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An ‘EV Winter’ Is Coming for Tesla. Should You Sell TSLA Stock Now?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-10 21:23
Core Insights - Tesla, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.48 trillion, is part of the "Magnificent Seven" but faces challenges in 2025 due to political controversies, rising EV competition, and slowing demand in key markets [1] - The company has evolved from being solely an electric vehicle manufacturer to a technology firm focused on AI, autonomous driving, robotics, and clean energy, although its core EV business remains vital [2] Financial Performance - Tesla's Q3 2025 revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $28.1 billion, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $26.6 billion, marking the first quarter of growth compared to 2024 [10] - The automotive segment revenue rose 6% year-over-year to $21.2 billion, while the energy-storage division saw a significant 44% revenue increase to $3.4 billion [11][12] - Despite revenue growth, gross margin decreased to 18% from 19.8% a year ago, and operating margin fell by 501 basis points to 5.8% due to ongoing price cuts [13] Market Sentiment and Analyst Views - Morgan Stanley downgraded Tesla to "Equal Weight" from "Overweight," citing a challenging outlook for the EV business with softer margins and slowing deliveries [3][4] - The bank anticipates a potential "EV winter," predicting U.S. light-vehicle sales to drop to 15.9 million units next year, with EV volumes declining by around 20% [4] - Analysts are divided on Tesla's future, with a consensus "Hold" rating; 14 analysts rate it a "Strong Buy," while 9 have a "Strong Sell" rating [16] Stock Performance - Tesla's stock has increased by 12.85% in 2025 and 31.04% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 5.5% gain during the same period [6][7] - The stock trades at a high valuation of 303.16 times price-to-earnings trailing and 14.99 times price-to-sales trailing, compared to industry averages of 19.7x and 0.95x [8] Future Outlook - Tesla is focused on ambitious projects, including the Cybercab robotaxi, heavy-duty Semi truck, and next-gen Megapack 3, aiming for volume production by 2026 [14] - The company is also advancing its humanoid robot, Optimus, indicating a shift from EV manufacturing to robotics and AI [15] - Despite current challenges, Tesla's long-term vision remains intact, but investors must weigh the risks against future potential [18]
Ford Just Reported an Absolute Collapse in Its EV Sales. That Could Be a Key Warning for Tesla Stock.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-03 21:49
Core Insights - Tesla's long-term growth is heavily reliant on the success of its Cybercab autonomous robotaxi and Optimus humanoid robot, which investors believe could surpass the revenue generated by its automotive business [1][11] - The company has transformed from a startup to a major player in the automotive industry, reshaping it with high-performance electric vehicles (EVs) under CEO Elon Musk [2] Industry Trends - A significant decline in Ford's EV sales, with a 61% drop, raises concerns about the overall EV market, suggesting that demand may be highly sensitive to incentives like the federal EV tax credit [5][12] - Tesla's momentum has slowed due to increased competition, a cooling EV market, and macroeconomic pressures, leading to a cautious sentiment among investors [6][10] Financial Performance - Tesla's Q3 2025 results showed a 12% year-over-year revenue increase to $28.1 billion, driven by a surge in demand before the expiration of the federal EV tax credit [8][13] - The automotive segment's revenue rose 6% year-over-year to $21.2 billion, while the energy-storage division experienced a remarkable 44% annual revenue increase to $3.4 billion [9] - Despite strong revenue growth, profitability declined, with gross margin falling to 18% and adjusted EPS dropping 31% year-over-year to $0.50, indicating pressure to maintain market share [10][14] Future Outlook - Tesla aims for volume production of the Cybercab robotaxi, Semi truck, and Megapack 3 energy-storage system by 2026, while also ramping up production of the Optimus humanoid robot [11] - Analysts are divided on Tesla's stock, with a consensus "Hold" rating, reflecting uncertainty about its future performance, although some analysts see potential upside if Tesla can execute its ambitious plans [15]
From Box Truck to Big Rig – What It Really Takes to Make the Jump Into A Semi. (Part One)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-20 01:27
A lot of people start trucking behind the wheel of a box truck. It makes sense. It’s cheaper to enter, easier to insure, simpler to operate, and gives you a way to learn without jumping straight into the deep end. A box truck feels like the starter home of trucking — a stepping stone toward what most owners eventually want: a semi, a trailer, bigger freight, bigger opportunities, and bigger revenue. Many box truck owners have the same vision: “Let me get started here, then I’ll expand into semis.” But he ...
