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Prediction: Tesla's Joyride Will Come to a Screeching Halt in 2026 (Spoiler Alert: Elon Broke Another Promise)
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-20 02:00
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's future heavily relies on artificial intelligence, particularly its robotaxi initiative, which has generated significant investor interest and driven stock prices to near all-time highs [1][2]. Company Developments - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has consistently promised advancements in AI to transform the mobility market, aiming to create a fleet of fully autonomous vehicles [2]. - Recent updates on the robotaxi project have been positively received, contributing to a surge in Tesla's stock price [2][9]. - As of mid-December, Tesla has launched limited robotaxi services in Austin and the San Francisco Bay area, but these services still require human safety drivers [9][10]. Historical Context - Tesla has a history of missed deadlines and overpromises, including the failure to deliver fully autonomous driving capabilities and delays in the production of the Tesla Semi and Roadster 2.0 [5][11]. - Musk's past predictions, such as having 1 million robotaxis operational by 2020, have not materialized, raising skepticism about future timelines [11]. Financial Metrics - Tesla's current market capitalization stands at $1.6 trillion, with a price-to-sales ratio of 17.6 and a price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 320, indicating an unusually high valuation for an automobile company [4][13]. - Despite the high valuation, Tesla's core electric vehicle business is reportedly in decline, with no significant financial contribution from the robotaxi initiative yet [15]. Investment Outlook - The stock's performance appears driven more by narratives and hype rather than actual business performance, suggesting caution for potential investors until tangible progress is made in the robotaxi project [16].
X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
Tesla Owners Silicon Valley· 2025-11-17 08:20
Elon Musk brought all the past 30 years2025: Grok 42025: Grok 32025: Grokipedia2024: Cybercab2024: Robovan2024: Grok 22024: DOGE2023: Grok 12023: xAI2022: 𝕏2021: Dojo2020: Model S Plaid2021: Optimus2019: Megapack2019: Model Y2015: Starlink2019: Cybertruck2018: Starship2017: Falcon Heavy2017: Roadster 2.02017: Tesla Semi2016: Boring Company2016: Model 32016: Neuralink2016: SolarCity2015: OpenAI2015: Powerwall2012: Model X2014: Tesla Autopilot2009: Model S2012: Falcon 92012: Supercharger2010: Dragon2008: Falc ...
马斯克:钱不到位,这CEO是一天也干不下去了?
自动驾驶之心· 2025-10-24 16:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Tesla's new compensation plan for CEO Elon Musk, which is valued at one trillion dollars, and the surrounding controversies and challenges related to its approval [3][4][11]. Group 1: Compensation Plan Details - Tesla has proposed a new "OKR" compensation plan for Musk to retain him as CEO for at least the next ten years [7]. - To unlock the full compensation, Musk must achieve ambitious performance targets, including increasing Tesla's market value nearly eightfold to $8.5 trillion (approximately 60.6 trillion yuan) and boosting profits to $400 billion (approximately 2.85 trillion yuan) by 2024 [8]. - If all targets are met, Musk's ownership stake in Tesla could rise from 13% to about 25%, potentially increasing his stock value by $1 trillion (approximately 7.13 trillion yuan) [10]. Group 2: Controversy and Reactions - The proposed compensation has sparked significant debate, with some viewing it as excessively high, even surpassing Tesla's total profits since its inception [11][13]. - Critics, including former Tesla employees and institutional investors, argue that the compensation is astronomical and lacks effective constraints, potentially diluting existing shareholders' equity [20][21][22]. - Supporters, including prominent investors like Cathie Wood, believe the plan will pass with overwhelming support, citing Tesla's current market position and growth potential [26][29]. Group 3: Upcoming Events - The final decision on the compensation plan will be made at the shareholder meeting on November 6, where Musk and other executives will also present Tesla's latest product roadmap and strategic priorities [31]. - Among the anticipated announcements is the new Roadster 2.0, which is set to be showcased this year and aims to be the fastest production car on the market [39][40].
马斯克:工资不到位,特斯拉CEO我不干了
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-21 09:13
Core Viewpoint - Tesla has proposed a new compensation plan for CEO Elon Musk, valued at up to $1 trillion, to retain him for at least 10 years, but the plan faces significant scrutiny and skepticism from the public and shareholders [1][6]. Compensation Plan Details - The new compensation structure, referred to as "compensation OKR," requires Musk to achieve ambitious performance targets, including increasing Tesla's market capitalization to between $8 trillion and $8.5 trillion, which is nearly 8 times the current value [4][6]. - Profit targets are set to increase nearly 24 times to $400 billion, with a minimum threshold of $50 billion [4]. - Product delivery goals include 20 million Tesla vehicles, 10 million active FSD subscriptions, 1 million Tesla robots, and 1 million Robotaxis [4]. Shareholder Reactions - The proposed compensation plan has sparked divided opinions among shareholders, with some, including ISS, expressing strong opposition due to its astronomical figures and potential dilution of existing shareholders' equity [10][12]. - Supporters, including prominent investors like Cathie Wood, argue that the plan is justified and likely to pass, citing Tesla's significant market position and growth potential [15][12]. Upcoming Decisions - The final decision on the compensation plan will be made at the shareholder meeting on November 6, where Musk and other executives will also present Tesla's latest product roadmap and strategic priorities [17]. - The meeting is expected to be significant, not only for the compensation proposal but also for the anticipated unveiling of the new Roadster 2.0 [17][20]. Product Developments - Tesla's new Roadster 2.0 is set to be showcased this year, with production expected to begin in 2027, featuring extreme performance capabilities [20][22].