZURZUVAE, alongside a promising launch of ONAPGO [2][5]. Financial Performance - Combined revenues from the four growth products increased by 52% to $149.2 million in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, contributing to total revenues of $192.1 million, a 9% increase year-over-year [5][9]. - The company completed the acquisition of Sage Therapeutics on July 31, 2025, which is expected to enhance its product portfolio [5]. - Cash, cash equivalents, and current marketable securities stood at approximately $281.2 million as of September 30, 2025 [5][15]. Product Highlights - ONAPGO generated net product sales of $6.8 million in its first full quarter post-launch, with over 1,300 enrollment forms submitted by prescribers [6]. - Collaboration revenue from ZURZUVAE was $20.2 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 150% increase in U.S. sales compared to Q3 2024 [6][5]. - Qelbree's net sales rose by 31% to $81.4 million, while GOCOVRI's net sales increased by 15% to $40.8 million in Q3 2025 [6][5]. Product Pipeline - SPN-817, a novel AChE inhibitor for epilepsy, is currently in a Phase 2b study with an enrollment target of approximately 258 adult patients [4]. - SPN-820, aimed at treating major depressive disorder, is expected to initiate a Phase 2b trial by the end of 2025 [7]. - SPN-443, a novel stimulant for ADHD, is set to begin a Phase 1 study in 2026 [7]. Financial Guidance - The company updated its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $685 - $705 million, reflecting strong performance in the first nine months [12]. - Adjusted operating earnings guidance for 2025 has been raised to $125 - $145 million [12].

Core Insights - The biotech sector is experiencing significant momentum, with many clinical-stage and commercial biopharma stocks reaching new 52-week highs due to breakthrough trial data, strategic deals, and earnings surprises [1] Company Summaries - **Metsera Inc. (MTSR)**: A clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing hormone analog peptides for obesity and related metabolic diseases. Recently, Novo Nordisk made a $9 billion unsolicited acquisition proposal, which Metsera's board considers superior to its existing agreement with Pfizer [2][3]. Metsera announced positive Phase 2b results for its GLP-1 receptor agonist MET-097i, showing up to 14.1% weight loss after 28 weeks, supporting Phase 3 initiation in late 2025 [4]. The stock rose from $32.35 to a 52-week high of $66.10, a gain of 104.3% [5]. - **Indivior Plc (INDV)**: Develops buprenorphine-based therapies for opioid dependence. The company reported Q3 net income of $42 million, up from $22 million a year ago, with adjusted earnings of $93 million, exceeding Wall Street's expectations [6][7]. The stock increased from $20.86 to a 52-week high of $30.55, reflecting a 46.5% gain [7]. - **Insmed Inc. (INSM)**: Focused on therapies for serious and rare diseases, Insmed reported a Q3 net loss of $370 million but saw net product revenue rise to $142.3 million from $93.4 million last year [8][9]. The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance for ARIKAYCE to $420 million - $430 million, indicating 15% - 18% growth year-over-year [10]. The stock surged from $76.54 to a 52-week high of $194.70, marking a 154.4% gain [10]. - **Ventyx Biosciences Inc. (VTYX)**: A clinical-stage biotech company developing therapies for autoimmune and neurodegenerative diseases. Ventyx reported positive Phase 2 results for its NLRP3 inhibitor VTX3232, showing strong safety and tolerability [11][13]. The stock rose from $3.01 to a 52-week high of $8.52, a gain of over 183% [14]. - **Inhibrx Biosciences Inc. (INBX)**: Focuses on oncology and rare diseases, announcing positive topline results from its ChonDRAgon study for ozekibart in chondrosarcoma [15]. The stock increased from $18.35 to a 52-week high of $83.78, representing a gain of 356.6% [16]. - **ABIVAX Société Anonyme (ABVX)**: Developing therapies for chronic inflammatory diseases, ABIVAX presented positive Phase 3 data for obefazimod in ulcerative colitis [17]. The stock rose from $7.83 to an all-time high of $106.73, marking a significant gain of 1263% [18]. - **Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR)**: Developing RNAi-based therapies, Arrowhead finalized a licensing agreement with Novartis for ARO-SNCA, with financial terms including a $200 million upfront payment [19][20][21]. The stock increased from $29.70 to a 52-week high of $43.33, representing a gain of over 45% [21]. - **Kodiak Sciences Inc. (KOD)**: Focused on retinal diseases, Kodiak announced positive Phase 1b data for KSI-101, showing significant vision improvements [22][23][24]. The stock climbed from $8.98 to a 52-week high of $21.17, delivering a 135.7% gain [22]. - **Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. (ARQT)**: Focused on dermatological treatments, Arcutis reported Q3 net income of $7.4 million, a turnaround from a net loss last year, with revenue up 122% year-over-year [25][26]. The stock rose from $14.99 to a 52-week high of $27.08, representing a gain of over 80% [27]. - **Maze Therapeutics Inc. (MAZE)**: Developing precision therapies for various diseases, Maze announced positive Phase 1 results for MZE782 and secured $150 million in a private placement [28][29]. The stock rose from $11.21 to a new 52-week high of $34.29, returning a gain of 206% [29]. - **Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SUPN)**: Focused on CNS disorders, Supernus is expected to report Q3 earnings of $0.82 per share and revenue of $180.22 million [30][31]. The stock increased from $38.21 to a 52-week high of $57.65, representing a gain of over 50% [31].

