6月30日，国内期市油脂油料板块大面积飘绿，菜籽粕主力涨逾1%。截至目前，菜籽粕主力上涨 1.14%，报2572.00元/吨；菜籽油主力下跌0.43%，报9421.00元/吨；棕榈油主力下跌0.69%，报8308.00 元/吨；豆油主力下跌0.32%，报7976.00元/吨。 6月30日油脂油料期货价格行情 | 合约名称 | 开盘价 | 昨收价 | 昨结价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 豆油 | 7994.00 | 8002.00 | 8002.00 | | 棕榈油 | 8366.00 | 8376.00 | 8366.00 | | 菜籽油 | 9466.00 | 9466.00 | 9462.00 | | 豆粕 | 2942.00 | 2946.00 | 2938.00 | | 菜籽粕 | 2558.00 | 2559.00 | 2543.00 | | 豆一 | 4141.00 | 4140.00 | 4144.00 | | 豆二 | 3601.00 | 3603.00 | 3601.00 | | 花生 | 8178.00 | 8170.00 | 8170.00 | | 油菜籽 ...

6月16日，国内期市油脂油料板块多数飘红，棕榈油主力涨近4%。截至目前，棕榈油主力上涨3.76%， 报8436.00元/吨；菜籽粕主力下跌0.41%，报2662.00元/吨；菜籽油主力上涨1.86%，报9476.00元/吨；豆 油主力上涨2.57%，报7970.00元/吨。 6月16日油脂油料期货价格行情 截止北京时间6月13日，据商品基差数据显示：菜籽油、棕榈油、豆一、豆油品种合约出现'期现倒 挂'(现货价格高于期货价格)现象。 | 合约名称 | 开盘价 | 昨收价 | 昨结价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 豆油 | 7788.00 | 7786.00 | 7770.00 | | 棕榈油 | 8170.00 | 8140.00 | 8130.00 | | 菜籽油 | 9324.00 | 9310.00 | 9303.00 | | 豆粕 | 3040.00 | 3041.00 | 3048.00 | | 菜籽粕 | 2677.00 | 2674.00 | 2673.00 | | 豆一 | 4241.00 | 4241.00 | 4218.00 | | 豆二 | 3643.00 | ...

Core Insights - The domestic oilseed futures market experienced a mixed performance on May 23, with peanut futures declining over 1% [1] - The main peanut futures dropped by 1.17% to 8288.00 CNY/ton, while palm oil futures fell by 0.17% to 8018.00 CNY/ton [1] - Soybean meal futures increased by 0.75% to 2954.00 CNY/ton, while soybean futures saw a slight decrease of 0.36% to 4189.00 CNY/ton [1] Price Movements - The opening and closing prices for various oilseed futures on May 23 are as follows: - Soybean oil: opened at 7770.00 CNY, closed at 7760.00 CNY - Palm oil: opened at 7996.00 CNY, closed at 8032.00 CNY - Canola oil: opened at 9408.00 CNY, closed at 9388.00 CNY - Soybean meal: opened at 2944.00 CNY, closed at 2932.00 CNY - Canola meal: opened at 2563.00 CNY, closed at 2550.00 CNY - Soybean futures: opened at 4201.00 CNY, closed at 4204.00 CNY - Peanut: opened at 8350.00 CNY, closed at 8386.00 CNY [2] Warehouse Receipt Data - As of May 22, the warehouse receipt data for various oilseed futures showed: - Soybean oil: 14602 contracts, unchanged from the previous trading day - Palm oil: 330 contracts, unchanged from the previous trading day - Canola oil: 2121 contracts, decreased by 67 contracts - Soybean meal: 38311 contracts, unchanged from the previous trading day - Canola meal: 28877 contracts, decreased by 2070 contracts - Soybean futures: 30136 contracts, decreased by 600 contracts - Peanut: 600 contracts, unchanged from the previous trading day [3] Basis and Spot Prices - The basis and spot prices for various commodities are as follows: - Canola oil: spot price 9541.67 CNY, futures price 9388 CNY, basis 153 CNY, basis rate 1.60% - Canola meal: spot price 2510 CNY, futures price 2550 CNY, basis -40 CNY, basis rate -1.59% - Palm oil: spot price 8546 CNY, futures price 8032 CNY, basis 514 CNY, basis rate 6.01% - Soybean futures: spot price 4255 CNY, futures price 4204 CNY, basis 51 CNY, basis rate 1.20% - Soybean meal: spot price 2998 CNY, futures price 2932 CNY, basis 66 CNY, basis rate 2.20% - Soybean oil: spot price 8074 CNY, futures price 7760 CNY, basis 314 CNY, basis rate 3.89% [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The global recession expectation has cooled down due to the postponement of tariffs, but the geopolitical situation will become more complex in the medium and long term. The A - share market is expected to show a structural market with a stable index and style differentiation, and the bond market is trading on the expectation of a reserve - requirement ratio cut [2][3]. - Precious metals prices may rebound in the short term due to the volatile tariff policies, and attention should be paid to the pressure near the previous high of gold prices and the US March CPI data [4][5]. - Copper prices are expected to stabilize and rise in the short term as