Core Insights - AbbVie has developed a strong neuroscience franchise, initially driven by blockbuster drugs like Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar, and has expanded its portfolio with new migraine treatments Qulipta and Ubrelvy, as well as Vyalev for Parkinson's disease [1][2]. Financial Performance - The neuroscience segment contributed over 17% to AbbVie's total sales in the first half of 2025, with revenues growing nearly 21% year over year, primarily due to increased sales of Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar, along with rising uptake of Ubrelvy and Qulipta [2][9]. - The strong performance in the neuroscience segment has helped mitigate the decline in Duodopa sales [2][9]. Product Launches and Acquisitions - AbbVie launched Vyalev in the U.S. earlier this year, and while initial sales have been modest, expectations are for its contribution to total revenues to grow over time [3]. - The company is actively investing in new therapies, including a recent agreement to acquire Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals' lead pipeline drug for approximately $1.2 billion, which targets major depressive disorder (MDD). This follows a $1.4 billion acquisition of Aliada Therapeutics, which added an investigational antibody for Alzheimer's disease (AD) [4][5]. Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the neuroscience space include Biogen and Johnson & Johnson. Biogen is diversifying its offerings due to declining revenues in its multiple sclerosis franchise and has partnered with Eisai to market an FDA-approved treatment for Alzheimer's disease [6]. - Johnson & Johnson has a strong neuroscience portfolio, including the antidepressant nasal spray Spravato and the antipsychotic Invega Sustenna, and recently acquired Intra-Cellular Therapies to enhance its offerings [7]. Valuation and Market Performance - AbbVie shares have outperformed the industry year to date, trading at a premium with a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.59, compared to the industry average of 14.84 and above its five-year mean of 12.82 [8][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen slight increases in the past 30 days [12].

Key Takeaways AbbVie will pay up to $1.2B to acquire rights to bretisilocin from Gilgamesh.Bretisilocin showed rapid and durable antidepressant effects in phase II studyAbbVie continues neuroscience deal spree to strengthen its early-stage pipeline.AbbVie (ABBV) has announced a deal with private neuroscience biotech, Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals, to acquire the latter’s lead pipeline candidate, bretisilocin (GM-2505), a novel therapy being developed for treating major depressive disorder(MDD).Gilgamesh is curr ...

Core Insights - AbbVie's stock has increased by 11.5% in the past month due to strong second-quarter performance, beating earnings and sales estimates with earnings of $2.97 per share, a 12.1% year-over-year increase [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenues reached $15.42 billion, reflecting a 6.6% year-over-year increase, driven by strong sales of key drugs such as Rinvoq and Skyrizi, alongside contributions from newer drugs like Ubrelvy and Elahere [2][3] - AbbVie raised its revenue and EPS guidance for 2025, expecting adjusted EPS between $11.88-$12.08 and total revenues around $60.5 billion, up from previous estimates [3] Product Performance - AbbVie has successfully launched new immunology drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are expected to replace declining sales from Humira, generating combined sales of $11.6 billion in the first half of 2025 [5][7] - Skyrizi and Rinvoq are projected to achieve combined sales exceeding $25 billion in 2025 and over $31 billion by 2027, with Skyrizi annualizing at nearly $18 billion and Rinvoq at over $8 billion [8][9] Oncology and Neuroscience Growth - The oncology segment generated $3.3 billion in the first half of 2025, a 4.2% year-over-year increase, supported by new drug launches and the addition of antibody-drug conjugates [11][13] - Sales in the neuroscience portfolio increased by 20.3% to nearly $5 billion, driven by products like Botox Therapeutic and newer migraine treatments [14] Acquisition Strategy - AbbVie has engaged in over 30 M&A transactions since early 2024, focusing on immunology, oncology, and neuroscience to enhance its early-stage pipeline [15][16] - Recent acquisitions include Capstan Therapeutics, adding a potential first-in-class CAR-T therapy to its immunology pipeline [16] Challenges and Market Dynamics - Humira's sales have declined over 50% in the first half of 2025 due to biosimilar erosion, with expectations of continued decline as more plans adopt exclusionary formularies [17] - Sales of Juvederm fillers have also decreased by 22.2% in the first half of 2025, impacted by macroeconomic challenges and weakened consumer sentiment [18] Stock Performance and Valuation - AbbVie's stock has gained 19.3% year-to-date, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [19] - The stock trades at a price/earnings ratio of 15.31, higher than the industry average of 14.46, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to some peers [22] Future Outlook - AbbVie anticipates returning to mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025, driven by the performance of Skyrizi and Rinvoq, with no significant loss of exclusivity events expected for the remainder of the decade [28][29]