Musk offers lofty promises after $1 trillion Tesla payday
BusinessLine· 2025-11-08 04:45
Core Insights - Tesla's investors approved Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation package, which is tied to ambitious operational and market value targets for the company [3][9] - Musk made extravagant predictions about Tesla's future capabilities, including advancements in its humanoid robot, Optimus, and plans for production increases [1][2] Company Performance and Future Projections - Tesla's car business is facing a second consecutive year of declining sales, but aims to increase production by approximately 50% by the end of 2026 [2] - Musk anticipates that Tesla's robot and vehicles will contribute significantly to future lunar and Martian bases [2] Compensation Package Details - Over 75% of votes were in favor of Musk's compensation package, which could allow him to become the world's first trillionaire if he meets the outlined targets [3][9] - The package is designed to increase Musk's stake in Tesla to 25% or more over the next decade [4] Production and Supply Chain Challenges - Musk acknowledged potential supply chain constraints affecting Tesla's production capabilities, indicating the need for a chip factory to support semiconductor production [5][6] - Three new products are expected to begin production next year: Optimus, the Semi truck, and the Cybercab [6] Shareholder Sentiment and Reactions - The compensation package faced opposition from some investors and proxy advisers, who expressed concerns about its size and potential dilution of shareholder value [7][12] - Tesla's board actively sought support for the package, emphasizing the necessity of Musk's leadership for the company's future [8] Market Context and Stock Performance - Following the approval of the compensation package, Tesla shares experienced a decline of up to 4.8% amid a broader market selloff, although the stock had risen 10% year-to-date prior to this [4][10] - Musk's net worth fluctuated significantly throughout the year, influenced by Tesla's stock performance and other business valuations [11][12] Additional Ventures - Shareholders showed mixed feelings regarding a proposed investment in Musk's AI venture, xAI, with a notable number of abstentions during the vote [13] - The investment proposal was non-binding, allowing the board to consider future steps based on shareholder support [14]
S&P 500 Gains and Losses Today: Shares of Qualcomm, Tesla Rise; Newmont Stock Falls
Investopedia· 2025-10-27 21:05
Market Overview - Major U.S. equities indexes reached all-time highs, driven by an improved outlook for U.S.-China trade relations, with the S&P 500 increasing by 1.2% and the Dow gaining 0.7% [2] - The Nasdaq surged by 1.9%, supported by strength in the communication services and tech sectors [2] Company Highlights - Qualcomm's shares surged by 11% after the company launched two AI accelerator chips for data centers, marking a significant entry into the data center market [3][9] - Keurig Dr Pepper exceeded revenue forecasts and matched adjusted profit estimates for Q3, resulting in a 7.7% increase in shares, driven by U.S. beverage sales growth and the acquisition of Ghost energy drink [4] - Tesla's shares rose by 4.3% following positive comments from CEO Elon Musk regarding the company's robotaxi program and advancements in full self-driving technology, with analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald raising their price target due to catalysts like the Semi truck and Optimus robot [5] - Albemarle, the largest lithium producer, saw its shares drop by 8.9% after announcing a deal to sell a controlling stake in its Ketjen refining catalyst solutions business while retaining a 49% stake [6] - Newmont, the world's largest gold miner, experienced a 5.7% decline in shares as gold prices fell due to easing U.S.-China tensions and a strengthening U.S. dollar [7][9] - Ford's stock fell by 4.2% despite exceeding quarterly sales and profit forecasts, as the company cut its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings due to a $1.5 billion impact from a fire at a supplier's plant [10]
Elon Musk's Tesla disappoints investors despite record sales as profit dented by higher costs, fading credits
New York Post· 2025-10-22 22:08
