Core Viewpoint - TotalEnergies SE (NYSE:TTE) is identified as one of the best undervalued European stocks, with recent strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing its market presence and supporting the transition to electric vehicles in the Benelux region [1]. Group 1: Partnerships and Collaborations - TotalEnergies SE has launched a shared investment platform with Tikehau Capital to develop electric vehicle charging stations in Belgium and the Netherlands, focusing on crowded public areas [1]. - The company has entered into a 10-year agreement to supply 800 gigawatt-hours of renewable energy to paper maker SWM, which will power three facilities in France from TotalEnergies' renewable production assets totaling about 50 megawatts [3]. Group 2: Company Overview - TotalEnergies SE operates as a global multi-energy company, producing and marketing oil, biofuels, natural gas, renewables, and electricity [4].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, total underlying replacement cost profit was $7.5 billion, supported by high upstream plant reliability and refining availability despite a weaker oil price environment [3] - Operating cash flow reached $24.5 billion, with a $2.9 billion adjusted working capital build during the year [3] - Capital expenditure was reduced by 10% compared to 2024, with organic CapEx at $13.6 billion [3] - Return on average capital employed increased to around 14% in 2025 from 12% in 2024 [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Gas & Low Carbon Energy, the underlying result was $1.4 billion, down from $1.5 billion in the third quarter due to lower realizations [8] - Oil Production & Operations reported an underlying result of $2 billion, down from $2.3 billion in the third quarter, impacted by lower realizations and production mix [8] - In Customers, the underlying result decreased to $900 million from $1.2 billion in the third quarter, reflecting seasonally lower volumes [9] - Products segment maintained an underlying result of $500 million, with stronger refining margins offset by lower throughput due to higher turnaround activity [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a reserves replacement ratio of 90%, up from an average of around 50% in the previous two years [4] - The initial estimate of the Boomerang discovery indicates approximately 8 billion barrels of liquids in place, with plans for an appraisal program to start by year-end [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The board decided to suspend share buybacks to prioritize strengthening the balance sheet, creating a more resilient platform for disciplined investments [4] - The company aims to high-grade its portfolio and has increased its structural cost reduction target to $5.5 billion-$6.5 billion by 2027 [7] - The strategic review of Castrol led to the decision to sell a 65% shareholding, expected to generate around $6 billion in net proceeds to reduce net debt [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the tragic loss of four colleagues in 2025, emphasizing an unwavering commitment to safety [2] - The company expects reported upstream production to be broadly flat in the first quarter of 2026, with underlying production slightly lower for the full year [13] - Guidance for capital expenditure in 2026 is projected to be in the range of $13 billion-$13.5 billion, with divestment proceeds expected to be between $9 billion-$10 billion [15] Other Important Information - The company reported a fourth quarter IFRS loss of $3.4 billion due to impairments primarily related to transition businesses [11] - Operating cash flow for the fourth quarter was $7.6 billion, with a cash conversion improvement of 6 percentage points [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for production in 2026? - Management expects reported upstream production to be broadly flat, with underlying production slightly lower than in 2025 [13] Question: How is the company addressing safety concerns? - The company has taken decisive actions to enhance safety protocols following tragic incidents, including stopping roadside assistance next to active traffic lanes [2] Question: What is the outlook for capital expenditures? - Capital expenditure for 2026 is expected to be in the range of $13 billion-$13.5 billion, with a focus on maintaining capital discipline [15]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total underlying replacement cost profit for 2025 was $7.5 billion, with operating cash flow at $24.5 billion, including a $2.9 billion adjusted working capital build [3][4] - Capital expenditure was reduced by 10% compared to 2024, with organic CapEx at $13.6 billion [3][4] - Return on average capital employed increased to around 14% in 2025 from around 12% in 2024 [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In gas and low-carbon energy, the underlying result was $1.4 billion, down from $1.5 billion in the third quarter due to lower realizations [8] - Oil production operations reported an underlying result of $2 billion, down from $2.3 billion in the third quarter, impacted by lower realizations and production mix [8] - In customers, the underlying result was $900 million, down from $1.2 billion in the third quarter, reflecting seasonally lower volumes [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The reserves replacement ratio improved to 90%, up from an average of around 50% in the prior two years [4] - The company reported a fourth quarter IFRS loss of $3.4 billion, primarily due to impairment charges related to transition businesses [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The board decided to suspend share buybacks to prioritize strengthening the balance sheet, creating a more resilient platform for investment [4][15] - The company aims to high-grade its portfolio and has increased its structural cost reduction target to $5.5 billion-$6.5 billion by 2027 [6][15] - Plans for an appraisal program for the Bumerangue discovery, estimated to contain around 8 billion barrels of liquids, are set to start by the end of the year [5] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a weaker oil price environment but highlighted strong operational performance and capital discipline [3][15] - For 2026, reported upstream production is expected to be broadly flat, with underlying production slightly lower [13] - The company anticipates net debt to increase in the first half of 2026 before falling significantly in the second half [14] Other Important Information - The company completed over $11 billion in divestments, more than halfway towards its $20 billion disposal program [5] - Operating cash flow for the fourth quarter was $7.6 billion, with a cash conversion improvement of 6 percentage points [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for production in 2026? - Management expects reported upstream production to be broadly flat, with underlying production slightly lower than in 2025 [13] Question: How is the company addressing its balance sheet? - The board has decided to suspend share buybacks and fully allocate excess cash to strengthen the balance sheet [4][15] Question: What is the outlook for capital expenditure? - Capital expenditure for 2026 is expected to be in the range of $13 billion-$13.5 billion, weighted to the first half [14]