the global trade war enters a period of easing negotiations and the risk appetite of the global market has significantly recovered [6][7]. - Aluminum prices are expected to stabilize as the market risk sentiment is released, and the overall supply - demand situation is still good, but attention should be paid to further tariff trends [8][9][10]. - Alumina prices are expected to slow down their decline and show a weak oscillation as the short - term market balance expectation has slightly improved, but there is still a large amount of new production capacity to be put into operation in the second quarter [11]. - Zinc prices will have a phased rebound opportunity as the short - term market risk is quickly released with the loosening of Trump's tariff policy [12]. - Lead prices are expected to follow the London lead to stabilize and repair as the tariff risk eases [13]. - Tin prices are expected to rebound from the low level as the global trade situation concern eases, and the tight pattern of tin mines in the second quarter is difficult to change [14][15]. - Industrial silicon prices are expected to maintain a weak oscillation as the peak - season demand is weak and the high inventory drags down the spot market [16]. - Lithium prices are expected to oscillate as the cost - support logic still exists although the fundamental outlook is bearish [17][18]. - Nickel prices are expected to be strong as the cost - increase logic of the increase in Indonesia's mineral royalty is about to be realized [18]. - Crude oil prices are mainly affected by the tariff policy, and the market pessimistic expectation has slightly eased, but due to the volatile tariff policy, it is recommended to wait and see [19]. - Steel prices are expected to stabilize in the short term as the capital - market sentiment eases and the fundamentals change little, maintaining a weak supply - demand pattern [20]. - Iron ore prices are expected to stabilize in the short term as the capital - market sentiment recovers and the supply - demand relationship changes little [21]. - Bean and rapeseed meal prices are expected to oscillate as the panic sentiment eases and the market may return to the fundamentals [22][23]. - Palm oil prices are expected to stop falling and stabilize as the oil price rises significantly from the low level and the market sentiment warms up [24]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Main Variety Views 3.1.1 Macro - Overseas: Trump announced a 90 - day suspension of reciprocal tariffs on most economies, but still imposed a 10% global tariff during the negotiation period, and raised the tariff on China to 125%. The "global recession expectation" has cooled down significantly, and risk assets have risen sharply [2]. - Domestic: China has raised the tariff on the US, and the policy of "counter - measures against foreign countries and stabilizing growth and expectations at home" has become the main line. The A - share market has rebounded with the support of liquidity, and the bond market is trading on the expectation of a reserve - requirement ratio cut [2][3]. 3.1.2 Precious Metals - International precious - metal futures prices rose significantly on Wednesday. The tariff policy is volatile, attracting safe - haven funds and supporting precious - metal prices. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in June is 72%. Precious - metal prices may rebound in the short term, and attention should be paid to the US March CPI data [4][5]. 3.1.3 Copper - The Shanghai copper main contract opened low and moved high on Wednesday, and the London copper rebounded. The global trade war has entered a period of easing negotiations, and the market risk preference has increased. The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate unchanged in May is 76%. Codelco is optimistic about the long - term copper demand, and copper prices are expected to stabilize and rise in the short term [6][7]. 