1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The mainstream shipping lines have different cargo - booking situations, leading to price differentiation. The repeated progress of the Israel - Palestine cease - fire negotiations has driven the far - month contracts to fluctuate upwards. The SCFIS European line index has exceeded market expectations, and it is expected that the 2510 contract on the disk will repair the discount upwards. The spot freight rate spread among mainstream shipping lines has widened again, but the off - season of container shipping is expected to gradually improve. The cargo volume on the demand side shows a seasonal decline, and the shipments from November to December are expected to gradually improve. The overall capacity from October to December changes little, with a slight increase in November. The implementation of the first - stage cease - fire agreement is tortuous, and the second - stage negotiation faces pressure. The probability of future tariff deterioration is not high [5][6] - For trading strategies, continue to hold long positions in EC2512 and maintain the idea of buying on dips. Also, continue to hold the 2 - 4 positive spread arbitrage [8][9] 3. Summary based on Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Container Shipping - Container Freight Index (European Line) - **Futures Disk** - Different futures contracts have different closing prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, trading volume change rates, open interests, and open interest change rates. For example, EC2510 closed at 1,100.1, up 3.2 (0.29%) with a trading volume of 1,174.0 (down 25.70%) and an open interest of 8,396.0 (down 6.96%) [4] - **Monthly Spread Structure** - There are different price spreads and their price changes between different futures contracts. For example, the spread between EC10 - EC12 is - 582, down 24.1 [4] - **Container Freight Rates** - Different container freight rates (weekly) have different prices, month - on - month and year - on - year changes. For example, the SCFIS European line index is 1140.38, up 10.52% month - on - month and down 48.27% year - on - year [4] - **Fuel Costs** - The WTI crude oil near - month price is 57.22 US dollars per barrel, up 0.51% month - on - month and down 16.90% year - on - year. The Brent crude oil near - month price is 61.16 US dollars per barrel, up 0.71% month - on - month and down 16.0% year - on - year [4] 3.2 Market Analysis and Strategy Recommendation - **Market Analysis** - The mainstream shipping lines' cargo - booking situations lead to price differentiation. The repeated progress of the Israel - Palestine cease - fire negotiations affects the far - month contracts. The SCFIS European line index has exceeded expectations. The spot freight rate spread among shipping lines has widened, but the off - season is expected to improve. The demand side shows a seasonal decline in cargo volume, and the supply side has little change in overall capacity from October to December, with a slight increase in November. The implementation of the cease - fire agreement is tortuous, and the tariff negotiation has a low probability of deterioration [5][6] - **Trading Strategies** - **Unilateral**: Continue to hold long positions in EC2512 and maintain the idea of buying on dips, paying attention to the implementation of the first - stage cease - fire and the second - stage negotiation in Israel - Palestine and the expected changes in shipping lines' resumption of flights [8] - **Arbitrage**: Continue to hold the 2 - 4 positive spread arbitrage [9] 3.3 Industry News - Trump signed an executive order to impose new tariffs on imported medium and heavy - duty trucks, parts, and passenger cars from November 1 [10] - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) decided to postpone the implementation of the "Net - Zero Framework" in a special meeting, which has attracted wide attention and strong reactions from the shipping industry, governments, and environmental organizations [10] - The Israel - Hamas cease - fire agreement implementation is tortuous. The Israeli army carried out retaliatory air strikes and then resumed the cease - fire. The second - stage negotiation faces pressure as Netanyahu is reluctant to promote it due to complex issues [11] - Hamas condemned Israel for closing the Rafah crossing, which it believes violates the first - stage cease - fire agreement [11][12]