Core Insights - Enbridge Inc. (ENB) is a leading midstream energy company that generates stable fee-based revenues, making it less vulnerable to oil and natural gas price volatility [1][5] - The company is positioned to generate incremental cash flows through secured capital projects across various sectors, including liquid pipelines, gas transmissions, renewables, and gas distribution & storage [1][5] Financial Performance - Enbridge expects its adjusted EBITDA for 2026 to be between C$20.2 billion and C$20.8 billion, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% from 2023 [2] - The anticipated dividend for 2026 is C$3.88 per share, reflecting a CAGR of 3% through 2023, with a current dividend yield of 5.94%, surpassing the industry average of 5.4% [2][5] Comparison with Peers - Other midstream companies, Williams (WMB) and Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI), have lower dividend yields of 3.3% and 4.3%, respectively, despite their strong positions in the clean energy market [3] Market Performance - ENB's shares have increased by 10.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry average increase of 9.8% [4] Valuation Metrics - Enbridge has a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio of 14.66X, which is higher than the industry average of 13.57X [7]

Core Insights - Enbridge Inc. (ENB) is a leading midstream energy company that generates stable fee-based revenues, making it resilient to oil and natural gas price volatility [1] Group 1: Company Overview - ENB is well-positioned to generate incremental cash flows for shareholders, supported by over C$30 billion in secured capital projects related to liquid pipelines, gas transmissions, renewables, and gas distribution & storage [2] - Enbridge has a history of rewarding shareholders with dividend hikes for 31 consecutive years [2] Group 2: Industry Comparisons - Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD) and Williams (WMB) are also significant players in the midstream energy sector, generating resilient, fee-based cash flows [3][4] - EPD operates over 50,000 miles of pipeline and has a liquid storage facility of more than 300,000 barrels, ensuring stable cash flows for unitholders [3] - WMB has a pipeline network spanning 33,000 miles, responsible for transporting significant volumes of natural gas in the U.S., which also contributes to stable cash flows [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - ENB shares have increased by 17.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry composite stocks, which improved by 12.3% [5] - The company trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 15.11X, higher than the industry average of 13.79X [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ENB's 2025 earnings has not seen any revisions in the past 30 days [10]