Core Insights - Tesla reported record third-quarter revenue of $28.1 billion, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $26.37 billion, driven by high electric vehicle sales as US buyers rushed to secure tax credits before expiration [11] - However, Tesla's profit per share was 50 cents, falling short of analysts' expectations of 55 cents, impacted by rising costs and a decline in income from regulatory credits [12] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the third quarter was $28.1 billion, surpassing analysts' average estimate of $26.37 billion [11] - Profit per share was 50 cents, below the expected 55 cents [12] - Automotive regulatory credits decreased to $417 million from $739 million a year ago and $435 million in the previous quarter [12] - Gross margin was reported at 18%, slightly above the estimate of 17.5%, while automotive gross margin, excluding regulatory credits, was 15.4%, below the average estimate of 15.6% [12] Cost and Expenses - Operating expenses rose by 50%, driven by AI and R&D projects, stock-based compensation, and increased costs per vehicle due to tariffs [13] - The company is facing challenges from tariffs imposed on auto-part imports, which are affecting overall costs [6] Market Dynamics - Demand for Tesla's vehicles is expected to decline without the tax credits that have been crucial for EV sales [4][8] - To address potential demand drops, Tesla introduced lower-cost variants of Model Y and Model 3, reducing prices by approximately $5,000 to $5,500 [8] - Analysts caution that the introduction of cheaper models may squeeze profit margins as cost reductions may not fully offset lower selling prices [9][15] Strategic Outlook - Tesla's valuation of $1.45 trillion reflects investor confidence in CEO Elon Musk's focus on robotics and AI, although vehicle sales remain essential for financial stability [5] - The company is on track to begin volume production of its Cybercab robotaxi, Semi truck, and Megapack 3 battery by 2026 [9] - Tesla's limited rollout of its self-driving "robotaxi" service marks a strategic shift towards self-driving technology, although Wall Street anticipates an 8.5% decline in deliveries in 2025 due to the expiration of tax credits and increased competition [14][16]
X @Herbert Ong
Herbert Ong· 2025-07-20 17:48
🚨 NEWS: Tesla says its Semi truck factory is making strong progress!Stamping shop is up and running, and tool installation has begun in Powder Coat & Material Conveyance areas.$TSLAhttps://t.co/ACbBog82Y2 ...
Tesla to delay US launch of cheaper electric car in major setback for Elon Musk: report
New York Post· 2025-04-18 21:43
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's plans for an affordable version of the Model Y have been delayed, impacting its strategy to boost sales and market share in the electric vehicle sector [1][2][9]. Group 1: Production Plans - Tesla aims to produce a lower-cost version of the Model Y, internally codenamed E41, in the US, but the production launch has been postponed by several months [1][2]. - The company plans to manufacture 250,000 units of the cheaper Model Y in the US by 2026, with future production also expected in China and Europe [3][7]. - The E41 is projected to cost 20% less to produce than the refreshed Model Y, which currently retails for approximately $49,000 before tax credits [6][7]. Group 2: Market Context - The introduction of affordable vehicles is seen as crucial for Tesla to attract new customers and counteract declining sales and market share [6][9]. - Tesla reported its first annual decline in deliveries last year, and analysts predict further sales drops this year due to various challenges, including brand reputation issues linked to CEO Elon Musk [9][11]. - The automotive industry is facing rising prices and supply chain disruptions, exacerbated by tariffs imposed on imported vehicles and parts [12]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Tesla has increased its North American sourcing for parts to mitigate tariff exposure for the E41, and has suspended plans to ship components from China for other models due to tariff concerns [13]. - Musk had previously promised a new, cheaper EV platform with vehicles priced as low as $25,000, but has shifted focus to robotaxi development instead [10].