Core Insights - Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) reported a first-quarter fiscal 2026 GAAP net loss of $0.07 per share, an improvement from a loss of $1.52 in the same quarter last year, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate was $0.27 per share [1] - GAAP net revenues increased by 12.4% year over year to $1.5 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.3 billion [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenues from the United States rose by 9.7% year over year to $900.4 million, accounting for 59.9% of total GAAP net revenues, while international revenues increased by 16.6% to $603.4 million [2] - Game revenues, which represent 91.9% of total revenues, grew by 13.6% year over year to $1.38 billion, whereas advertising revenues fell by 0.16% to $121.3 million [2] Bookings Performance - Total bookings improved by 16.8% year over year to $1.42 billion, with U.S. bookings increasing by 14.8% to $836.6 million, representing 58.8% of total bookings [3] - International bookings rose by 19.8% year over year to $586.5 million [3] Consumer Spending and Distribution - Recurrent consumer spending increased by 14% for the period, making up 83% of net bookings [4] - Digital online revenues grew by 14% year over year to $1.48 billion, constituting 98.2% of GAAP net revenues, while physical retail revenues declined by 36.3% to $27.2 million [5] Platform Revenue Insights - Revenues from mobile, console, and PC accounted for 53.3%, 36.6%, and 10.1% of GAAP net revenues, respectively [6] - Mobile revenues increased by 11% to $801.7 million, console revenues rose by 8.2% to $550.6 million, and PC revenues surged by 41.9% to $151.5 million [6] Gaming Highlights - NBA 2K25 exceeded expectations, selling over 11.5 million units worldwide, with daily active users increasing by 30% and recurrent consumer spending rising by 48% [8] - The Grand Theft Auto series maintained strong momentum, with Grand Theft Auto V selling over 215 million units globally [11] Financial Performance - GAAP gross profit surged by 22.6% year over year to $945 million, with gross margin expanding to 62.8% [15] - Operating income was reported at $21.6 million, a significant improvement from an operating loss of $184.9 million in the previous year [16] Balance Sheet and Guidance - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $2.03 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $1.46 billion in March 2025, with total debt at $3.07 billion [17] - For Q2 fiscal 2026, TTWO expects GAAP net revenues between $1.65 billion and $1.70 billion, with net bookings projected in the range of $1.70 billion to $1.75 billion [18]

Core Viewpoint - Take-Two Interactive has shown strong stock performance, up 27% year to date, significantly outperforming the Nasdaq Composite, which is up only 0.59% [1] - The company reported impressive financial results for fiscal 2025, with a focus on upcoming game releases, including GTA VI, to drive future growth [1][4] Recent Business Performance and Outlook - Take-Two's non-GAAP revenue grew 6% year over year in fiscal 2025, with a notable 17% increase in the most recent quarter [4] - Recurrent consumer spending, which includes player spending on virtual currency and content, accounted for 80% of bookings in fiscal 2025 [5] - For fiscal 2026, management projects bookings to increase by 6% to approximately $6 billion [6] - The highly anticipated GTA VI is set to release on May 26, 2026, with Wall Street estimating bookings could reach $9 billion in fiscal 2027 [7] Historical Growth and Future Projections - Over the past decade, Take-Two has achieved an annualized revenue growth rate of 18%, despite recent profit and cash flow impacts from the acquisition of Zynga [9] - The company aims to expand its game portfolio and increase recurrent consumer spending to enhance margins and revenue [10] - Management expressed confidence in achieving operating margins in the low to mid-20% range, similar to levels during the pandemic [11] Valuation and Investment Considerations - The stock is currently trading at high price-to-sales and forward price-to-earnings multiples, reflecting market expectations for growth [13] - A discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic value of $236, assuming double-digit revenue growth to $18 billion by 2035 with a 25% operating margin [15] - To justify a fair value of $300, more aggressive growth projections would be necessary, such as achieving a 30% operating margin or growing revenue to $25 billion [16] - While the stock has potential for modest returns, current valuations suggest it may not significantly outperform the broader market [17]