Summary of Key Points from the Expert Call on IEA's World Energy Outlook 2025 Industry Overview - The discussion focused on the **Global Oil and Gas** industry, particularly insights from the **IEA's World Energy Outlook 2025** [1] Core Insights 1. **Rising Electrification and Energy Demand** - Incremental energy demand growth over the next decade is expected to primarily come from emerging markets outside of China - Key demand drivers include the expanding car fleet, plastic production, air-conditioning uptake, and rapid data center build-out - Electricity demand is accelerating globally, with low-emissions generation expanding faster than electricity demand, especially in Asia - Renewables, particularly solar PV, are growing rapidly, while nuclear energy is regaining momentum, and natural gas usage is increasing - Coal demand is projected to peak by 2030 before declining, highlighting the need for dispatchable capacity and enhanced power system flexibility [2] 2. **Diverging Pathways for Oil Demand in Road Transport** - The WEO 2025 presents differing oil demand projections under the Current Policies Scenario (CPS) and Stated Policies Scenarios (STEPS) - Under CPS, oil demand is expected to grow until 2050, while STEPS indicates demand will flatten by 2030, later than previous forecasts - The divergence is attributed to the transport sector outside China, with CPS assuming lower global electric vehicle (EV) uptake (43% by 2040) compared to STEPS (55% by 2040) - The IEA assumes an EU internal combustion engine (ICE) ban in 2035, which could impact both scenarios if pushed back to 2040 - The agency updates key cost components annually to reflect declining trends in EV prices and other inputs [3] 3. **Natural Gas and Coal Dynamics** - Significant changes in natural gas and coal dynamics were noted, reflecting shifts in power sector policies, including reduced renewable incentives and improved LNG competitiveness - Global long-term energy demand is expected to plateau, with regional and fuel-specific variations - In the STEPS scenario, global natural gas demand is projected to peak after 2030, while some Southeast Asian markets may not reach a peak - Gas demand uncertainty is linked to the power sector, particularly the extent of coal-to-gas switching versus direct renewable adoption - An oversupplied LNG market is anticipated to lower prices, stimulating demand in Asia [4] Additional Important Points - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding the risks associated with oil and natural gas price volatility, refining margins, and exploration risks [6] - The document includes disclaimers regarding the potential conflicts of interest and the independence of UBS's research products [7][36] - The report is intended for professional clients and does not constitute investment advice [27][50]

Core Points - TotalEnergies has signed an agreement with Galp Energia to initiate an exploration and appraisal campaign, including three wells over the next two years, with the first well planned for 2026 to advance the Mopane discovery [1][3] - TotalEnergies remains committed to the development of the Venus discovery and is working towards a potential final investment decision in 2026 [2] - The partnership with Galp is seen as a strong recognition of TotalEnergies' exploration and deepwater capabilities, reflecting confidence in Namibia as a future oil-producing country [3] - The completion of the transaction is subject to customary third-party approvals from Namibian authorities, expected to occur in 2026 [4] - TotalEnergies has been present in Namibia since 1964, employing 55 people and operating 43 service stations, positioning itself as the fourth largest fuel distributor in the country [4] - TotalEnergies will acquire a 40% operated interest in PEL83, which includes the Mopane discovery, while Galp will acquire a 10% participating interest in PEL56 and a 9.39% interest in PEL91 [6][7] - TotalEnergies will carry 50% of Galp's capital expenditures for the exploration and appraisal of the Mopane discovery, to be repaid through 50% of Galp's future cash flows from the project [6]