Core Viewpoint - AbbVie has significantly outperformed the broader market since its split from Abbott Laboratories in 2013, driven by strong sales from its immunology drug Humira and subsequent products Skyrizi and Rinvoq [1][2][4]. Performance Analysis - AbbVie's shares have increased by 353.3% over the past decade, translating to an annual growth rate of 16.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 [4]. - A $1,000 investment in AbbVie 10 years ago would be worth $4,530.75, compared to $3,690.99 for the S&P 500 [4]. Key Products - Humira was the cornerstone of AbbVie's success, achieving peak sales of $22.1 billion before losing patent protection in the U.S. in 2023 [7]. - AbbVie is transitioning to Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are expected to generate combined sales of $31 billion by 2027, surpassing Humira's peak sales [9]. Future Outlook - The company has a robust pipeline and has expanded its product offerings through acquisitions, including the $63 billion acquisition of Allergan in 2020 [10]. - AbbVie is actively developing new products, such as GUB014295 for weight management, to ensure continued growth [11]. Dividend Performance - AbbVie has increased its dividend payouts by 221.6% over the past decade and has a forward yield of 3.2%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's average of 1.3% [12]. - The company is recognized as a Dividend King, with 53 consecutive years of payout increases [12]. Investment Potential - AbbVie is positioned to continue delivering strong returns, particularly for investors who reinvest dividends [13].

Financial Performance - AbbVie Inc. reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $2.97, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.89 and the company's guidance of $2.84-$2.88, with earnings rising 12.1% year over year [1] - Revenues for the quarter reached $15.42 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $15.07 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 6.6% on a reported basis and 6.5% on an operational basis [2] Key Drug Performance - Sales of Rinvoq totaled $2.03 billion, up 41.2%, driven by market share gains and recent label expansion [4] - Skyrizi generated $4.42 billion in sales, reflecting a 61.8% increase, attributed to strong volume growth and market share gains [5] - Humira experienced a significant sales decline of 58.2% to $1.18 billion, with U.S. sales down 66% to $802 million due to loss of exclusivity [6][7] - Neuroscience portfolio sales increased 24% to $2.68 billion, driven by higher sales of Botox Therapeutic, Vraylar, Ubrelvy, and Qulipta [8] Oncology and Other Drug Sales - Oncology franchise sales rose 2.4% to $1.68 billion, supported by newer drugs like Epkinly and Elahere, despite a decline in Imbruvica sales [10][11] - Venclexta generated revenues of $691 million, reflecting 8.3% growth, while Elahere sales rose 23.7% to $159 million, although it missed expectations [13] Cost and Guidance - Adjusted SG&A expenses decreased 2.3% year over year to $3.24 billion, while adjusted R&D expenses increased 10.3% to $2.12 billion [16] - AbbVie raised its full-year 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $11.88-$12.08, up from the previous range of $11.67-$11.87 [17] Market Reaction and Strategic Moves - AbbVie shares rose over 5% in pre-market trading following the upward revision in guidance, with a year-to-date stock gain of about 7% compared to the industry's 4% decline [20] - The company continues to invest in its future pipeline through strategic collaborations, including a licensing deal for an investigational trispecific antibody and interest in acquiring Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals [22]