Summary of Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) Conference Call Company Overview - Supernus Pharmaceuticals is a CNS-focused biopharmaceutical company with a portfolio of about eight to nine products on the market [2][3] - The company is profitable and has a clean balance sheet, recently completing the acquisition of Sage Therapeutics [2][3] - Supernus has transitioned from the loss of exclusivity on two legacy products and is now in a re-accelerated growth phase driven by key products like Qelbree, Gocovri, Onapgo, and ZURZUVAE [3] Key Products and Market Insights Qelbree (ADHD Treatment) - Qelbree is a novel non-stimulant ADHD medication that works as early as week one, addressing a significant market need for effective non-stimulant options [7][8] - The ADHD market consists of approximately 100 million prescriptions annually, with Supernus currently holding less than 2% market share, indicating substantial growth potential [8][19] - The adult segment represents 67% of the ADHD market, and Supernus has seen growth in this segment, with 35% of their business coming from adults [18][19] - Qelbree has shown a growth rate of 20% plus, with recent data indicating a 25-26% growth during the back-to-school season [18][19] Onapgo (Parkinson's Treatment) - Onapgo is a new continuous infusion device for apomorphine, launched in April, aimed at treating off episodes in Parkinson's patients [23][24] - The device has received positive initial responses, and its market potential is still being evaluated, with estimates ranging from $200 to $300 million [29][30] - The product is designed for advanced patients but may also be used for earlier-stage patients, which could expand its market opportunity [29][30] ZURZUVAE (Postpartum Depression) - ZURZUVAE is the first oral medication approved for postpartum depression (PPD), a condition affecting 1 in 7 women [31] - There is a significant lack of awareness and education regarding PPD, with only about 40% of women diagnosed over the years [31][32] - Supernus is actively working on educating healthcare providers and patients about PPD, emphasizing the importance of screening and diagnosis [32][38] Industry Dynamics and Challenges - The ADHD treatment landscape has historically relied on stimulants, which do not work for 15-30% of patients, creating a demand for effective non-stimulant alternatives [9][10] - In the Parkinson's space, approximately 90-95% of patients experience off episodes after five years of diagnosis, highlighting the need for effective treatments [22][25] - The company is addressing the stigma around ADHD and PPD through influencer partnerships and educational initiatives [21][38] Conclusion - Supernus Pharmaceuticals is positioned for significant growth with its innovative product offerings in ADHD, Parkinson's, and postpartum depression - The company is focused on expanding its market share and improving patient outcomes through education and effective treatment options, indicating a strong potential for future success in the biopharmaceutical industry [3][19][31]

Core Insights - Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported $165.45 million in revenue for Q2 2025, a year-over-year decline of 1.7% but exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $154.14 million by 7.34% [1] - The company achieved an EPS of $0.91, significantly higher than the $0.36 from the previous year, resulting in an EPS surprise of 93.62% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.47 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Trokendi XR generated $11.2 million in net product sales, surpassing the average estimate of $9.74 million, but reflecting a year-over-year decline of 34.5% [4] - Oxtellar XR reported $11.6 million in net product sales, exceeding the estimated $8.43 million, with a significant year-over-year decrease of 60.7% [4] - Qelbree achieved $77.6 million in net product sales, outperforming the $71.25 million estimate, marking a year-over-year increase of 30.6% [4] - Total net product sales amounted to $158 million, above the average estimate of $148.32 million, but showing a year-over-year decline of 2.8% [4] - Royalty revenues reached $7.46 million, exceeding the estimated $5.33 million, with a year-over-year increase of 28.6% [4] - GOCOVRI net product sales were $36.7 million, surpassing the $33.51 million estimate, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.8% [4] - Other net product sales totaled $6.5 million, below the estimated $8.21 million, with a year-over-year decline of 13.3% [4] - APOKYN generated $12.8 million in net product sales, below the average estimate of $15.6 million, with a year-over-year decrease of 26% [4] Stock Performance - Supernus shares have returned +17.8% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported strong operating performance in Q2 2025, driven by significant sales growth of Qelbree and GOCOVRI, which together accounted for 72% of total net sales [2][5] - The company completed the acquisition of Sage Therapeutics on July 31, 2025, enhancing its portfolio in neuropsychiatric conditions with the innovative product ZURZUVAE and a novel CNS discovery platform [3][5] - Supernus is focused on the launch of ONAPGO and the integration of Sage Therapeutics while continuing to drive growth from existing products [2][3] Financial Performance - Qelbree net sales increased by 31% year-over-year to $77.6 million in Q2 2025, with total sales for the first half of 2025 reaching $142.3 million [5][11] - GOCOVRI net sales rose by 16% year-over-year to $36.7 million in Q2 2025, totaling $67.4 million for the first half of 2025 [5][11] - Total revenues for Q2 2025 were $165.5 million, a slight decrease from $168.3 million in Q2 2024, while total revenues for the first half of 2025 were $315.3 million, up from $312.0 million in the same period last year [11][12] Product Pipeline and Developments - The company is conducting a Phase 2b study for SPN-817, a novel AChE inhibitor for epilepsy, with a targeted enrollment of approximately 258 patients [7] - SPN-820, a novel molecule for depression, is set to enter a Phase 2b trial by the end of 2025, targeting around 200 adults with major depressive disorder [8] - SPN-443, a novel stimulant for ADHD/CNS, has completed a Phase 1 pharmacokinetic study, with plans to disclose a lead indication by the end of 2025 [9] Guidance and Future Outlook - Supernus updated its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $670 - $700 million, reflecting strong first-half performance and the impact of the Sage acquisition [13][20] - The company anticipates combined R&D and SG&A expenses to be between $505 - $530 million for the year [13] - Adjusted operating earnings guidance for 2025 is projected to be between $105 - $135 million, consistent with previous expectations [13][37]