Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of gold ETFs reflects a significant increase in gold prices driven by geopolitical risks and changes in global liquidity expectations, with a notable rise in trading volume and net inflows into gold ETFs [4][5]. Group 1: Gold ETF Performance - As of October 20, 2025, the gold ETF (159937) has decreased by 2.36%, with a latest price of 9.33 yuan, while showing an 11.33% increase over the past week as of October 17 [3]. - The trading volume for the gold ETF reached 12.23 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 3.14%, and an average daily trading volume of 31.28 billion yuan over the past week, ranking it among the top three comparable funds [4]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The recent surge in international gold prices is attributed to a combination of geopolitical risk, a weakening global credit system, and changing liquidity expectations, with multiple factors contributing to the current market dynamics [4][5]. - Key pressures on the gold market include a high concentration of long positions and the potential for speculative funds to take profits, which could lead to increased volatility and a possible price correction [4]. Group 3: Institutional Trends - There has been a consistent net inflow into the largest gold ETF, SPDR, and the People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 11 consecutive months, although its reserves remain lower than the global average of 15%-20% [5]. - The trend of reducing U.S. Treasury holdings while increasing gold investments is observed across both institutional and individual investors [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to factors such as a weakening U.S. dollar and ongoing geopolitical instability, which are expected to support continued central bank purchases of gold [5]. - The latest share count for the gold ETF reached 4.166 billion, marking a one-year high [5].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in international gold prices is driven by geopolitical risks, global credit system instability, and liquidity factors, leading to increased investment in gold-related ETFs [1][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Performance - On October 17, the London spot gold price reached a record high of $4,380.79 per ounce before slightly retreating to $4,251.45 per ounce [2]. - Gold ETFs have seen significant inflows, with several funds reporting substantial growth in management scale over the past week [3]. Group 2: ETF Growth - Huaan Gold ETF's management scale increased to 85.235 billion yuan, up by 14.418 billion yuan in one week; Bosera Gold ETF grew to 39.667 billion yuan, up by 7.061 billion yuan; E Fund Gold ETF reached 33.906 billion yuan, up by 6.588 billion yuan; and Guotai Gold ETF rose to 26.849 billion yuan, up by 5.723 billion yuan [3]. - The Yongying CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Stock ETF's scale increased to 14.060 billion yuan, reflecting growing investor interest in gold-related stocks [3]. Group 3: Investment Drivers - The strong performance of gold prices is attributed to a combination of geopolitical risk, a weakening global credit system, and changing liquidity expectations [4]. - Recent global events, including U.S. government shutdown concerns and European fiscal worries, have further catalyzed the rise in gold prices [4]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - Over the past three years, gold has demonstrated a strong Sharpe ratio, indicating its low volatility and high returns, reinforcing its value as a core asset [5]. - Despite potential short-term fluctuations, the long-term investment value of gold remains solid, driven by its role as a hedge against currency credit risks and geopolitical tensions [6][7]. Group 5: Gold Stocks Performance - Gold stocks are expected to see significant revenue and profit growth due to high gold prices, although they have not fully reflected the gains seen in gold prices recently [8].