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太辰光(300570)季报点评:三季度业绩环比小幅下滑 MPO及SHUFFLE增长空间广阔
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:35
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong growth in its optical dense connection business, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising overseas MPO demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.214 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 260 million yuan, up 78.55% year-on-year [1][2]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 386 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 15.7% and a year-on-year decline of 5.0% [1]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 87 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.5% but a year-on-year increase of 31.2% [2]. Market Trends and Demand - The MPO industry is expected to benefit from a significant upward revision in overseas optical module demand for 2026, with the MPO business showing good elasticity due to its integrated advantages [2]. - There is a shift in demand from overseas end customers towards smaller MMC/MDC products or higher core count products, indicating a trend towards miniaturization [2]. - The company is positioned as one of the few integrated manufacturers capable of producing various connectors, which may enhance its capacity utilization and flexibility in domestic expansion [2]. Product Development and Innovation - The company is focusing on the large-scale application of optical flexible boards in data centers, collaborating with various manufacturers to develop Shuffle solutions [3]. - Recent developments in optical backplane technology, as presented at the ECOC 2025 exhibition, highlight the company's commitment to adapting to network architecture upgrades [3]. Investment Outlook - The MPO wiring solution is identified as a critical physical layer facility for data centers, with the company expected to maintain its leadership in optical dense connection products [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.81 billion yuan, 2.90 billion yuan, and 4.85 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 390 million yuan, 640 million yuan, and 1.22 billion yuan [4].
太辰光(300570):三季度业绩环比小幅下滑,MPO及Shuffle增长空间广阔
CMS· 2025-10-28 07:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in Q3 performance, but the MPO and Shuffle segments have significant growth potential. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 1.214 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.58%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 260 million yuan, up 78.55% year-on-year. The demand for MPO is expected to follow the high growth of optical modules in 2026, and the company's Shuffle flexible board is continuously iterating, positioning it well for the future [1][5] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 386 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 15.7% and a year-on-year decline of 5.0%. The net profit for Q3 was 87 million yuan, down 7.5% quarter-on-quarter but up 31.2% year-on-year. The overall gross margin remained stable above 36%, with a net profit margin increase of 2.1 percentage points to 22.8% [5][6] - The company is expected to benefit from the significant upward revision of overseas optical module demand in 2026, with the MPO business showing good elasticity. The demand for MPO and other high-density optical transmission devices is closely related to the usage of GPUs and optical modules, with increasing value and proportion [5][6] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.814 billion yuan, 2.897 billion yuan, and 4.849 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The net profits for the same years are expected to be 386 million yuan, 642 million yuan, and 1.224 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 65.7, 39.5, and 20.7 [6][19][20] Product Development - The Shuffle product is continuously iterating to effectively adapt to the wave of optical interconnect technology upgrades. The company is focusing on promoting the large-scale application of optical flexible boards in data centers and collaborating with various manufacturers to develop Shuffle solutions [5][6] Market Position - The company is a leading player in the optical dense connection product market, with its self-produced connectors expected to further enhance gross margins. The company has established a 1.5 billion yuan industrial fund in collaboration with a leading optical module company, which is anticipated to provide opportunities for the company's passive products [5][6]