Core Viewpoint - AbbVie is expected to report second-quarter 2025 earnings on July 31, with sales estimated at $15.07 billion and earnings per share (EPS) at $2.89, although earnings estimates have declined recently [1][4][5] Financial Performance - AbbVie has consistently exceeded earnings expectations in the past four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 2.93% [2][3] - The company anticipates adjusted earnings between $2.84 and $2.88 per share for Q2 2025, with net revenues around $15.0 billion [5] Product Performance - Growth is expected to be driven by newer immunology drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, with sales estimates of $4.12 billion and $1.98 billion respectively [6] - Humira, which lost patent protection in January 2023, is projected to generate $1.41 billion in sales, reflecting ongoing sales erosion [7] - Sales for Imbruvica are expected to decline due to competition, with estimates at $704 million [8] - Venclexta sales are likely to rise, estimated at $668 million, driven by strong demand [9] - Neuroscience product sales are projected at $2.47 billion, supported by strong growth in drugs like Botox and Vraylar [10][11] Market Position and Valuation - AbbVie shares have outperformed the industry this year, trading at a price/earnings ratio of 14.44, slightly below the industry average of 15.34 [13][16] - Despite challenges from Humira biosimilars, AbbVie expects robust revenue growth in 2025, with a projected high single-digit revenue CAGR through 2029 [18] Strategic Outlook - AbbVie is investing in its future pipeline through collaborations, including a recent licensing deal for an investigational antibody targeting oncology and autoimmune diseases [20] - The company’s diverse portfolio, including drugs like Venclexta, Vraylar, and others, is expected to offset losses from declining sales in certain areas [19]

Industry Overview - The second-quarter 2025 reporting cycle for the Medical sector is commencing, with most firms expected to release earnings results in the next two weeks, primarily consisting of pharma/biotech and medical device companies [1] - The earnings season for the drug and biotech sector began in mid-July, highlighted by Johnson & Johnson's strong performance, which exceeded earnings and sales estimates, leading to raised revenue and earnings expectations for the year [1] Company Performance - Novartis surpassed second-quarter earnings and revenue estimates, driven by a year-over-year increase in sales of key drugs, prompting an upward revision of its annual guidance for core operating income [2] - Roche experienced solid growth in the first half of 2025, with high demand for key drugs offsetting declines in legacy drug sales [2] - As of July 23, 15% of companies in the Medical sector, representing 27.2% of the sector's market capitalization, reported quarterly earnings, with 88.9% outperforming earnings estimates and 100% beating revenue estimates [3] - Overall, second-quarter earnings for the Medical sector are projected to increase by 0.9%, while sales are expected to rise by 7.9% compared to the previous year [3] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Merck, AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers, AbbVie, and Moderna are scheduled to release their quarterly results this week [4] - Merck has a strong earnings track record, beating estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 3.82% [5] - AstraZeneca has a mixed earnings history, beating estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 4.24% [8] - Bristol Myers has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 20.16% over the last four quarters [11] - AbbVie has also maintained a strong track record, beating estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 2.55% [13] - Moderna has an excellent earnings history, with an average surprise of 31.60% in the last four quarters [15] Sales Drivers - Merck's growth in the second quarter is likely attributed to increased sales of its cancer drug Keytruda, driven by additional indications and patient demand [7] - AstraZeneca's sales are expected to be bolstered by strong demand for its cancer and diabetes medications [10] - Bristol Myers' revenue may be impacted by declines in legacy drug sales, but growth products are expected to partially offset this decline [12] - AbbVie's revenue is anticipated to be driven by strong sales of key drugs and contributions from newer products [14] - Moderna's revenues are expected to be influenced by sales of its COVID-19 vaccine, Spikevax, while the focus is shifting to updates on its broader pipeline [16]

Core Insights - AbbVie holds a leadership position in the neuroscience space, with significant products including Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar, contributing to over 17% of the company's first-quarter revenues, which grew 16% year over year [1][10]. Neuroscience Franchise Performance - The neuroscience franchise is estimated to generate $2.5 billion in sales for Q2 2025, reflecting a 15% year-over-year growth, driven by higher sales of Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar, along with market share gains for Ubrelvy and Qulipta [2][10]. - Newly launched Vyalev is expected to contribute modest sales in the U.S., with the majority of its revenue coming from international markets [3][10]. Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the neuroscience space include Biogen and Johnson & Johnson [5]. - Biogen generates over half of its revenue from neuroscience therapies and markets FDA-approved treatments for Alzheimer's disease and postpartum depression [6]. - Johnson & Johnson's neuroscience portfolio includes leading products like Spravato and Invega Sustenna, with recent acquisitions enhancing its offerings [8]. Valuation and Market Performance - AbbVie shares have outperformed the industry year to date, trading at a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.06, slightly below the industry average of 14.60 [9][12]. - EPS estimates for 2025 have decreased from $12.32 to $11.98, while estimates for 2026 have increased from $14.06 to $14.08 over the past month [13].

Core Viewpoint - The current economic environment presents a favorable opportunity for investors to consider solid dividend stocks, which tend to be more resilient than non-dividend-paying companies amid market volatility and potential recession [1]. Group 1: Dividend Stocks Overview - Four recommended dividend-paying stocks during the current market sell-off are AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Zoetis [2]. Group 2: AbbVie - AbbVie is recognized for its strong position in immunology, despite facing challenges such as a patent cliff and clinical setbacks [3]. - The company has increased its 2027 revenue guidance for key products Skyrizi and Rinvoq by $4 billion to over $31 billion, indicating strong growth potential [4]. - AbbVie has a robust pipeline and a history of increasing dividends for 53 consecutive years, with a forward yield of 3.9%, significantly above the S&P 500 average of 1.3% [5]. Group 3: Amgen - Amgen's shares faced a decline due to underperformance of its weight loss candidate, MariTide, but the company has a strong portfolio with over 10 blockbuster drugs [6]. - Key growth drivers include asthma medicine Tezspire and FDA-approved Tepezza for thyroid eye disease, supporting a strong revenue outlook [7]. - Since initiating dividends in 2011, Amgen has increased payouts by 750%, with a forward yield exceeding 3.5% [8]. Group 4: Bristol Myers Squibb - Bristol Myers is facing significant patent cliffs, particularly for its best-sellers Opdivo and Eliquis, but has managed to secure new approvals to mitigate revenue loss [9]. - Newer medicines like Reblozyl and Opdualag are expected to drive future sales growth [10]. - The company has increased its dividend by nearly 68% over the past decade, offering a yield of 5.1% [11]. Group 5: Zoetis - Zoetis, a leader in animal health, started the year with disappointing guidance but has a strong portfolio with 15 products generating over $100 million in annual sales [12]. - The company is expected to overcome current challenges with its key product Apoquel and has new approvals in the pipeline to drive growth [13]. - Zoetis has increased its dividends by about 500% over the past decade, although its yield is 1.4% [14].

Core Viewpoint - AbbVie Inc. reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted EPS and revenues exceeding estimates, driven by robust sales of key immunology drugs and newer products, despite a significant decline in Humira sales [1][2][18]. Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 was $2.46, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.39 and the company's guidance of $2.34-$2.38, reflecting a 6.5% year-over-year increase [1]. - Revenues reached $13.34 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.91 billion and the company's forecast of $12.8 billion, with an 8.4% year-over-year increase on a reported basis and 9.8% on an operational basis [2]. Drug Performance - Immunology drugs drove revenue growth, with Rinvoq generating $1.72 billion (up 59.7%) and Skyrizi at $3.43 billion (up 72%), both exceeding estimates and company guidance [4][5]. - Humira sales declined 49.5% to $1.12 billion, with U.S. sales down 58% to $744 million, missing estimates due to loss of exclusivity [6][7]. - Neuroscience portfolio sales increased 17% to $2.28 billion, driven by Botox Therapeutic and migraine drugs, surpassing estimates [8]. - Oncology/hematology sales rose 7.5% to $1.63 billion, supported by Elahere and Venclexta, exceeding estimates [10]. Cost and Guidance - Adjusted SG&A expenses rose 8.2% to $3.28 billion, while adjusted R&D expenses increased 13.3% to $2.05 billion [16]. - AbbVie raised its full-year EPS guidance to $12.09-$12.29, up from $11.99-$12.19, reflecting stronger-than-expected sales from newer drugs [17]. Market Reaction - AbbVie shares rose over 5% in pre-market trading following the positive earnings report and guidance update, with a year-to-date gain of about 2% compared to the industry's 1% decline [19].