ScaleX640国产最高密度超节点
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北美光通信财报指引积极,曙光发布ScaleX640点燃国产超节点新高度
Shanxi Securities· 2025-11-12 08:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected growth exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [39]. Core Insights - North American optical communication manufacturers have released positive earnings guidance for the upcoming quarter, with Coherent reporting Q1 2026 revenue of $1.58 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by data center optical communication [14][17]. - Lumentum's Q1 2026 revenue reached $530 million, up 58% year-over-year, with strong demand for 800G and 1.6T high-speed optical modules, leading to anticipated price increases starting in 2026 [15][17]. - Fabrinet reported Q1 2026 revenue of $980 million, a 22% year-over-year increase, with significant growth in the telecom optical communication sector, particularly driven by DCI [16][17]. - The North American AI market demand is expected to grow, with NVIDIA's GB300 shipments boosting demand for 1.6T optical modules, suggesting a strong revenue increase for leading optical module manufacturers in Q4 [17]. - The launch of the ScaleX640 by Zhongke Shuguang at the Wuzhen Internet Conference showcases advancements in domestic ultra-node technology, with a design that significantly enhances cabinet density and cooling efficiency [18]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - North American optical communication companies are experiencing robust order growth, particularly in the data center segment, with a focus on 800G and 1.6T technologies [14][17]. - The supply of optical chips remains a bottleneck, prompting companies to expand production capacity to meet future demand [14][17]. Company Performance - Coherent's data center business is expected to accelerate growth, with a projected 10% quarter-over-quarter increase in the next quarter [14]. - Lumentum anticipates a 20% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in the upcoming quarter, excluding certain orders [15]. - Fabrinet expects Q2 revenue to reach approximately $1.1 billion, driven by growth across various segments including traditional telecom and DCI [16]. Market Overview - The overall market saw an increase during the week of November 3-7, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.08% and the communication index increasing by 0.92% [19]. - The optical module sector led the weekly gains with a 4.37% increase, indicating strong investor interest [19]. Recommended Companies - Key companies to watch include those in the optical module sector such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication, as well as domestic ultra-node manufacturers like ZTE and Unisoc [19].