Core Insights - HF Sinclair reported $7.25 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of 0.6%, with an EPS of $2.44 compared to $0.51 a year ago, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates for revenue and EPS [1] - The company demonstrated strong performance metrics, with a stock return of +3.8% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change, and holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [3] Financial Performance - Revenue of $7.25 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.02 billion, resulting in a surprise of +3.33% [1] - EPS of $2.44 exceeded the consensus estimate of $1.94, leading to an EPS surprise of +25.77% [1] - Consolidated average per produced barrel adjusted refinery gross margin was $19.16, above the $16.42 average estimate [4] - Sales of produced refined products totaled 661.14 million barrels, slightly below the estimated 667.52 million barrels [4] Regional Performance - In the West Region, the average per produced barrel adjusted refinery gross margin was $20.38, exceeding the estimated $18.05 [4] - Mid-Continent Region sales of produced refined products reached 281.04 million barrels, surpassing the estimate of 275.08 million barrels [4] - Average per produced barrel adjusted refinery gross margin in the Mid-Continent Region was $17.5, compared to the $14.12 estimate [4] Revenue Breakdown - Sales and other revenues from lubricants and specialties were $655 million, below the estimate of $704.88 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -4.5% [4] - Midstream revenues were $160 million, slightly below the estimated $165.38 million, representing a -2.4% change year-over-year [4] - Marketing revenues were $898 million, slightly above the estimate of $893.54 million, with a year-over-year change of -5.5% [4] - Refining revenues were reported at $6.44 billion, exceeding the estimate of $4.4 billion, with a +1% change year-over-year [4] - Renewables revenues reached $277 million, significantly above the estimate of $170.97 million, marking a +4.4% change year-over-year [4] - Corporate, Other and Eliminations reported revenues of -$1.18 billion, slightly below the estimate of -$1.15 billion, reflecting a -4.7% change year-over-year [4]

Core Insights - Galp Energia is increasing exploration efforts in Africa and Latin America due to resilient global oil demand and a slower-than-expected energy transition [1] - The company is in advanced discussions to sell a 40% stake in its Mopane field offshore Namibia, which has estimated reserves of 10 billion barrels [1][2] - Galp's diversified upstream portfolio, including the Bacalhau field in Brazil, is expected to sustain growth and fund the transition to renewables [4] Group 1: Exploration and Development - Galp is targeting frontier regions to enhance its upstream portfolio, with a focus on the Mopane field in Namibia [1] - The company holds licenses in São Tomé and Príncipe and is exploring additional opportunities across Africa [2] - In Brazil, Galp has secured three offshore blocks in the Pelotas Basin, partnering with Petrobras [2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - The Bacalhau field, in which Galp holds a 20% stake, began production this year and is projected to increase output by 40%, generating approximately $400 million in annual free cash flow [3] - Upstream projects accounted for 63% of Galp's earnings last year, with profits from oil and gas expected to support the company's transition into renewable energy sources [4] Group 3: Strategic Vision - Galp's Executive Board Member Nuno Bastos emphasized the need for fossil fuels in Europe amid changing global priorities due to the war in Ukraine [1] - The company aims to balance its portfolio with ongoing projects in Namibia, São Tomé, and Brazil to ensure sustainable growth [4] - Galp is committed to developing complex energy projects while investing in the next generation of energy solutions [5]

Core Insights - Brookfield has successfully closed its flagship energy transition strategy, the Brookfield Global Transition Fund II (BGTF II), raising $20 billion in commitments, making it the largest private fund focused on clean energy transition globally [1][2] - The Fund has attracted a diverse range of institutional investors, including new participants, and has secured approximately $3.5 billion in co-investment, bringing total capital raised to approximately $23.5 billion [2][3] - Over $5 billion has already been deployed in high-quality transition investments, with a focus on technologies that support clean and low-cost energy solutions [3] Fund Details - BGTF II exceeded its initial target and surpassed the previous fund's record, BGTF I, which raised $15 billion [2] - Notable commitments include $2 billion from ALTÉRRA and $1.5 billion from Norges Bank Investment Management [2] - The Fund's strategy emphasizes an "any and all" approach to energy investment, driven by increasing energy demand from sectors like artificial intelligence and electrification [3] Investment Focus - The previous BGTF I invested in various energy technologies, including renewables, carbon capture, sustainable aviation fuel, and battery storage [3] - Recent agreements include significant energy supply deals with Microsoft and Google, marking the largest contracts in wind/solar and hydroelectricity [3] Company Overview - Brookfield Asset Management is a leading global alternative asset manager with over $1 trillion in assets under management across various sectors, including infrastructure and renewable power [4]