3.1.4 Aluminum - The Shanghai aluminum main contract closed down on Wednesday. The US has suspended tariffs on some countries, and the EU has passed counter - measures. The market risk sentiment is released, and the supply - demand situation is still good. Aluminum prices are expected to stabilize, but attention should be paid to tariff trends [8][9][10]. 3.1.5 Alumina - The alumina futures main contract fell on Tuesday. Some alumina plants have reduced production, and the short - term market balance expectation has slightly improved. However, there is still a large amount of new production capacity to be put into operation in the second quarter, and alumina prices are expected to slow down their decline and show a weak oscillation [11]. 3.1.6 Zinc - The Shanghai zinc main contract oscillated weakly during the day and rose at night on Wednesday. The market risk is quickly released, and the spot supply is tight. Zinc prices will have a phased rebound opportunity [12]. 3.1.7 Lead - The Shanghai lead main contract continued to fall during the day and rebounded at night on Wednesday. The fundamentals are characterized by increasing supply and weak demand, but due to the easing of tariff risks, lead prices are expected to stabilize and repair [13]. 3.1.8 Tin - The Shanghai tin main contract oscillated downward during the day and rose at night on Wednesday. The Bisie tin mine is gradually resuming production, but the global tin - mine tight pattern in the second quarter is difficult to change. Tin prices are expected to rebound from the low level [14][15]. 3.1.9 Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon main contract oscillated at a low level on Wednesday. The high inventory drags down the market, and the demand in the peak season is weak. Industrial silicon prices are expected to maintain a weak oscillation [16]. 3.1.10 Carbonate Lithium - Carbonate lithium prices oscillated on Wednesday. Although the fundamentals are bearish, the cost - support logic still exists, and lithium prices are expected to oscillate [17][18]. 3.1.11 Nickel - Nickel prices oscillated on Wednesday. The tariff policy is volatile, and Indonesia is about to raise the mineral royalty. Nickel prices are expected to be strong [18]. 3.1.12 Crude Oil - The Shanghai crude - oil main contract oscillated on Wednesday and rose sharply at night. The oil price is mainly affected by the tariff policy, and the market pessimistic expectation has slightly eased, but it is recommended to wait and see due to the volatile tariff policy [19]. 3.1.13 Steel and Iron Ore - Steel and iron - ore futures first fell and then rose on Wednesday. The capital - market sentiment eases, and the fundamentals of steel and iron ore change little. Steel and iron - ore prices are expected to stabilize in the short term [20][21]. 3.1.14 Bean and Rapeseed Meal - Bean and rapeseed meal prices oscillated on Wednesday. The US has suspended some tariff policies, and the panic sentiment has eased. The double - meal prices may return to the fundamentals and oscillate [22][23]. 3.1.15 Palm Oil - Palm oil prices fell on Wednesday. The US has suspended some tariff policies, the market sentiment warms up, and the oil price rises significantly from the low level. Palm oil prices are expected to stop falling and stabilize [24]. 3.2 Metal Main Variety Trading Data - Provides the closing price, change, change percentage, total trading volume, total open interest, and price unit of various metal futures contracts on Wednesday, including copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin, precious metals, steel, and iron ore [25]. 3.3 Industry Data Perspective - Compares the data of various metals on April 9th and April 8th, including futures prices, warehouse receipts, inventories, spot quotes, spot premiums and discounts, refined - scrap spreads, and other indicators [26][28][29].