Core Insights - TakeTwo Interactive Software (TTWO) reported a GAAP net loss of $21.08 per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, which is wider than the loss of $17.02 in the same quarter last year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings was $1.08 per share [1] - GAAP net revenues increased by 13.1% year over year to $1.58 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.55 billion [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenues from the United States rose by 9.8% year over year to $946.1 million, accounting for 59.8% of total GAAP net revenues. International revenues increased by 18.3% year over year to $636.4 million [2] - Game revenues, which represent 93.1% of total revenues, grew by 16.9% year over year to $1.47 billion, while advertising revenues, making up 6.9% of total revenues, fell by 21.7% year over year to $108.7 million [2] Bookings Performance - Total bookings improved by 17.3% year over year to $1.58 billion, with U.S. bookings increasing by 17.4% to $961.1 million, representing 60.8% of total bookings. International bookings rose by 17.1% to $620.4 million [3] - Recurrent consumer spending increased by 14% for the period, accounting for 77% of net bookings [4] Distribution Channels - Digital online revenues grew by 14.3% year over year to $1.53 billion, making up 96.4% of GAAP net revenues. Conversely, physical retail and other revenues declined by 11.4% to $56.9 million, representing 3.6% of total revenues [4] Platform Revenue Insights - Revenues from mobile, console, and PC/other accounted for 47.2%, 37.4%, and 15.4% of GAAP net revenues, respectively. Mobile revenues increased by 4.6% to $747.4 million, console revenues rose by 4% to $591.2 million, and PC/other revenues surged by 110.7% to $243.6 million [6] Gaming Performance Highlights - NBA 2K25 achieved near-record performance, selling nearly 10 million units, a 7% increase compared to NBA 2K24 [8] - The Grand Theft Auto series exceeded expectations, with GTA V selling over 215 million units, and Red Dead Redemption 2 showing a 23% year-over-year growth in net bookings [10] Operating Details - GAAP gross profit surged by 71.2% year over year to $803.3 million, with gross margin expanding to 50.8% from 33.5% in the previous year [13] - Operating expenses rose by 43.9% year over year to $4.58 billion, with a notable operating loss of $3.78 billion compared to a loss of $2.71 billion in the prior year [14] Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, TakeTwo had $1.47 billion in cash and short-term investments, up from $1.21 billion as of December 31, 2024. The company had a total debt of $2.51 billion [15] Future Guidance - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, TakeTwo expects GAAP net revenues between $1.35 billion and $1.40 billion, with anticipated operating expenses between $908 million and $918 million. The expected loss per share is projected to be between 78 cents and 65 cents [16] - For fiscal 2026, the company forecasts GAAP net revenues between $5.95 billion and $6.05 billion, with net bookings expected in the range of $5.9 billion to $6 billion [18]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported fourth quarter net bookings of $1,580,000,000, which was at the top of the guidance range [8][27] - For fiscal year 2025, net bookings reached $5,650,000,000, also at the top of the guidance range [29] - GAAP net revenue increased by 13% to $1,580,000,000 in the fourth quarter and rose 5% to $5,630,000,000 for the fiscal year [29][30] - Operating expenses increased by 44% to $4,600,000,000 in the fourth quarter due to an impairment expense of $3,600,000,000 related to goodwill and acquired intangible assets [29][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - NBA 2K25 sold nearly 10,000,000 units, a 7% increase compared to NBA 2K24, with engagement metrics showing significant growth [11][12] - WWE 2K25 received critical acclaim with a Metacritic score of 84 for Xbox Series X, and recurrent consumer spending grew by 20% during the quarter [13][14] - Zynga's performance was strong, with Match Factory exceeding expectations and Color Block Jam becoming a top 10 downloaded game in the US Apple App Store [18][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mobile gaming segment remains challenging, but Zynga is noted for regularly creating new hits, with Match Factory and Color Block Jam being profitable [49][51] - The company expects recurrent consumer spending to be flat compared to fiscal 2025, representing 76% of net bookings for fiscal 2026 [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to release approximately 38 titles through fiscal 2028, with 13 titles expected in fiscal 2026 [22][25] - The release of Grand Theft Auto VI is anticipated to significantly enhance the company's financial profile and establish a new baseline for net bookings [21][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the upcoming pipeline and the potential for record levels of net bookings, particularly with the release of Grand Theft Auto VI [21][35] - The company is focused on delivering value to consumers and maintaining a player-first approach [21][38] Other Important Information - The company has implemented a cost reduction program and is working on improving operational efficiency [27][29] - The direct-to-consumer business has become a significant part of the company's strategy, particularly following the acquisition of Zynga [74] Q&A Session Summary Question: Pricing strategy for Mafia - Management explained that variable pricing is a long-standing strategy aimed at delivering more value to consumers [38][39] Question: Goodwill impairment related to Zynga - Management confirmed that the impairment was a partial impairment of one of the reporting units, resulting from updated long-term expectations [40] Question: Operating margins and structural changes - Management stated there is no reason to believe operating margins cannot return to previous levels, emphasizing ongoing cost reduction efforts [44] Question: Mobile segment performance - Management acknowledged the challenges in mobile gaming but highlighted Zynga's success in creating new hits [49][51] Question: Anticipated demand for Grand Theft Auto VI - Management noted the unprecedented anticipation for Grand Theft Auto VI, supported by record trailer views and ongoing engagement with existing titles [58][90]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported fourth quarter net bookings of $1,580,000,000, which was at the top of the guidance range [6][26] - GAAP net revenue increased by 13% to $1,580,000,000, while GAAP net revenue for the fiscal year rose by 5% to $5,630,000,000 [28][29] - Operating expenses increased by 44% to $4,600,000,000 due to an impairment expense of $3,600,000,000 related to goodwill and acquired intangible assets [28][29] - Recurrent consumer spending grew by 14% year over year, accounting for 77% of net bookings [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - NBA 2K25 posted near record performance with nearly 10,000,000 units sold, a 7% increase compared to NBA 2K24 [10] - WWE 2K25 achieved a Metacritic score of 84 on Xbox Series X, with recurrent consumer spending up 20% during the quarter [12] - Zynga's Match Factory and Color Block Jam both showed strong performance, with Match Factory exceeding expectations and Color Block Jam becoming profitable within four months [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mobile gaming segment remains challenging, but Zynga is noted for regularly creating new hits, with Match Factory and Color Block Jam being profitable [46][47] - The company expects recurrent consumer spending to be flat compared to fiscal 2025, representing 76% of net bookings for fiscal 2026 [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to release 13 titles in fiscal 2026, including major franchises like Mafia and Borderlands [21][23] - The release of Grand Theft Auto VI is anticipated to significantly enhance the company's financial profile, with expectations for record levels of net bookings [20][33] - The company is focusing on delivering value to consumers through variable pricing strategies [36][91] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the upcoming pipeline and the potential for long-term growth, particularly with the release of Grand Theft Auto VI [33][34] - The company is addressing challenges in the gaming industry and is confident in its ability to deliver results [108] Other Important Information - The company has a robust release schedule with approximately 38 titles planned through fiscal 2028 [21] - The anticipated release of Grand Theft Auto VI is expected to set a new baseline for the business [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on Mafia's pricing strategy - Management explained that variable pricing is part of their strategy to deliver more value to consumers [36][37] Question: Goodwill impairment related to Zynga - Management confirmed that the impairment was a partial impairment of one of their units, resulting from updated long-term expectations [38] Question: Future operating margins - Management indicated that there is no reason to believe they cannot reach previous operating margin levels, despite increased development costs [42] Question: Mobile segment performance - Management acknowledged the challenges in mobile gaming but highlighted Zynga's success in creating new hits [46][48] Question: Anticipation for Grand Theft Auto VI - Management noted the record excitement for GTA VI, driven by ongoing engagement with GTA V and the success of the recent trailer [86][90] Question: Impact of console price increases - Management stated that their guidance would not be meaningfully affected by potential price increases in the gaming ecosystem [96] Question: Internal royalty line increase - Management explained that the increase in internal royalties is driven by product mix changes [103]

Core Viewpoint - TakeTwo Interactive Software (TTWO) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 15, with expectations of GAAP net revenues between $1.52 billion and $1.62 billion, and a GAAP net loss per share ranging from 20 cents to earnings per share of 13 cents [1] Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTWO's fiscal fourth-quarter revenues is $1.55 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14.73% [1] - The consensus for earnings is currently at $1.08 per share, indicating a significant year-over-year growth of 248.39% [2] Performance Drivers - NBA 2K is anticipated to significantly contribute to results, with a projected high-teens percentage increase in recurrent consumer spending for the franchise [3] - Other titles like Grand Theft Auto V and GTA Online are expected to continue contributing, although GTA Online may see declines [3] - New launches such as Sid Meier's Civilization VII, PGA Tour 2K25, and WWE 2K25 are expected to support top-line growth, with Civilization VII already setting a franchise record for preorders [4] Mobile Segment Challenges - Mobile bookings are projected to face challenges, with only low single-digit growth expected for the fiscal year, influenced by underperformance in titles like Empires & Puzzles [5] Cost Management - GAAP operating expenses for the fiscal fourth quarter are projected between $900 million and $920 million, with a 2% decline year over year due to normalized marketing and cost-saving initiatives [6] Earnings Outlook - TTWO currently has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating that the odds of an earnings beat are not favorable at this time [7]