3 September 2025 | 2:11PM HKT SenseTime (0020.HK): Asia Leaders Conference 2025: One-stop AI solution for diversified client group; interaction tools to drive growth. We hosted Sensetime management team on Sep 3 at our Asia Leaders Conference 2025. The discussions focused on Gen-AI growth outlook, one-stop AI solution, AI productivity/ interaction tools, and AI client base. Overall, management is positive on the Generative AI business ramp up ahead, supported by policy backdrop and Sensetime's comprehensive ...

Summary of SenseTime (0020.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: SenseTime (0020.HK) - **Market Cap**: HK$72.6 billion / $9.3 billion - **Enterprise Value**: HK$70.6 billion / $9.1 billion - **Target Price**: Upgraded to HK$2.72 from HK$1.83, indicating a potential upside of 30% [26][27] Key Industry Insights - **AI Guidelines**: The State Council's "AI Plus" guidelines aim for over 70% penetration of new-generation intelligent terminals and AI agents by 2027 in key sectors, with a target of over 90% by 2030E [2] - **Generative AI Transition**: SenseTime is transitioning to a generative AI business model, with 77% of revenue from generative AI in 1H25, up from 60% in 1H24 [2] Financial Performance - **1H25 Revenue Growth**: Revenues increased by 36% YoY, exceeding expectations by 6% compared to estimates [3][18] - **Gross Margin**: 1H25 gross margin was 38.5%, in line with estimates [17] - **Operating Expenses**: Opex ratio improved to 127% in 1H25 from 170% in 1H24, attributed to enhanced employee productivity [17] Revenue Projections - **Future Revenue Estimates**: - 2025E: Rmb 4,874.1 million - 2026E: Rmb 6,493.7 million - 2027E: Rmb 8,364.6 million [5][15] - **Generative AI Revenue Contribution**: Expected to rise from 64% in 2024 to 91% by 2030E [1] Earnings Revisions - **Net Loss Projections**: Revised net losses for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E to Rmb 2.5 billion, Rmb 972 million, and Rmb 238 million respectively, reflecting higher revenues from generative AI solutions [20] - **Gross Margin Adjustments**: Gross margin estimates revised up by 0.1 to 0.5 percentage points for 2025-2030E due to a shift towards higher-margin generative AI products [20] Product Development and Market Strategy - **Product Expansion**: Plans to enhance AI inferencing models and develop AI agents and robotics, with significant user growth in Office Raccoon exceeding 3 million in 1H25 [19] - **Ecosystem Collaboration**: Launched "SenseCore Mall" in August 2025, integrating various AI solutions for clients [19] Market Positioning - **Competitive Advantage**: SenseTime's comprehensive product offerings and focus on large-scale projects are expected to drive new client penetration and increased spending on generative AI projects [23] Valuation Metrics - **Valuation Methodology**: Target price derived from a combination of EV/Sales and DCF valuations, with an implied EV/Sales of 14.5x [26][28] - **DCF Valuation**: Estimated DCF value per share is HK$2.60, reflecting higher free cash flow expectations [28] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Upgraded to Buy from Neutral based on strong growth prospects in the generative AI sector and favorable policy support, with a target price indicating significant upside potential [1][26]

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Sensetime - **Industry**: Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Software Solutions in China Key Points and Arguments 1. **Gen-AI Trend**: Sensetime is positioned to benefit from the growing Gen-AI trend, with expectations of increased Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) and a shift from hardware to software delivery models, particularly Software as a Service (SaaS) [1][2][3] 2. **Revenue Projections**: Gen-AI revenues are projected to contribute 81% by 2030, up from 64% in 2024, indicating a significant growth trajectory [2] 3. **Product Offerings**: Sensetime offers a range of AI solutions, including SenseNova (foundation model), SenseAvatar, SenseChat, and SenseMirage, targeting various sectors such as finance, healthcare, and government [2][3] 4. **Cost Structure and Profitability**: The company is focused on reducing operational expenses (opex) to improve profitability, with a projected opex ratio decreasing from 98% in 2025 to 29% by 2030 [3][102] 5. **Market Positioning**: Sensetime's integrated solutions are designed for easy deployment, enhancing monetization opportunities across different client types (ToC, ToB, ToG) [3][11] 6. **Valuation Metrics**: The 12-month target price is set at HK$1.83, with an expected upside of 11%, indicating that current prices largely reflect positive expectations [4] 7. **Earnings Estimates**: Net profits are anticipated to begin in 2028, with earnings estimates aligning with Bloomberg consensus [4][102] 8. **Risks**: Potential risks include fluctuations in customer spending, competition intensity, and the pace of generative AI adoption [11] Additional Important Insights 1. **Product Development**: The launch of new AI agents and upgrades to existing products are expected to drive growth in the second half of 2025 [4] 2. **Client Engagement**: Sensetime has secured various projects across industries, including significant contracts with government and healthcare sectors, indicating a diverse client base [28][29] 3. **Revenue Growth Drivers**: The company anticipates a revenue CAGR of 21% from 2025 to 2030, driven by private cloud solutions and project-based AI applications [97] 4. **Competitive Landscape**: Sensetime's R&D expenses and ratios are compared with peers, highlighting its commitment to innovation in the AI space [22] 5. **Long-term Outlook**: The company aims for a long-term operating profit margin (OPM) of 19.4% by 2032, which is competitive compared to industry averages [101] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call records, focusing on Sensetime's strategic positioning, financial outlook, and market dynamics within the AI industry.

SenseTime Group Inc. 2024 Annual Results Presentation TO CREATE A BETTER AI-EMPOWERED FUTURE THROUGH INNOVATION 2025.03.26 —— Disclaimer The information in this presentation has been prepared by representatives of SenseTime Group Inc. (the "Company", and together with its subsidiaries, the "Group") for use in presentations by the Group for information purposes. No part of this presentation should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoe ...